Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Match Result
6.8/10Bodo/Glimt Clinch 2-0 Win at Tromso with Clinical Finishing
Bodo/Glimt secured a hard-fought 2-0 victory over Tromso at Alfheim, capitalizing on key moments in each half to take all three points in this Eliteserien clash. Despite Tromso enjoying the lion’s share of possession (55%) and firing 13 shots, the hosts were unable to find a way past N. Haikin and a resolute Bodo/Glimt back line. The visitors, meanwhile, made their chances count, striking just before halftime and again midway through the second half to put the game out of reach. The match was a tactical battle, with Tromso’s 5-3-2 formation seeking to control midfield and stretch play, while Bodo/Glimt’s 4-3-3 setup provided width and directness on the counter. Bodo/Glimt’s clinical edge proved decisive, as they converted two of their nine shots, while Tromso’s finishing let them down in crucial moments. A single yellow card for Bodo/Glimt was the only disciplinary note in an otherwise clean contest.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
45' — Goal
A. Helmersen scores to give Bodo/Glimt the lead just before halftime, shifting momentum.
73' — Goal
Bodo/Glimt double their advantage, capitalizing on a rare Tromso defensive lapse.
82' — Yellow Card
Bodo/Glimt pick up the match’s only yellow card as they protect their lead.
Tromso
Tromso started brightly, dictating the tempo with 55% possession and creating more opportunities than their opponents. However, their 13 shots yielded only three on target, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in the final third. The five-man defense provided structure, but lapses at key moments proved costly, especially just before halftime and again in the second half. Despite their territorial dominance and a balanced midfield trio, Tromso struggled to break down Bodo/Glimt’s disciplined defense. Their inability to convert pressure into goals ultimately left them empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt executed their game plan with precision, soaking up pressure and striking clinically on the break. Despite seeing less of the ball (45% possession) and attempting fewer shots (9), they made the most of their opportunities, scoring at crucial junctures in the 45th and 73rd minutes. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed for quick transitions and effective use of width, while the defense, marshaled by O. Bjørtuft and J. Gundersen, limited Tromso to just three shots on target. The only blemish was a late yellow card, but otherwise it was a disciplined, professional away performance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tromso’s 5-3-2 formation was designed to control the midfield and build from the back, and for large spells, they succeeded in dictating play and pushing Bodo/Glimt deep. However, their lack of width and penetration in the final third made it difficult to break down the visitors’ compact 4-3-3 defensive shape. Bodo/Glimt, meanwhile, were content to absorb pressure and hit on the counter. Their front three provided pace and width, stretching Tromso’s back line and exploiting spaces left by wing-backs pushing forward. Both teams matched each other on corners (4 each), but Bodo/Glimt’s clinical edge in transition was the difference.
Turning Point
A. Helmersen’s goal on the stroke of halftime, which gave Bodo/Glimt a crucial lead and forced Tromso to chase the game.
Man of the Match
A. Helmersen
Scored the pivotal opening goal and led the line with intelligence and composure.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Tromso arrive in fifth place, unbeaten in three of their last five league matches but with just one win in that stretch, and have seen both teams score in every recent outing. Their home record is robust—seven wins, four draws, just one defeat—but they face a Bodo/Glimt side sitting second, with the league's most prolific away attack and only two losses on the road all season.
The statistical matchup is shaped by Bodo/Glimt's attacking output: they average 2.44 goals per away game and have scored 61 times in 25 matches, while Tromso's defence concedes 1.42 per match overall and 0.83 at home. Tromso's attack is consistent (1.83 home goals per game), but their defence has not produced a clean sheet in the last five. Both teams' matches trend over 2.5 goals (Tromso 50%, Bodo/Glimt 72%), and the last five for each average 3.2 total goals. Set-piece numbers are notable too, with Bodo/Glimt averaging nearly six corners per match recently.
Given these rates, the model expects Bodo/Glimt's firepower to edge a match where both sides find the net. Tromso's home advantage and attacking consistency keep them competitive, but the visitors' superior goal difference (+38) and away scoring rate make them favourites for a 2-1 win.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Bodo/Glimt's away matches average 3.08 total goals, with 72% finishing over 2.5 goals.
- 2Tromso have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, but have scored in every one of those games.
- 3The last five H2H meetings at Tromso's ground have produced three draws and two one-goal wins, with no result over 3.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Bodo/Glimt average 2.44 goals scored and just 1.08 points dropped per away match, while Tromso's home defence concedes at 0.83 per game; the away side's attacking rate and table position make them clear statistical favourites, but lack of odds data precludes EV calculation.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have high over 2.5 rates (Tromso 50%, Bodo/Glimt 72%), and the last five for both average 3.2 total goals per game, supporting an above-average goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Tromso have seen both teams score in all of their last five, and Bodo/Glimt have failed to score in just one of their last five, suggesting a strong BTTS profile.
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More Eliteserien Predictions
The Case For This Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
Statistically, this is a high-output fixture: Bodo/Glimt's away attack meets a Tromso side that rarely blanks at home, but whose defensive numbers lag behind the league's elite. Expect a match with goals at both ends, but the visitors' superior scoring rate and away record tip the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Bodo/Glimt average 2.44 goals scored per away game, the highest in the league.
Defence
- →Tromso's home defensive record (0.83 goals conceded per game) is solid but not elite, and they've managed just 37.5% clean sheets over the season.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in a majority of their matches (Tromso 50%, Bodo/Glimt 72%).
🚩 Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Tromso and 4.8 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Tromso and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tromsolast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Tromso's recent form is mixed, with one win, two draws and two losses in their last five, but they've scored in every outing and have not failed to net at home this season. Bodo/Glimt, meanwhile, have won three of their last five across all competitions, including a Champions League victory, and continue to post the league's top scoring numbers.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +46.15% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
What History Says: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
The last ten meetings are closely contested, with Bodo/Glimt winning four, Tromso three, and three draws. Notably, the reverse fixture ended 5-0 to Bodo/Glimt, but recent clashes at Romssa Arena have been tighter, with three draws and two one-goal games in the last five.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Tromso wins
2
Draws
5
Bodo/Glimt wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value edges cannot be identified. The model's strongest probabilities are for Bodo/Glimt to win and for over 2.5 goals, both supported by season-long scoring rates and recent form.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges and expected values cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some variance in recent results, with Tromso drawing three of their last five and Bodo/Glimt losing twice in that span.
- ⚠️No injury data reported, but late lineup changes could affect attacking or defensive strength.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tromso 1–2 Bodo/GlimtThe model projects a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt, underpinned by their league-best away scoring rate (2.44 per away game) and Tromso's inability to keep clean sheets in recent matches. The likeliest way this call goes wrong is if Tromso's home resilience—just one defeat all season—translates into another low-margin draw.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt are modelled as 50% likely to win, with Tromso at 22% and a draw at 28%. The away side's 2.44 goals per away game and +38 goal difference drive their favourite status.
Will both teams score in Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?
There's a 57% probability of both teams scoring, as Tromso have seen BTTS in all of their last five, and Bodo/Glimt have failed to score just once in the same span.
How many goals are expected in Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model estimates a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging over 1.7 goals scored per game and Bodo/Glimt's matches finishing over 2.5 goals 72% of the time.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.