Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Vilassar Mar
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Espanyol II
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Espanyol II Win
Match Result
5.5/10Espanyol II Clinch 2-0 Friendly Win Over Vilassar Mar With Late Surge
Espanyol II secured a professional 2-0 victory away at Vilassar Mar in this pre-season friendly, with both goals coming in the second half. After a cagey opening period where neither side could break the deadlock, the visitors found their breakthrough just before the hour mark and sealed the result with a late strike in stoppage time. Vilassar Mar showed resilience for much of the contest but ultimately lacked the cutting edge in attack. Espanyol II's patience paid off as they capitalized on their opportunities, keeping a clean sheet and demonstrating their depth and composure in the latter stages.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
59' — Goal
Espanyol II broke the deadlock with the opening goal.
90' — Goal
Espanyol II doubled their lead in stoppage time to secure the victory.
Vilassar Mar
Vilassar Mar held their own for the majority of the match, keeping Espanyol II at bay through disciplined defending. However, their inability to create clear chances or sustain attacking pressure proved costly as they conceded twice after the break. Despite their defensive organization, Vilassar Mar struggled to transition into attack and failed to register a goal, ultimately succumbing to Espanyol II's superior quality in the final third.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Espanyol II
Espanyol II approached the friendly with patience and composure, gradually asserting themselves as the match wore on. Their persistence was rewarded with a breakthrough in the 59th minute, and they managed the game well before adding a second goal in stoppage time to put the result beyond doubt. The visitors' ability to stay organized and take their chances highlighted their clinical edge, making them deserved winners in a match that required focus and discipline.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no official lineups or formations provided, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity in the opening stages, resulting in a goalless first half. Vilassar Mar maintained a compact shape, focusing on organization and minimizing Espanyol II's space in the final third. Espanyol II, meanwhile, showed patience in possession and gradually increased their attacking intent after the break. The visitors' tactical adjustment in the second half—pressing higher and moving the ball quicker—eventually paid dividends as they found gaps in Vilassar Mar's defense. The late second goal reflected their ability to manage the game's tempo and exploit spaces as the hosts pushed forward.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the 59th minute shifted momentum decisively in Espanyol II's favor, forcing Vilassar Mar to chase the game and leaving them vulnerable to the late clincher.
Man of the Match
Espanyol II goalscorer (59')
Broke the deadlock with a vital goal and set the tone for Espanyol II's victory.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II: Match Preview
Vilassar Mar enter this friendly on the back of a mixed run, recording three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five, with 1.8 goals scored per game but one recent blank. Espanyol II, meanwhile, have started their campaign with a strong defensive record, winning three of their last four and conceding just once in that span. With no league table or stakes involved, both sides are likely to use the fixture for preparation, but Espanyol II's recent results suggest greater stability.
Statistically, Espanyol II's defensive rates stand out: a 75% clean sheet rate and only 0.25 goals conceded per game this season, compared to Vilassar Mar's 0.8 conceded per game in their last five. Offensively, Espanyol II have averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last five, slightly down on Vilassar Mar's 1.8, but the away side's strength has been in limiting chances. Both teams' matches have mostly stayed under 2.5 goals (Espanyol II only 25% over, Vilassar Mar's last five averaging 2.6 total), and Espanyol II have yet to concede away this season.
The model projects a controlled, low-scoring encounter, with Espanyol II's defensive organisation likely to keep Vilassar Mar at arm's length. The likeliest scenario is a narrow away win, most probably 2-1 or 1-0, with the main risk being Vilassar Mar's ability to convert at home if Espanyol II rotate or experiment. The probability distribution points to under 2.5 goals and an away win as the most plausible outcomes.
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II that most previews miss.
- 1Espanyol II have conceded just one goal across their last four matches, keeping three clean sheets.
- 2Vilassar Mar's last five games have averaged 2.6 total goals, but only one featured more than three goals.
- 3Espanyol II have not conceded a single goal in their last two away fixtures.
Who do you think wins: Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Espanyol II Win
Espanyol II's last five matches show a strong defensive record (0.4 conceded per game, three clean sheets) and a 75% clean sheet rate in their current season, compared to Vilassar Mar's more modest 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game in a lower division. The away side's 48% win probability reflects their superior rates.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in the majority of their recent games (Espanyol II just 25% over 2.5 in season, Vilassar Mar averaging 2.6 total goals in last five), suggesting a low-scoring pattern is more likely.
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The Case For This Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II Prediction
Espanyol II arrive with a superior defensive record and a clear edge in recent results, while Vilassar Mar's attack has been productive but less tested against higher-level opposition. The statistical shape of the fixture points to a controlled away performance, with Espanyol II's low concession rate likely to be decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Vilassar Mar have failed to score in one of their last five, but average 1.8 goals per game in that stretch.
Defence
- →Espanyol II have averaged just 0.25 goals conceded per match across their current season (four games).
- →Espanyol II have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.
How Vilassar Mar and Espanyol II Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Vilassar Marlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Espanyol IIlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Vilassar Mar have won three of their last five, scoring 1.8 per game but showing some inconsistency, including a recent 0-1 defeat. Espanyol II are unbeaten in four, with three wins, and have conceded just once in that stretch, suggesting a more robust defensive platform.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +80% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II
No head-to-head data is available for these teams, so there are no historical patterns or dominance to inform the prediction. This increases reliance on current form and underlying rates.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Vilassar Mar wins
0
Draws
1
Espanyol II wins
Things to Watch: Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available, increasing uncertainty on relative strength.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent form comes from different divisions and competition levels, making direct rate comparison less robust.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value assessment is model-only.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Vilassar Mar 1–2 Espanyol IIEspanyol II's defensive numbers—0.25 goals conceded per game and a 75% clean sheet rate—are the single strongest data point and drive the predicted 2-1 away win. The main risk is the lack of direct H2H or league context, which could mean Vilassar Mar's attack is underrated, but the weight of Espanyol II's recent rates tips the balance.
Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II: Common Questions
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II?
Espanyol II are favoured by the model with a 48% win probability, compared to 23% for Vilassar Mar and 29% for the draw. This is based on Espanyol II's superior defensive and away records in recent matches.
Will both teams score in Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II?
Both teams to score is rated at 41%, with 'No' the more likely outcome at 59%. Espanyol II's defensive record (three clean sheets in last five, 0.25 goals conceded per game) supports this view.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II?
The model gives a 58% probability to under 2.5 goals, reflecting Espanyol II's 25% over 2.5 rate this season and Vilassar Mar's tendency for moderate scorelines. Low-scoring patterns are favoured by the underlying rates.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Vilassar Mar vs Espanyol II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.