US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
US Ben Guerdane
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
AS Soliman
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
5/10AS Soliman Edge US Ben Guerdane with Early Strike in Tight Ligue 1 Contest
AS Soliman claimed a hard-fought 1-0 away victory over US Ben Guerdane at the 7 March Stadium, thanks to a decisive goal in the 22nd minute. In a match where both sides struggled to carve out clear-cut chances, it was Soliman’s clinical finish early in the first half that proved the difference. Despite the hosts’ efforts to respond, neither team managed to find the net again, with the remainder of the game characterized by disciplined defending and few notable attacking moments. The absence of cards and a relatively uneventful second half underlined the cautious approach adopted by both sides after the opener.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
22' — Goal
AS Soliman break the deadlock with a well-taken finish, putting the visitors ahead.
US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane found themselves chasing the game after conceding in the 22nd minute, but struggled to break down a resolute AS Soliman defense. Despite home advantage, their attacking play lacked penetration and they were unable to convert any opportunities into goals. With no bookings or major disciplinary issues, Ben Guerdane maintained composure but ultimately could not muster the necessary firepower to level the contest.
Strengths
Weaknesses
AS Soliman
AS Soliman made the most of their early breakthrough, taking the lead in the 22nd minute and holding firm for the remainder of the match. Their defensive organization and game management were key, as they limited US Ben Guerdane’s chances and saw out the win without picking up any cards. While not a dominant attacking display, Soliman’s ability to protect their lead away from home was commendable and ultimately secured them all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams’ formations undisclosed, the match appeared to settle into a pattern after AS Soliman’s early goal, with the visitors focusing on compact defending and protecting their lead. US Ben Guerdane pushed forward in search of an equalizer but struggled to break down Soliman's disciplined lines, lacking the creative spark to unlock the defense. Neither side resorted to aggressive tactics, as evidenced by the absence of cards, and the game was played with a measured tempo. Set pieces and wide play failed to produce significant opportunities, and both teams seemed content to avoid risks as the match wore on.
Turning Point
The only goal of the match in the 22nd minute gave AS Soliman a lead they never relinquished, shaping the tactical approach for the rest of the contest.
Man of the Match
Unknown (AS Soliman goalscorer, 22')
Scored the decisive goal and led the line in a disciplined away performance.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.35
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
BTTS: Yes
17%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman?
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Where the Model Sees Value: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides average well below 1 goal scored per game, with only 15.38% of their matches going over 2.5 goals this season. Recent H2H and form trends also strongly favor a low-scoring encounter.
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Match Result: Draw
Both teams have a high draw rate (US Ben Guerdane: 10/26, AS Soliman: 8/26), and their attacks are among the weakest in the league. Recent H2H meetings have also produced several draws or one-goal margins.
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BTTS: No
In the last 5 matches for both teams, only one game each saw BTTS. Both sides have a high rate of clean sheets and failed to score, and H2H is often one-sided or 0-0.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman Prediction
This is a classic low-scoring Ligue 1 relegation scrap between two of the league's weakest attacks. US Ben Guerdane, solid at home with a strong defensive record (only 4 conceded in 13 home games), face an AS Soliman side that struggles badly away and has scored just 12 goals in 26 matches. Both teams are coming off wins, but their overall form is patchy and goal-shy. Expect a tense, cagey affair with few chances, where a single goal could decide it or the points could be shared.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →US Ben Guerdane's form is slightly better (WWDLL) and they have more to play for to avoid slipping further down the table.
Attack
- →Both teams average less than 1 goal scored per game.
- →Recent H2H meetings are mostly low-scoring, with several 1-0 or 0-0 results.
- →AS Soliman have lost 8 of 13 away games, scoring only 8 goals.
Defence
- →US Ben Guerdane have the league's second-best home defensive record (4 conceded in 13).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Only 15.38% of matches for either side go over 2.5 goals.
How US Ben Guerdane and AS Soliman Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
AS Solimanlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman
US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
US Ben Guerdane wins
2
Draws
3
AS Soliman wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edge cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups not available for this fixture.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some recent improvement, so a surprise result is possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for US Ben Guerdane vs AS Soliman: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.