Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League · Egypt
high confidence
Wadi Degla

Wadi Degla

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 1

Olympic El Qanah

Olympic El Qanah

🗓️ Tuesday, 1 Sept 2026 at 20:00 EEST (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Petrosport Stadium, Cairo

Win Probability (1X2)

Wadi Degla 36%Draw 38%Olympic El Qanah 26%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Match Result

5/10

Stalemate in Cairo: Wadi Degla and Olympic El Qanah Share the Spoils

Wadi Degla and Olympic El Qanah played out a goalless draw at the Petrosport Stadium, with neither side able to break the deadlock in a tightly contested Premier League encounter. The match was characterized by disciplined defending and a flurry of cautions, particularly for the hosts, who saw four players go into the referee’s book. Despite the lack of goals, both teams showed flashes of attacking intent, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge in the final third. The result leaves both sides with a point apiece, with plenty to ponder as they look to sharpen their attacking play in the weeks ahead.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

1 - 1

⚡

Actual

0 - 0

✅Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

1X2 — Draw
✅
Over/Under 2.5 goals — Under 2.5
✅

Key Moments

23' — Yellow Card

First of four Wadi Degla bookings, setting a physical tone for the hosts.

38' — Yellow Card

Second Wadi Degla player cautioned as Olympic El Qanah pressed forward.

52' — Yellow Card

Olympic El Qanah receive their only booking of the match.

65' — Yellow Card

Third Wadi Degla yellow, highlighting their struggle to contain El Qanah’s midfield.

81' — Yellow Card

Fourth Wadi Degla booking, but hosts hold on to keep a clean sheet.

Wadi Degla

Wadi Degla

6/10

Wadi Degla put in a solid if unspectacular performance, keeping things tight at the back but struggling to create clear chances. Their defensive discipline was evident, though the four yellow cards collected suggest a certain level of desperation at times to halt El Qanah’s advances. The hosts will be disappointed not to have capitalized on home advantage, as their attacking efforts fell short of testing the opposition goalkeeper on a consistent basis.

Key Players

Wadi Degla Defence: Maintained a clean sheet despite mounting pressure and multiple bookings.

Strengths

Defensive organizationResilience under pressureMaintaining discipline to avoid a red card despite four yellows

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatPoor discipline (four yellow cards)Ineffective in the final third
Olympic El Qanah

Olympic El Qanah

6.5/10

Olympic El Qanah matched their hosts stride for stride, showing composure and discipline throughout the match. With only one yellow card, they managed to keep their cool in a physical contest and looked the more likely to snatch a winner at times. However, their inability to convert promising build-up play into goals ultimately cost them the chance to take all three points from Cairo.

Key Players

Olympic El Qanah Midfield: Controlled the tempo and limited Wadi Degla’s attacking opportunities.

Strengths

Composure under pressureMidfield controlDisciplined defending (just one yellow card)

Weaknesses

Lack of clinical finishingStruggled to break down a well-organized defence

Tactical Analysis

With lineups unavailable, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity, evidenced by the clean sheets and the number of fouls committed. Wadi Degla’s multiple bookings suggest a combative midfield approach, likely aimed at disrupting El Qanah’s rhythm. El Qanah, meanwhile, showed more composure, picking up just one yellow card and seeking to control the tempo through midfield possession. Neither side was able to generate sustained width or incisive set-piece opportunities, resulting in a match where defences were rarely breached and chances were at a premium.

Turning Point

The accumulation of yellow cards for Wadi Degla in the second half forced them to play more cautiously, blunting their attacking ambitions and ensuring the match ended goalless.

Man of the Match

Wadi Degla Defence

Collectively resilient under pressure, keeping a clean sheet despite disciplinary issues.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah: Match Preview

Wadi Degla enter their second Premier League match off a goalless draw, continuing a trend of defensive solidity but limited attacking output—0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game over their last five in all competitions. Olympic El Qanah, fresh from promotion, made a statement with a 2-1 away win on opening day, extending a run of five matches unbeaten in which they've averaged 1.6 goals per game. The standings reflect these trajectories: Degla sit mid-table with a single point, while El Qanah are among the early leaders.

The statistical matchup is defined by contrast: Degla's defence has kept four clean sheets in five, but their attack has failed to score in three of those games. El Qanah's attack has been consistent, scoring in every recent outing, but most of that data comes from the Second League and may not translate directly against Premier League opposition. The head-to-head record supports a tight contest, with three draws and only one multi-goal margin in the last six meetings. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but Degla's last home match saw just one corner and three yellow cards, suggesting a low-event environment.

Given these numbers, the model expects a cagey, low-scoring affair. Degla's defensive structure should limit El Qanah's chances, but their own lack of attacking punch makes a draw the statistical favourite. The most likely outcome is a 1-1, with under 2.5 goals the strongest probability based on both sides' recent rates and the historical pattern of this fixture.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Wadi Degla1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Olympic El Qanah0.90

Expected goals · model says 0.90

Win Probability
Wadi Degla 38% Draw 31% Olympic El Qanah 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

31%

BTTS: Yes

39%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
38%
26%
Wadi Degla 36%Draw 38%Olympic El Qanah 26%
Both Teams to Score
47%
53%
Yes 47%No 53%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
34%
66%
Over 2.5 34%Under 2.5 66%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
36%
64%
Over 9.5 36%Under 9.5 64%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah that most previews miss.

  • 1Wadi Degla have failed to score in three of their last five matches, but have kept four clean sheets in that span.
  • 2Olympic El Qanah have seen both teams score in four of their last five games, with six of their last eight goals coming after half-time.
  • 3The last six H2H meetings have produced just one result with more than two total goals.

Who do you think wins: Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction

Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring contest with both teams' recent records suggesting a deadlock is the most likely outcome. Wadi Degla's defence has been extremely effective across their last five, conceding just 0.2 per game, but their attack has struggled to break sides down. Olympic El Qanah arrive with momentum from promotion and an opening-day win, but step up in class against a side that rarely gives much away.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Olympic El Qanah have scored in each of their last 5, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

Defence

  • →Wadi Degla have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Match Context

  • →Head-to-head meetings have produced 5 home wins for Wadi Degla in the last 10, but 3 draws.

🚩 Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Corners Prediction

medium confidence
8.6expected total corners
Over 36%
Under 64%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Wadi Degla and 3.8 for Olympic El Qanah, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Wadi Degla and Olympic El Qanah Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Wadi DeglaWadi Deglalast 5 matches
Seif Teka
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Zizo
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Hamza Hassan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Farouk
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

I. El Bahnasi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanahlast 5 matches
Mawuli Wayo
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

I. Samy
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Osama
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Harsha
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Abu Sunna
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wadi Degla's recent form is defined by defensive discipline—four clean sheets in their last five matches—but they have struggled to create chances, failing to score in three of those games. Olympic El Qanah, meanwhile, are on a two-match winning streak and have found the net in every one of their last five, though most of those results came in the Second League.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah — Last 3 Matches

Wadi DeglaWadi DeglaLast 3 results
D0-0
W3-1
D0-0
Dvs Olympic El Qanah0-0
W@ Enppi3-1
Dvs Masr0-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
Olympic El QanahOlympic El QanahLast 3 results
D0-0
D1-1
W2-1
D@ Wadi Degla0-0
Dvs El Gouna FC1-1
W@ Ceramica Cleopatra2-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

What History Says: Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah

Wadi Degla have the historical edge in this fixture, winning five of the last ten and remaining unbeaten at home against Olympic El Qanah since 2014. However, draws are frequent, with three of the last six meetings ending level and low scorelines the norm.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

5

Wadi Degla wins

3

Draws

2

Olympic El Qanah wins

50%30% draws20%
1 Sept 26Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah0-0
22 Mar 25Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah2-1
14 Nov 24Olympic El Qanah vs Wadi Degla1-0
21 Apr 24Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah1-1
15 Jan 24Olympic El Qanah vs Wadi Degla0-2
20 May 23Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah1-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah

With no bookmaker odds available, value analysis cannot be fully assessed. However, the model's strongest statistical lean is towards under 2.5 goals and the draw, both supported by the underlying rates and head-to-head trends. If market odds on under 2.5 or the draw are above 2.90, those would represent potential value based on the data.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Wadi Degla Win2.2036.0%-9.5%
Draw2.6238.0%-0.2%
Olympic El Qanah Win3.6026.0%-1.8%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.53.0034.0%+0.7%
Under 2.51.3666.0%-7.5%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue2.5047.0%+7.0%
No1.5053.0%-13.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 3.00EV +0.020
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 2.50EV +0.175

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah

  • ⚠️Both sides have only played one league match this season, so season-long rates are not yet stable.
  • ⚠️Olympic El Qanah's step up from the Second League introduces uncertainty in attack/defence translation.
  • ⚠️Lack of bookmaker odds limits value analysis and bet recommendation confidence.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Wadi Degla 1–1 Olympic El Qanah

The model projects a 1-1 draw, anchored by Wadi Degla's defensive record—just 0.2 goals conceded per game in their last five—offset by their own attacking limitations. The biggest risk to this forecast is Olympic El Qanah's attack carrying over its Second League efficiency against a higher-calibre defence.

Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah: Common Questions

Who will win Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah?

The probabilities are closely split: Wadi Degla win 36%, draw 38%, Olympic El Qanah win 26%. A draw is marginally favoured, reflecting Degla's defensive strength and the frequent stalemates in this fixture.

Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah?

Under 2.5 goals is statistically favoured at 66%. Wadi Degla's last five matches have all finished under this line, and the last six H2H meetings have produced just one match with more than two goals.

Will both teams score in Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah?

The model gives a 47% chance of both teams scoring. Wadi Degla have kept four clean sheets in five, but Olympic El Qanah have scored in each of their last five, so this market is finely balanced.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wadi Degla vs Olympic El Qanah: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 25 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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