Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Predictions
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Dalian Zhixing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 4.5(+27% edge)
Match Result
6.7/10Tianjin Teda Stun Dalian Zhixing with Gritty 1-0 Victory
Tianjin Teda produced a defensive masterclass to edge out Dalian Zhixing 1-0 at TEDA Football Stadium, courtesy of an early strike that proved decisive. Despite Dalian dominating possession with 66% and registering 16 shots, the hosts held firm, repelling wave after wave of attacks with disciplined defending and resolute goalkeeping. The only goal of the match arrived in the 10th minute, setting the tone for a contest where Tianjin Teda were content to soak up pressure and hit on the break. Dalian Zhixing, for all their territorial advantage and nine corners, struggled to convert dominance into clear chances, managing just two shots on target. As the match wore on, Tianjin's five-man backline stood tall, frustrating the visitors and securing a hard-fought three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
Guilherme Schettine scores for Tianjin Teda, finishing a rare early attack to put the hosts ahead.
23' — Yellow Card
Dalian Zhixing's Frank Acheampong is booked as the visitors push for an equaliser.
35' — Yellow Card
Tianjin Teda's Jaume Grau receives a yellow card for a tactical foul to halt a counter.
54' — Yellow Card
Tianjin Teda's Xianjun Wang is cautioned for a late challenge.
78' — Yellow Card
Tianjin Teda's Dun Ba picks up a booking as Dalian increase the pressure.
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda executed their game plan to perfection, grabbing an early lead and then dropping deep into a compact 5-4-1 shape. Their defensive discipline was exemplary, with the back five and midfield working tirelessly to close down spaces and limit Dalian's opportunities. The hosts were efficient on the break and made the most of their limited possession, carving out seven shots and forcing four saves from the visiting goalkeeper. Though they conceded territory and possession, Tianjin's commitment and organisation were unwavering. The midfield duo provided vital cover, and the defenders put bodies on the line to preserve the clean sheet, while goalkeeper Yan Bingliang marshaled his area with authority.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing controlled the tempo for much of the match, enjoying two-thirds of the ball and spending long periods camped in Tianjin's half. Their 4-4-2 formation allowed for width and numbers in attack, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. Despite firing 16 shots, only two tested the goalkeeper, highlighting their struggles to break down a well-drilled defence. The visitors grew increasingly frustrated as the match progressed, with their attacking play becoming more direct but less precise. Set pieces and wide play yielded nine corners, but the final ball often let them down. A solitary yellow card reflected their attempts to up the tempo, but ultimately Dalian left empty-handed despite their dominance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tianjin Teda set up in a deep 5-4-1, prioritising defensive solidity and compactness. The wing-backs dropped back to form a back five, allowing the midfield four to shield the centre and force Dalian wide. Their approach relied on quick transitions and set pieces, as evidenced by their seven corners despite limited possession. The lone striker, Guilherme Schettine, worked tirelessly to press and hold up play when opportunities arose. Dalian Zhixing, in a 4-4-2, looked to stretch the play and overload the flanks, but struggled to penetrate the packed Tianjin defence. Their high possession and shot count reflected territorial dominance, but the lack of clear-cut chances pointed to issues with creativity and decision-making in the final third. As the game wore on, Dalian committed more men forward, but Tianjin's structure held firm, with tactical fouls and disciplined positioning frustrating the visitors.
Turning Point
Guilherme Schettine's 10th-minute goal forced Tianjin Teda into a defensive shell, setting the tone for the remainder of the match and leaving Dalian Zhixing chasing the game.
Man of the Match
Aitor Córdoba
Led Tianjin's defensive effort with composure and authority, making crucial interventions to preserve the clean sheet.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 4.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede (Tianjin Teda: 5/5 BTTS in last 5, Dalian Zhixing: 3/5), and the model probability is significantly higher than the implied odds.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 4.5
Despite both teams' recent matches trending under, season-long over 2.5 rates are above average (Tianjin 57%, Dalian 64%) and the price on 'over' is generous relative to model probability.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction
Tianjin Teda, struggling at the foot of the table and winless at home, host a Dalian Zhixing side who sit third but have a poor away defensive record. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Tianjin drawing frequently and Dalian alternating between wins and losses. Recent head-to-heads have been tight, and both sides' tendency to concede suggests a close, low-scoring contest with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Tianjin's last 5 matches: 5/5 BTTS, all ended 1-1 or 1-2.
Attack
- →Dalian have higher attacking output but inconsistent away form.
Defence
- →Dalian Zhixing have conceded 17 goals in 7 away games (2.43 per game).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Tianjin Teda have failed to win at home this season (0W, 3D, 4L).
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal % is above 57%.
🚩 Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Tianjin Teda and 6.3 for Dalian Zhixing, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 78% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Tianjin Teda and Dalian Zhixing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dalian Zhixinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Teda are on a five-game winless run (DLLDD), but have managed to score in every match, often drawing 1-1. Dalian Zhixing broke a three-game losing streak with a win last time out, but have struggled defensively, conceding multiple goals in several recent fixtures.
Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing
The head-to-head record is limited but leans towards Tianjin, who won the last home meeting 2-0 and drew away. Both matches were close, with neither side dominating, and low goal counts.
Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
Tianjin Teda wins
1
Draws
0
Dalian Zhixing wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing
The model sees significant value in both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, with probabilities much higher than the implied odds. Bookmakers appear to be overestimating the chances of a low-scoring game, possibly due to Tianjin's home struggles, but both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest otherwise.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing
- ⚠️Small sample size for head-to-head (only 2 previous meetings).
- ⚠️Tianjin's home attack is weak, but Dalian's away defence is poor—uncertainty which prevails.
- ⚠️Market odds may reflect public bias towards Dalian's league position.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.