US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
US Ben Guerdane
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 0
ES Metlaoui
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
5/10Stalemate in Ben Guerdane: US Ben Guerdane and ES Metlaoui Share the Spoils
US Ben Guerdane and ES Metlaoui played out a goalless draw at the 7 March Stadium in a match that was high on tension but low on clear-cut chances. Both sides struggled to break the deadlock, with neither able to convert their limited opportunities into goals. The contest was marked by physicality and caution, culminating in a red card for the home side that further complicated their efforts. Despite the numerical disadvantage, US Ben Guerdane held firm defensively, while ES Metlaoui failed to capitalize on their advantage. Each team picked up a yellow card, reflecting the combative nature of the encounter, but ultimately, neither could find the moment of quality needed to claim all three points.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
0 - 0
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
First Half' — Yellow Card
US Ben Guerdane player booked, setting a combative tone.
First Half' — Yellow Card
ES Metlaoui player also booked in a physical opening period.
Second Half' — Red Card
US Ben Guerdane reduced to ten men, forced to defend deeper.
US Ben Guerdane
US Ben Guerdane put in a disciplined defensive display, especially after being reduced to ten men. Their resilience was commendable as they managed to keep a clean sheet despite the setback of a red card. However, their attacking output was limited, and they rarely threatened the ES Metlaoui goal. The hosts' commitment was evident, but their inability to create and finish chances ultimately cost them a potential home victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
ES Metlaoui
ES Metlaoui controlled much of the game after US Ben Guerdane went down to ten men, but struggled to break through a determined home defense. Their approach was methodical, but a lack of creativity in the final third meant they could not make their numerical advantage count. A yellow card highlighted their own struggles to assert dominance, and they leave Ben Guerdane with a point that will feel like a missed opportunity.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With neither side's lineup or formation data available, the match was nonetheless defined by US Ben Guerdane's defensive approach, especially after the red card. The hosts likely shifted to a more compact shape, prioritizing defensive solidity and minimizing space for ES Metlaoui to exploit. ES Metlaoui, meanwhile, attempted to increase their attacking impetus after gaining a numerical advantage, but lacked the creativity and incisiveness to break down a stubborn defense. Set pieces and wide play may have offered opportunities, but both teams were ultimately unable to convert any half-chances that arose, resulting in a tactical stalemate.
Turning Point
The red card to US Ben Guerdane in the second half, which forced the home side to focus solely on defense and ultimately preserved the draw.
Man of the Match
Unnamed US Ben Guerdane Defender
Anchored the defense and helped secure a clean sheet despite the team being down to ten men.
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui?
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Where the Model Sees Value: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 0–0
Both teams have extremely low scoring rates (0.61 goals per game each), high clean sheet percentages, and recent matches with few goals. H2H history is draw-heavy with several goalless or low-scoring games.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game, and over 2.5 goal % is very low for both (17% and 22%). Recent form and H2H also support a low-scoring match.
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Double Chance: US Ben Guerdane or Draw
US Ben Guerdane are poor in form but have a solid home defensive record (only 4 conceded in 11 home games), while ES Metlaoui have struggled away (4 goals in 11 away games, 7 losses).
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Prediction
This is a clash between two of Ligue 1's lowest-scoring sides, both struggling for form and sitting in the lower half of the table. US Ben Guerdane have lost five in a row, but their home defensive record remains solid. ES Metlaoui are marginally better in the standings but have major issues scoring away from home. The H2H record is heavily draw-biased, with many low-scoring encounters. Expect a tight, cagey match with few chances and a high probability of a draw or a 0-0/1-0 type result.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: 5 draws in last 10, including three 1-1 draws and two 0-0s.
Attack
- →ES Metlaoui: 3 away wins but only 4 goals scored in 11 away games, 7 losses.
- →Both teams average just 0.61 goals scored per game.
Defence
- →US Ben Guerdane: 5 consecutive losses, but only 4 goals conceded in 11 home league games.
- →High clean sheet % for both sides (43% and 48%).
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Very low over 2.5 goal rates (17% and 22%).
How US Ben Guerdane and ES Metlaoui Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
ES Metlaouilast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +48% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +52% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
US Ben Guerdane wins
5
Draws
2
ES Metlaoui wins
Things to Watch: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available: cannot calculate value edges or expected value.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches: reduces confidence in attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️Recent poor form for both sides increases unpredictability.
- ⚠️Possible lineup changes not reflected due to missing lineups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.