Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Uxbridge
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Hungerford Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town: Match Preview
Uxbridge approach this FA Cup tie in strong form, unbeaten in their last three matches and averaging 2.4 goals per game across their last five. They have kept three clean sheets in that span and recently dispatched Farnborough 2-0 away, underlining their defensive solidity and attacking threat. Hungerford Town, meanwhile, have also impressed in cup competition, winning both FA Cup ties away from home by an aggregate score of 7-1, though their broader recent form is more mixed.
The statistical matchup leans towards a lively contest. Uxbridge’s home record (five goals scored, two conceded in two FA Cup matches) is matched by Hungerford Town’s prolific away output (seven scored, one conceded in two FA Cup ties). Both sides have seen at least two-thirds of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge’s last five have averaged three goals per game. The lack of detailed shot or set-piece data limits precision, but both teams’ scoring rates and clean sheet percentages (Uxbridge 66.7%, Hungerford 50%) suggest neither defence is likely to dominate.
The model expects a competitive match with a slight edge to Uxbridge, whose historical head-to-head advantage and home scoring rate tip the balance. With both teams averaging over two goals per game in the cup, the likeliest scenario is a narrow home win with both teams on the scoresheet, but the distribution of recent results keeps the draw and away win very much in play.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town that most previews miss.
- 1Uxbridge have kept three clean sheets in their last five, but conceded twice in their only home FA Cup draw (2-2 vs Farnborough).
- 2All four of Hungerford Town’s competitive matches this season have finished with at least three goals (average 3.5 per game).
- 3Uxbridge have won both previous H2H meetings, scoring a combined seven goals and conceding just one.
Who do you think wins: Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The 2-1 scoreline aligns with both teams’ recent attacking rates—Uxbridge average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game in their last five, while Hungerford Town’s away record shows 3.5 scored and 0.5 conceded in the cup this season. Both sides have shown enough attacking threat for a narrow home win with both teams scoring.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Uxbridge have seen over 2.5 goals in two of their three FA Cup games (66.7%), and Hungerford Town’s two FA Cup ties have both gone over 2.5 (100%). Both teams’ season averages point to a goal-friendly contest.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Uxbridge have conceded in two of their last five, and Hungerford Town have failed to score in two of five but have netted seven in their last two cup outings. The model gives BTTS a 54% probability, slightly above a coin flip.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Prediction
This fixture profiles as a closely matched FA Cup tie between two sides with strong recent attacking output and a history of competitive encounters. Both Uxbridge and Hungerford Town have posted impressive cup form, with Uxbridge unbeaten in their last three and Hungerford Town winning both of their FA Cup ties away from home. The statistical shape points to a game likely to be decided by fine margins, with both teams capable of scoring and defensive records that, while solid, are not impenetrable.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Uxbridge average 2.4 goals scored per game and 0.6 conceded in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Hungerford Town have scored seven goals in two FA Cup away ties this season.
- →Head-to-head favours Uxbridge, who have won both previous meetings.
How Uxbridge and Hungerford Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Uxbridgelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hungerford Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Uxbridge have built momentum with three wins and a draw in their last five, highlighted by a 5-0 home win and a 2-0 away victory in the cup. Hungerford Town have also found their scoring touch in the FA Cup, winning both away ties convincingly after a mixed run to end last season. Both sides arrive with confidence from recent cup results.
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town
Uxbridge have dominated the head-to-head, winning both previous meetings and outscoring Hungerford Town 7-1 across those matches. Both games saw Uxbridge score at least three, suggesting a psychological and tactical edge in this fixture.
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Uxbridge wins
0
Draws
0
Hungerford Town wins
Things to Watch: Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for both teams’ FA Cup and league campaigns; recent form may overstate true quality.
- ⚠️No detailed shot or set-piece data limits confidence in secondary markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Uxbridge 2–1 Hungerford TownThe model projects a 2-1 win for Uxbridge, with their superior head-to-head record and consistent home scoring the standout data points. The most plausible risk is Hungerford Town’s away attacking form—seven goals in two FA Cup ties—proving enough to tilt the balance or force a replay.
Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town: Common Questions
Who will win Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town?
The model gives Uxbridge a 40% probability of winning, with the draw at 32% and Hungerford Town at 28%. Uxbridge’s unbeaten run and head-to-head record make them slight favourites, but the margins are tight.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town?
There is a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams’ recent matches and season averages—Uxbridge’s games have gone over 2.5 in 67% of FA Cup ties, and Hungerford Town’s in 100%.
Are both teams likely to score in Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Uxbridge conceding in two of their last five and Hungerford Town scoring seven in their last two FA Cup ties. The data points to a good chance of goals at both ends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.