Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Predictions
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Qingdao Youth Island
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Late Quiles Strike Salvages Point for Tianjin Teda in Stalemate with Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island played out a 1-1 draw at the Olympic Sports Center Stadium, with both sides sharing the spoils after a match marked by tactical discipline and moments of individual brilliance. Qingdao Youth Island took the lead in the 34th minute, capitalizing on their compact 5-3-2 setup to frustrate the hosts and threaten on the break. However, Tianjin Teda, undeterred by the setback, pressed forward relentlessly and found their reward in the 81st minute through Alberto Quiles, whose late equalizer ensured the home side avoided defeat. Statistically, the match was evenly contested. Tianjin Teda edged possession with 56% and registered 15 shots (4 on target), while Qingdao Youth Island responded with 14 shots (also 4 on target) and a marginally higher corner count. Both teams had players cautioned, reflecting the competitive edge throughout. Ultimately, neither side could find a decisive winner, as defensive organization and missed opportunities defined the contest.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
34' — Goal
Davidson scores to put Qingdao Youth Island ahead, finishing off a swift counterattack.
81' — Goal
Alberto Quiles finds the equalizer for Tianjin Teda after sustained pressure.
45' — Yellow Card
Qingdao Youth Island's player booked for a tactical foul to halt a Tianjin break.
63' — Yellow Card
Tianjin Teda's player shown yellow for a late challenge in midfield.
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda showed resilience after falling behind, dominating possession and creating more chances as the match wore on. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid attacking play, particularly in the second half, but they struggled to break down Qingdao's deep defensive line until the closing stages. Alberto Quiles' late goal was just reward for their persistence, but a lack of cutting edge in front of goal prevented them from claiming all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island executed their game plan effectively, using a disciplined 5-3-2 formation to frustrate the hosts and strike on the counter. Their defensive organization limited Tianjin's clear-cut chances for much of the match, and their goal in the 34th minute put them in a strong position. However, they gradually ceded control in the second half and were unable to withstand Tianjin's late pressure, conceding the equalizer with less than ten minutes to play.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tianjin Teda lined up in a 4-2-3-1, seeking to control the midfield and stretch Qingdao's defense with width and overlapping runs. Their approach was possession-based, but they often found it difficult to penetrate Qingdao's compact 5-3-2 block, especially in the first half. Qingdao Youth Island prioritized defensive solidity, packing the box and looking to exploit space behind Tianjin's fullbacks with quick transitions. As the match progressed, Tianjin increased their attacking impetus, making use of their midfielders' creativity and pushing more men forward. Qingdao responded by dropping deeper, inviting pressure and relying on set pieces and counters for their attacking threat. Substitutions from both teams reflected the tactical chess match, with Tianjin introducing fresh legs in attack and Qingdao reinforcing their defensive lines. The match ultimately hinged on Tianjin's ability to sustain pressure and Qingdao's inability to relieve it late on.
Turning Point
Alberto Quiles' 81st-minute equalizer, which capped Tianjin's sustained second-half pressure and denied Qingdao a valuable away win.
Man of the Match
Alberto Quiles
His late goal was vital in rescuing a point for Tianjin Teda and he was a constant threat up front.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island: Match Preview
Tianjin Teda come into this match on the back of two straight defeats, conceding six goals in that span, yet their prior three-game winning streak showed attacking potential with seven goals scored. Qingdao Youth Island, sitting fifth in the table, have been the league's draw specialists with 12 stalemates from 23 matches, and have lost just once in their last five league outings. The league table shows a gap in points, but both sides are trending towards mid-table safety rather than chasing the top spots, with Tianjin Teda still needing points to avoid being dragged into the relegation battle.
From a statistical perspective, the matchup is defined by contrasting strengths. Tianjin Teda's home attack averages 1.55 goals per game but concedes at nearly the same rate (1.64), while Qingdao Youth Island's away defence has struggled (20 conceded in 11 away games), yet their recent form has been much tighter—just two goals conceded in their last five league matches and four clean sheets. Qingdao's attack has dried up (0.6 goals per game last five), but their season-long away scoring rate (1.0) still suggests they can threaten on the break. Both teams have a low BTTS rate in recent games (Qingdao 0/5, Tianjin 3/5), and the first half has produced just two total goals across their last five combined.
The model expects a tactical, low-event contest. With both sides trending under 2.5 goals (Qingdao's season over 2.5 rate is just 34.8%), and recent H2H history showing three straight draws, a 1-1 scoreline is most probable. The likeliest deviation would be a single-goal win for either side, but neither attack is in sustained top form, and defensive structure is likely to dominate proceedings.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Youth Island have failed to score in three of their last five league games, yet have conceded only twice in that span.
- 2Tianjin Teda's home matches average 3.18 total goals, but their last three at home have all finished under 2.5.
- 3The last three H2H meetings have all ended in draws, with an aggregate score of 4-4.
Who do you think wins: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have drawn a high share of their matches this season (Tianjin Teda 6/22, Qingdao Youth Island 12/23), and the last three H2H meetings have finished level.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island away matches average just 2.82 goals, and their last five league games have featured only 1.0 total goals per game on average.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, tightly contested encounter, shaped by Qingdao Youth Island's defensive discipline and Tianjin Teda's inconsistent home output. Both sides have a high draw rate and recent H2H history points to another even contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Tianjin Teda average 1.45 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game, but their home record is negative (3W, 3D, 5L, 17-18).
- →Qingdao Youth Island have kept four clean sheets in their last five, conceding just twice in that span.
Match Context
- →Qingdao Youth Island have drawn 12 of 23 league matches, the highest in the division.
🚩 Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Tianjin Teda and 4.8 for Qingdao Youth Island, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 45%.
How Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Qingdao Youth Islandlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Teda's recent form has been erratic, with two straight losses following a run of three consecutive wins, conceding six goals in their last two. Qingdao Youth Island, meanwhile, are unbeaten in four league games (2W, 2D), but their attack has struggled, scoring only three times in that span and failing to score in three of their last five.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
These sides have met five times in the league since 2024, with Tianjin Teda winning two and the other three ending in draws. Notably, the last three encounters have all finished level, including a 1-1 draw earlier this season and a goalless draw in their last Tianjin meeting.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Tianjin Teda wins
4
Draws
0
Qingdao Youth Island wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the probabilities suggest the market may overrate the likelihood of a home win or high-scoring match, given the strong draw and under trends in both teams' data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides is volatile: Tianjin Teda have lost two straight after three wins, while Qingdao Youth Island's attack has gone cold (0.6 goals per game last five).
- ⚠️No injury or lineup news at time of analysis; late changes could affect goal output or defensive solidity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tianjin Teda 1–1 Qingdao Youth IslandA 1-1 draw is the most statistically supported outcome, underpinned by Qingdao Youth Island's league-leading draw rate and both teams' recent lack of attacking edge. The clearest risk is that Tianjin Teda's higher home shot volume (14.2 per game last five) finally translates into a multi-goal performance against an away defence that has been leaky over the full season.
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island: Common Questions
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
The model gives Tianjin Teda a 36% chance of victory, Qingdao Youth Island 26%, and a draw is most likely at 38%. Both teams have drawn a high proportion of matches this season, and recent H2H history also favours a stalemate.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with 'No' slightly favoured at 52%. Qingdao Youth Island have kept four clean sheets in their last five and failed to score in three of those, suggesting a low BTTS probability.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Under 2.5 goals is the model's preferred total goals angle, with a 59% probability. Qingdao Youth Island's last five league games have averaged just 1.0 goal per match, and their season over 2.5 rate is only 34.8%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Resources
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Qingdao Youth Island Predictions
All Qingdao Youth Island fixtures & tips
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results