Wealdstone vs Southend Predictions

Wealdstone PredictionsSouthend PredictionsNational LeagueH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National LeagueNational League · England
high confidence
Wealdstone

Wealdstone

AI Predicted Score

1 - 3

Southend

Southend

🗓️ Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 Grosvenor Vale, London

Win Probability (1X2)

Wealdstone 17%Draw 23%Southend 60%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Southend Win

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Wealdstone vs Southend

Match Result: Southend Win
8/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10

Wealdstone vs Southend: Match Preview

Wealdstone come into this match in 19th place, having taken just one point from their last four league outings and shipping 15 goals in six home matches. Their recent cup wins offer some respite, but in league play, defensive issues remain acute. Southend, by contrast, sit third and boast an unbeaten away record, with 18 goals scored and only 8 conceded on their travels, underlining a clear statistical gulf.

The matchup tilts heavily towards Southend's attack against Wealdstone's porous home defence. Southend average 2.38 goals per game overall and 2.57 away, while Wealdstone concede 2.5 per home game. Both sides are regulars in high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals landing in 77% of Southend's games and 62% of Wealdstone's. BTTS has landed in all of Southend's last five, and Wealdstone have failed to score just once in that span.

Given these rates, the model expects Southend to dictate the tempo and create the bulk of chances, especially early: 63% probability of a goal before 30 minutes, and a 58% chance Southend score first. The likeliest scenario is an away win with multiple goals, but Wealdstone's attack should still contribute, making over 2.5 and BTTS both strong statistical plays.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Wealdstone1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Southend2.25

Expected goals · model says 2.25

Win Probability
Wealdstone 19% Draw 20% Southend 61%

Over 2.5 Goals

67%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

1-2 · 1-1 · 0-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Wealdstone vs Southend Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
17%
23%
60%
Wealdstone 17%Draw 23%Southend 60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
38%
Yes 62%No 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
68%
32%
Over 2.5 68%Under 2.5 32%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Wealdstone vs Southend that most previews miss.

  • 1Southend have scored at least twice in five of their seven away games this season.
  • 2Wealdstone's home matches average 3.67 total goals, the third-highest in the division.
  • 3BTTS has landed in all of Southend's last five league fixtures.

Who do you think wins: Wealdstone vs Southend?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More National League Predictions

31-Oct-2026Boston United vs ScunthorpeView prediction →31-Oct-2026Aldershot Town vs GatesheadView prediction →31-Oct-2026Barrow vs EastleighView prediction →31-Oct-2026Boreham Wood vs HartlepoolView prediction →31-Oct-2026Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster HarriersView prediction →31-Oct-2026Altrincham vs CarlisleView prediction →

The Case For This Wealdstone vs Southend Prediction

This fixture pits a struggling Wealdstone side, winless in four of their last five league games, against a Southend team with the division's third-best away record and the second-highest scoring rate. The statistical gap between the teams is most pronounced in the home/away splits: Wealdstone concede 2.5 per home game, while Southend average 2.57 scored per away match. The season-long numbers point to a high-scoring, away-dominated contest.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Southend's away record: 4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, 18 scored, 8 conceded.
  • →Wealdstone's home defensive record: 15 conceded in 6 home games.

Match Context

  • →Both teams over 60% for over 2.5 goals on the season.

How Wealdstone and Southend Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Wealdstone vs Southend Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

WealdstoneWealdstonelast 5 matches
F. Okenabirhiesub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Mahersub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Kaundasub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Norrissub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

SouthendSouthendlast 5 matches
P. Omochere
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Colclough
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Twamley
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Kamara
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Goodliffe
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Oldaker
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wealdstone's recent league form is poor, with just one point from their last four and a heavy 0-6 home defeat to Yeovil. Southend, meanwhile, have won four of their last five in the league and remain unbeaten away, scoring 18 in seven on the road. The momentum is firmly with Southend, though Wealdstone's two recent cup wins hint at possible short-term improvement.

Wealdstone vs Southend — Last 10 Matches

WealdstoneWealdstoneLast 10 results
L0-6
L1-2
D1-1
W4-0
L1-2
L0-1
W3-1
L1-4
W2-0
D1-1
Lvs Yeovil Town0-6
L@ Barrow1-2
D@ Forest Green1-1
Wvs Gateshead4-0
L@ Tamworth1-2
Lvs FC Halifax Town0-1
W@ Boston United3-1
Lvs Kidderminster Harriers1-4
W@ Sutton Utd2-0
Dvs Carlisle1-1
SouthendSouthendLast 10 results
W2-1
W3-1
D1-1
L2-4
W6-1
W3-1
D2-2
W3-2
D1-1
L1-3
W@ Boston United2-1
Wvs AFC Fylde3-1
D@ Eastleigh1-1
Lvs Barrow2-4
W@ Gateshead6-1
Wvs Tamworth3-1
D@ Carlisle2-2
Wvs Yeovil Town3-2
D@ Woking1-1
Lvs Kidderminster Harriers1-3

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Wealdstone vs Southend

Southend have won five of the last ten meetings, but Wealdstone have taken the last two home clashes. Recent encounters at Grosvenor Vale have tended to be open, with three or more goals in each of the last three. The historical edge is with Southend, but Wealdstone have shown they can compete at home.

Wealdstone vs Southend Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

2

Wealdstone wins

3

Draws

5

Southend wins

20%30% draws50%
17 May 26Southend vs Wealdstone0-0
25 Apr 26Southend vs Wealdstone2-1
1 Nov 25Wealdstone vs Southend1-0
2 Sept 25Wealdstone vs Southend3-2
26 Apr 25Southend vs Wealdstone3-0
24 Sept 24Wealdstone vs Southend1-1

Things to Watch: Wealdstone vs Southend

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Recent cup results may not fully reflect league strength.
  • ⚠️Wealdstone's two-match win streak (all competitions) could indicate short-term improvement.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Wealdstone 1–3 Southend

The model calls this 3-1 to Southend, anchored by the away side's unbeaten road record and 2.57 goals per away game. The single strongest data point is Wealdstone's concession rate at home (2.5 per game), which aligns with Southend's offensive output. The main risk is Wealdstone's recent cup form translating to a tighter defensive display or Southend underperforming after a cup upset.

Wealdstone vs Southend: Common Questions

Who will win Wealdstone vs Southend?

Southend are strong favourites with a 60% model probability to win, based on their unbeaten away record (4W, 3D, 0L) and Wealdstone's poor home form (1W, 1D, 4L).

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wealdstone vs Southend?

There's a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals, driven by Southend's 2.38 goals per game and Wealdstone conceding 2.5 per home match. Both teams regularly feature in high-scoring games.

Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Southend?

The model gives a 62% probability for both teams to score, as Southend have seen BTTS in all of their last five and Wealdstone have failed to score just once in that span.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wealdstone vs Southend: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Wealdstone vs Southend Resources

→

Wealdstone Predictions

All Wealdstone fixtures & tips

→

Southend Predictions

All Southend fixtures & tips

→

Wealdstone vs Southend Stats

Full H2H record & season stats

→

Wealdstone vs Solihull Moors

Wealdstone — next match predictions

→

Worthing vs Southend

Southend — next match predictions

→

National League Predictions

All fixtures for this competition

→

Model Accuracy

Track record & verified results