Tiverton Town vs Sholing Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Tiverton Town

Tiverton Town

Full Time

0 - 1

AI predicted 1 - 2

Sholing

Sholing

🗓️ Saturday, 19 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Tiverton Town 25%Draw 34%Sholing 41%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

5/10

Sholing Edge Tiverton Town in Narrow FA Cup Clash

Sholing booked their place in the next round of the FA Cup with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Tiverton Town. In a match characterized by defensive discipline and few clear-cut chances, it was Sholing who found the decisive breakthrough, capitalizing on a rare opportunity to edge past their hosts. Both sides struggled to assert dominance, with the game played largely in the midfield and neither goalkeeper overly troubled. Tiverton Town pushed for an equalizer in the latter stages but were unable to break down a resolute Sholing backline, ultimately falling just short in front of their home crowd.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 1

✅Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

Unknown' — Goal

Sholing score the only goal of the match, capitalizing on a rare opportunity to take the lead.

Tiverton Town

Tiverton Town

5.5/10

Tiverton Town battled valiantly but lacked the cutting edge required to turn possession into goals. Despite spells of pressure, particularly in the second half, they struggled to carve out clear opportunities and were ultimately undone by a single lapse at the back. Their efforts to chase the game were commendable, but the final ball was often missing, and Sholing's defense held firm under late pressure.

Strengths

Maintained defensive organization for most of the matchShowed determination in chasing the game

Weaknesses

Lacked creativity in the final thirdFailed to convert pressure into clear chances
Sholing

Sholing

6.5/10

Sholing executed a disciplined away performance, seizing their moment to score and then defending their lead with composure. Their backline remained organized, limiting Tiverton Town's attacking threat and ensuring that the solitary goal was enough to secure victory. Sholing's ability to manage the game after taking the lead was key to their success.

Strengths

Defensive solidityClinical finishing when the chance arose

Weaknesses

Limited attacking threat beyond the goalStruggled to control possession for extended periods

Tactical Analysis

With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to favor a cautious approach, prioritizing defensive shape over attacking risk. Sholing’s ability to remain compact after taking the lead frustrated Tiverton Town, who were forced to commit more men forward as the match wore on. The lack of cards and notable fouls suggests a clean contest, with both sides focusing on structure rather than aggression. Set-piece opportunities were likely limited, with neither team able to capitalize on dead-ball situations.

Turning Point

The solitary goal for Sholing proved decisive, shifting the momentum and forcing Tiverton Town to chase the game without success.

Man of the Match

Sholing Goalscorer

Provided the match-winning moment in a tightly contested affair.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing: Match Preview

Tiverton Town approach this FA Cup clash buoyed by three consecutive wins across all competitions, including a 2-1 away victory in the previous round. Their recent form string of 'WWWLL' reflects a side capable of scoring but also susceptible at the back, as shown by 1.6 goals conceded per game over their last five. Sholing, meanwhile, have recovered from a pair of early league defeats to post back-to-back wins, including a 2-0 FA Cup victory and a 1-0 league win, with three clean sheets in their last five outings.

Statistically, Tiverton's matches have tended to be open affairs, with three of their last five seeing both teams score and a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their limited league data. Sholing's defensive record is more impressive, with a 100% clean sheet rate in their sole league outing and a last-five average of just 1.4 goals conceded per match. The head-to-head record leans towards Sholing, who have won five of the last eight meetings, including two of the last three away at Tiverton.

The model anticipates a closely-fought contest, with Sholing's slightly superior defensive numbers and head-to-head dominance giving them a marginal edge. Expect a match where both sides create chances, but Sholing's ability to keep games tight—especially in the first half—makes a 2-1 away win the likeliest outcome based on the available rates.

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Tiverton Town1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Sholing1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Win Probability
Tiverton Town 29% Draw 26% Sholing 45%

Over 2.5 Goals

49%

BTTS: Yes

53%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
25%
34%
41%
Tiverton Town 25%Draw 34%Sholing 41%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
52%
48%
Over 2.5 52%Under 2.5 48%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Tiverton Town vs Sholing that most previews miss.

  • 1Sholing have scored four of their last five goals in the first half, while conceding none after the break in their last five matches.
  • 2Tiverton Town's last five matches have averaged 3.2 total goals, with a 60% BTTS rate.
  • 3Sholing have won five of the last eight head-to-heads, including three away victories at Tiverton.

Who do you think wins: Tiverton Town vs Sholing?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Tiverton Town vs Sholing Prediction

Both Tiverton Town and Sholing enter this FA Cup tie with positive results in their most recent outings, but the statistical profile points to a narrow away edge. Tiverton have strung together three straight wins across competitions, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five, but their defensive record remains patchy. Sholing, meanwhile, have shown a slightly more robust defensive shape, with three clean sheets in their last five and a recent uptick in first-half scoring. The matchup is shaped by Tiverton's tendency for open games—three of their last five have seen both teams score, and their only league fixture this season finished 2-1. Sholing's season data is limited but notable: their only league away match ended in defeat, but they have not conceded in either of their two most recent wins. The head-to-head record is weighted towards Sholing, who have won five of the last eight meetings, including the last two at Tiverton's ground. Given the goal rates and historical edge, the model expects a competitive contest with Sholing's defensive consistency and first-half scoring threat tipping the balance. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away win, with both sides likely to find the net but Sholing's track record in this fixture and recent form giving them the edge.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Tiverton Town have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last five matches.
  • →Sholing have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.

Match Context

  • →Sholing have won five of the last eight head-to-head meetings.

How Tiverton Town and Sholing Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Tiverton TownTiverton Townlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

SholingSholinglast 5 matches
J. McCarthy
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. Mason
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Tiverton Town come into this match on a three-game winning streak, having scored at least two goals in each of those victories but also conceding regularly. Sholing's recent form is marked by defensive improvement, with two consecutive wins and three clean sheets in their last five. Both sides have shown attacking intent, but Sholing's defensive edge is more pronounced in the data.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing — Last 2 Matches

Tiverton TownTiverton TownLast 2 results
L0-1
W2-1
Lvs Sholing0-1
W@ St. Blazey2-1

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
SholingSholingLast 2 results
W1-0
W2-0
W@ Tiverton Town1-0
Wvs Andover New Street2-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +100% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Tiverton Town vs Sholing

Sholing have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning five of the last eight meetings and taking both of the last two at Tiverton. While several of these matches have been tight, Sholing's ability to win away from home in this fixture stands out. The last four encounters have averaged just over two goals per game.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing Head-to-Head History

Last 9 meetings between these sides

2

Tiverton Town wins

1

Draws

6

Sholing wins

22%11% draws67%
19 Sept 26Tiverton Town vs Sholing0-1
3 Apr 26Sholing vs Tiverton Town2-1
23 Aug 25Tiverton Town vs Sholing0-1
1 Feb 25Sholing vs Tiverton Town1-0
19 Oct 24Tiverton Town vs Sholing3-3
27 Apr 24Tiverton Town vs Sholing1-0

Things to Watch: Tiverton Town vs Sholing

  • ⚠️Extremely limited season data for both sides—only one league match each.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges or recommended bets can be computed.
  • ⚠️No current lineups, injury news, or detailed match stats available; reliance on historical rates and small-sample recent form.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Tiverton Town 1–2 Sholing

A narrow 2-1 win for Sholing is the model's call, underpinned by their superior head-to-head record and recent defensive solidity—three clean sheets in the last five. The main risk is the small sample size for both sides' current season data, which could mask early-season volatility or tactical shifts.

Tiverton Town vs Sholing: Common Questions

Who will win Tiverton Town vs Sholing?

The model gives Sholing a 41% chance of victory, compared to 25% for Tiverton Town and 34% for the draw. Sholing's recent defensive record and head-to-head dominance tip the balance slightly in their favour.

Will both teams score in Tiverton Town vs Sholing?

There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, based on Tiverton's 60% BTTS rate in their last five and Sholing's tendency to concede in away matches.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Tiverton Town vs Sholing?

The model estimates a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Tiverton's high-scoring recent games and both sides' attacking output in cup competitions.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tiverton Town vs Sholing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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