US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
US Ben Guerdane
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
ES Tunis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.45
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
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Where the Model Sees Value: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have strong defensive records and recent matches have been low scoring. ES Tunis are favorites but have drawn 3 of their last 5, while Ben Guerdane are on a solid unbeaten run. The draw is a realistic outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have a low season over 2.5 goal percentage (Ben Guerdane 13.79%, ES Tunis 34.48%). Recent H2H and form also support a low-scoring match.
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BTTS: No
Ben Guerdane have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and have only scored 9 home goals all season. ES Tunis have conceded just 6 away goals in 14 matches. BTTS No is favored.
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The Case For This US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Prediction
This is a classic matchup between a defensively solid mid-table side and a title-chasing giant. US Ben Guerdane have built momentum with a five-match unbeaten run, keeping four clean sheets, but struggle to score. ES Tunis, despite their superior squad and league position, have been less clinical in recent weeks, drawing three of their last five and coming off a home defeat. Expect a tight, tactical contest with few clear chances and a strong likelihood of a draw or narrow away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average less than 1 goal scored per game over their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →US Ben Guerdane have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and conceded just 5 home goals all season.
- →ES Tunis have the best away defense in the league (6 goals conceded in 14 away games).
Match Context
- →Only 2 of the last 10 H2H meetings saw both teams score.
- →Ben Guerdane's matches have the lowest over 2.5 goal rate in the league.
How US Ben Guerdane and ES Tunis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
US Ben Guerdanelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
ES Tunislast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
US Ben Guerdane enter this match unbeaten in five, with a form string of DLWWW, highlighted by four clean sheets and a strong defensive display. However, they have struggled to score, failing to find the net in 2 of their last 5. ES Tunis, while still second in the table, have seen their form dip slightly, with a run of LWDDD and only one win in their last five, including a rare home defeat.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +51.72% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +68.97% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
ES Tunis have historically controlled this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters and keeping Ben Guerdane winless. The most recent meeting ended 4-0 to ES Tunis, but several recent matches have been closer, with two 1-1 draws and a 2-1 away win for ES Tunis. Goals are generally scarce when these sides meet.
US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
US Ben Guerdane wins
3
Draws
7
ES Tunis wins
Things to Watch: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches; set piece and attacking threat estimates are less precise.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown; late changes could affect defensive solidity or attacking output.
- ⚠️Motivational factors (e.g., ES Tunis chasing the title) could increase risk of late goals or tactical shifts.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 11 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.