Uxbridge vs Lewes Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Uxbridge
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Lewes
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Uxbridge Edge Lewes in Tight FA Trophy Clash
Uxbridge claimed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Lewes in the FA Trophy, edging their visitors in a contest that was competitive from start to finish. With both sides eager to progress, the match unfolded as a closely-fought affair, with Uxbridge ultimately making the most of their chances to secure the win. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics and lineups, the final scoreline reflects a narrow margin, suggesting that both teams had their moments but Uxbridge were more clinical when it mattered. Notably, the match was played in good spirit, with no yellow or red cards shown to either side.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
Unknown' — Goal
Uxbridge open the scoring to take the lead.
Unknown' — Goal
Lewes respond to level the match.
Unknown' — Goal
Uxbridge restore their lead, which proves decisive.
Uxbridge
Uxbridge delivered a composed display, capitalizing on their opportunities to edge out Lewes. Their ability to find the net twice proved decisive, and they managed to keep their discipline throughout the match, avoiding any bookings. The hosts showed resilience to see out the result, particularly in the closing stages as Lewes pressed for an equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Lewes
Lewes put up a spirited fight and managed to get on the scoresheet, but ultimately fell just short. While they were able to keep the match competitive, they could not find a second goal to draw level. Their discipline matched that of the hosts, with no cards shown, but they will rue missed opportunities to take something from the tie.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With detailed formations unavailable, both teams appeared to approach the match with attacking intent, as reflected by the three goals scored. Uxbridge's ability to edge ahead twice suggests a focus on quick transitions and clinical finishing, while Lewes's response shows they were able to create chances of their own. The absence of any cards points to a disciplined tactical setup from both managers, with neither side resorting to rash challenges or disruptive play.
Turning Point
Uxbridge's second goal, which restored their lead and ultimately secured the win, proved to be the pivotal moment in the match.
Man of the Match
Uxbridge Goalscorer(s)
Delivered the decisive goals that saw Uxbridge through to victory.
Uxbridge vs Lewes: Match Preview
Uxbridge enter this FA Trophy tie off the back of a mixed run, with a form string of LWWDW and three clean sheets in their last five outings. Their 5-0 demolition of Chichester City stands out, but two matches without scoring highlight inconsistency up front. Lewes, meanwhile, have alternated wins and losses, with a WLLDW record and a recent 3-0 home victory suggesting some attacking potential, though their away form remains untested in this data set.
Statistically, both sides profile as defensively solid but not prolific. Uxbridge have conceded just 0.4 goals per game in their last five, while Lewes average 1.2 conceded and 1.6 scored. Both teams’ matches have trended under 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge’s matches have seen BTTS only once in five. The first half has produced just five goals combined for both teams across their last five, hinting at a slow start. With no set-piece or discipline data, there’s little to suggest a high card or corner count.
Given the lack of a clear attacking edge and the defensive numbers on both sides, the model expects a low-scoring, evenly-matched contest. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with neither side likely to dominate for long periods. The absence of league standings or H2H data adds uncertainty, but the recent defensive rates are the strongest indicator.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Uxbridge vs Lewes Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Uxbridge vs Lewes that most previews miss.
- 1Uxbridge have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only twice in that span.
- 2Lewes' matches have averaged 2.8 total goals in their last five, but only one saw both teams score.
- 3Across both teams’ last ten combined matches, only four have gone over 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Uxbridge vs Lewes?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Uxbridge vs Lewes(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average just over a goal per game in their last five, with Uxbridge conceding only 0.4 and Lewes 1.2, making a low-scoring draw the most statistically likely outcome.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
The combined average goals in the last five for both teams is 3.6, but Uxbridge have had three clean sheets and only one BTTS match, suggesting a higher probability for a low total.
Read more ↓
More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Uxbridge vs Lewes Prediction
Statistical indicators point to a tight, low-scoring contest between two sides whose recent defensive records outshine their attacking output. Uxbridge have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Lewes have failed to score in one and conceded just 1.2 per game. With both teams lacking a clear edge in attack and neither showing a propensity for high-scoring affairs, the model expects a cautious, evenly-matched tie.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have failed to score in at least one of their last five matches.
Attack
- →Lewes have scored in four of their last five but average only 1.6 goals per game.
Defence
- →Uxbridge have averaged just 0.4 goals conceded per game in their last five.
How Uxbridge and Lewes Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Uxbridge vs Lewes Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Uxbridgelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Leweslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Uxbridge have posted a LWWDW record in their last five, highlighted by three clean sheets and a 5-0 home win, but have also failed to score in two matches. Lewes have alternated results with a WLLDW string, showing some attacking promise but conceding at least once in four of five. Both teams’ recent form suggests defensive solidity outweighs attacking consistency.
Uxbridge vs Lewes — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
What History Says: Uxbridge vs Lewes
There is no head-to-head data available for this pairing, so no historical trends or recurring scorelines can be cited.
Uxbridge vs Lewes Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Uxbridge wins
0
Draws
0
Lewes wins
Things to Watch: Uxbridge vs Lewes
- ⚠️No season-long league data or home/away splits available; all rates based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data to calibrate relative team strength.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece statistics limits the precision of expected goal and corner estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Uxbridge 1–1 LewesThe model’s final call is a 1-1 draw, underpinned by Uxbridge’s strong defensive record—just 0.4 goals conceded per game in their last five. The main risk is that Lewes’ attack, which has shown flashes with two matches of 2+ goals, finds a higher gear against a Uxbridge side that has failed to score in two of five.
Uxbridge vs Lewes: Common Questions
Who will win Uxbridge vs Lewes?
The model gives Uxbridge a 36% chance of victory, Lewes 30%, and a draw 34%. Both teams have similar recent form, so a draw is the most likely single outcome.
Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Lewes?
The probability of both teams scoring is 44%, with Uxbridge having only one BTTS match in their last five and Lewes two. The data tilts slightly toward at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Yes, the model estimates a 57% probability for under 2.5 goals, based on both teams’ recent defensive records and a low incidence of high-scoring games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Uxbridge vs Lewes: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.