Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Würzburger Kickers
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Alemannia Aachen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Würzburger Kickers Edge Alemannia Aachen in Hard-Fought 1-0 Victory
Würzburger Kickers claimed a valuable 1-0 win over Alemannia Aachen at the Flyeralarm Arena, courtesy of a decisive first-half strike. Despite being outplayed for long stretches—Aachen dominated possession with 61% and fired 12 shots (7 on target)—the hosts made the most of their opportunities and defended resolutely, particularly after taking the lead in the 41st minute. Alemannia Aachen, deploying a 3-4-2-1 formation, controlled the flow of the match and created more chances, but their efforts were undermined by wasteful finishing and a costly red card. Würzburger Kickers, lining up in a compact 4-4-2, absorbed pressure and struck clinically, holding on through a tense second half marked by a flurry of cards and desperate defending.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
41' — Goal
I. Franjić scores for Würzburger Kickers, putting the hosts ahead just before halftime.
Second Half' — Red Card
Alemannia Aachen reduced to 10 men, making their comeback task even harder.
Throughout' — Yellow Cards
A total of 7 yellow cards issued as the match intensity increased.
Würzburger Kickers
Würzburger Kickers showed grit and tactical discipline, weathering sustained pressure from Aachen. Their 4-4-2 shape kept the midfield compact, and the backline, marshaled by D. Hägele and E. Farahnak, stood firm under fire. The hosts were efficient in front of goal, converting one of their three shots on target, and managed the game well after taking the lead, even as the match grew increasingly physical. While their attacking output was limited, Würzburger's resilience and ability to capitalize on their best chance proved decisive. Four yellow cards reflect the intensity of their defensive effort, but the team avoided a red and maintained composure in key moments.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen will rue missed opportunities after dominating possession and registering more shots and corners. Their 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to control midfield and stretch Würzburger, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. The visitors' frustration was compounded by a red card, which hampered their late push for an equalizer. Despite their attacking intent and territorial advantage, Aachen could not find a way past a resolute Würzburger defense. Three yellow cards and a red highlighted their mounting desperation as the clock ticked down.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Würzburger Kickers set up in a classic 4-4-2, prioritizing defensive solidity and compactness. Their midfield four worked tirelessly to limit space, forcing Aachen wide and relying on quick transitions when winning possession. The front two, Franjić and Bonga, pressed the Aachen backline when possible but primarily focused on holding up play and seeking isolated chances. Aachen's 3-4-2-1 allowed them to dominate the ball, with wing-backs providing width and midfielders rotating possession. However, their inability to break down Würzburger's low block, combined with increasing frustration and a late red card, blunted their attacking threat. Set pieces offered some hope, as evidenced by 7 corners, but the hosts defended these situations robustly.
Turning Point
I. Franjić's goal in the 41st minute gave Würzburger the lead and allowed them to focus on defensive organization, fundamentally shaping the remainder of the contest.
Man of the Match
I. Franjić
Scored the decisive goal and led the line with determination, making the difference in a tight encounter.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen: Match Preview
Würzburger Kickers enter this match on a three-game losing streak, having conceded seven goals in that run and slipping to 14th in the table. Their only league win came in a 4-0 home victory over SV Wehen, but since then the defence has faltered and attacking output has dipped, with just one goal scored in the last two outings. Alemannia Aachen, meanwhile, sit fourth with seven points from four games, including a 3-0 away win at Ingolstadt and a 4-1 home victory over Verl, underlining their attacking threat and early-season momentum.
The statistical shape of this fixture points to goals. Würzburger's matches have all gone over 2.5 goals (100%), and their last five average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Aachen have a slightly higher scoring rate (2.0 per game) and have conceded only once in two away league matches. Both teams have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, and Aachen's ability to start quickly—three goals in the opening 11 minutes at Ingolstadt—could test a home defence that has struggled to settle early.
Given these rates, the model expects Aachen's more balanced attack and defence to prevail, particularly as Würzburger's recent shot and possession numbers are low (5.6 shots, 1 on target, 28.4% possession average in the last five). The most probable scenario is an away win in a match featuring at least three goals, with Aachen's away efficiency and Würzburger's defensive frailty the decisive factors.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen that most previews miss.
- 1Würzburger Kickers' league matches average 3.5 total goals, with all four going over 2.5.
- 2Alemannia Aachen have conceded just one away goal in two league matches, the best away defensive record among the bottom half of the table.
- 3Würzburger average only 1 shot on target per match over their last five, the lowest in the division over that span.
Who do you think wins: Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Alemannia Aachen Win
Alemannia Aachen have a stronger away record (4 goals scored, 1 conceded in two away league games) and a superior season scoring rate (2.0 per game) compared to Würzburger Kickers' 1.75, with the hosts on a three-match losing streak.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have high over 2.5 rates (Würzburger 100%, Aachen 75%) and combine for 15 goals scored in 8 league games, with both averaging at least 1.6 goals scored per match in their last five.
Read more ↓
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction
This fixture pits a struggling Würzburger Kickers side against an Aachen team that has started the season with more attacking intent and defensive stability away from home. Würzburger's recent form string of 'LLLWD' and a current three-match losing streak contrast sharply with Aachen's 'WLDWL', including a convincing 3-0 away win last time out. The hosts' home numbers (5 goals for, 2 against in two matches) are respectable, but Aachen's away record (4 scored, 1 conceded) is more robust. Statistically, both teams have shown a tendency for open matches: Würzburger's season over 2.5 goal rate is 100%, and Aachen's is 75%. Würzburger average 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded per game, while Aachen are at 2.0 scored and 1.25 conceded. The away side's attack, which produced three goals inside 11 minutes at Ingolstadt, faces a defence that has conceded two or more in three of its last four outings. Neither side keeps clean sheets reliably (both at 25% this season), but Aachen's defensive record on the road is notably better. The model expects Aachen's superior attacking rate and recent away form to edge a high-scoring contest. Würzburger's shot and possession numbers are low, especially in recent matches (5.6 shots, 1 on target per game in the last five), suggesting they may struggle to match Aachen's output unless they improve efficiency. With both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent, the likeliest outcome is an Aachen win in a match with at least three goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Alemannia Aachen have scored four and conceded just one in two away league matches this season.
- →Würzburger Kickers have lost three straight competitive matches, conceding seven goals in that span.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches have gone over 2.5 goals in at least 75% of league fixtures so far.
🚩 Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Würzburger Kickers and 5.8 for Alemannia Aachen, for an expected total of 10.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 72% · Over 10.5: 48%.
How Würzburger Kickers and Alemannia Aachen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Würzburger Kickerslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Alemannia Aachenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Würzburger Kickers have lost three consecutive matches, conceding seven goals and scoring just twice in that span, with their only win coming in a 4-0 home result against SV Wehen. Alemannia Aachen, by contrast, have won two of their last four league games, including a dominant 3-0 away win at Ingolstadt, and have shown greater consistency in both attack and defence.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen
There is no head-to-head data available for these teams, so no historical matchup trend can be referenced for this fixture.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Würzburger Kickers wins
0
Draws
0
Alemannia Aachen wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen
With no bookmaker odds provided, it is not possible to quantify value edges for this fixture. However, model probabilities suggest the strongest statistical lean is towards over 2.5 goals and an Aachen win, based on the teams' scoring and concession rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams, reducing confidence in matchup-specific patterns.
- ⚠️Early season sample sizes (4 league games each) mean underlying rates may not be fully stable.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Würzburger Kickers 1–2 Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen are favoured to win 2-1, with the strongest data point their 2.0 goals per game scoring rate and solid away defensive record (one goal conceded in two). The main risk is Würzburger's ability to outperform recent attacking numbers at home, especially if Aachen's defence regresses or the hosts convert set pieces at a higher rate.
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen: Common Questions
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen?
The model gives Alemannia Aachen a 43% chance of victory, with Würzburger Kickers at 26% and the draw at 31%. Aachen's superior away record and scoring rate make them marginal favourites.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in this match?
There is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven by both teams' high-scoring games so far (Würzburger 100% over 2.5, Aachen 75%). Both sides average at least 1.6 goals scored per match in their last five.
Are both teams likely to score?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with both sides keeping just one clean sheet in their last five matches and Würzburger conceding in every league game except one.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Resources
Würzburger Kickers Predictions
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Alemannia Aachen Predictions
All Alemannia Aachen fixtures & tips
Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen Stats
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3. Liga Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results