Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Predictions
National League - South · England
Weston-super-Mare
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Billericay Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town: Match Preview
Weston-super-Mare enter this fixture seventh in the table, unbeaten in their last three at home but with only one win in their last four league outings. Their 1-1 draw with Folkestone Invicta last time out typifies a side that has been competitive but not clinical, with a home record of four wins, two draws, and one defeat. Billericay Town, meanwhile, are riding a two-match winning streak and sit third, having scored 13 goals in their last five league games and boasting the division's second-best attack.
Statistically, this is a matchup between two sides who favour open football. Weston average 1.73 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Billericay's matches average 3.54 total goals, with over 2.5 landing in 73% of their fixtures. Both teams have scored in 59% of Weston's and 55% of Billericay's last five, and Billericay's first-half output (seven goals in five) suggests the visitors are likely to start on the front foot. Defensive solidity is not a hallmark for either, with both keeping just a single clean sheet in their last five league matches.
The model projects a high-probability goal environment, with Billericay's superior attacking rate and recent momentum tipping the balance in their favour. A 2-1 away win emerges as the most likely outcome, but the distribution of scoring—especially Billericay's early goals—means both sides are expected to find the net. The absence of head-to-head data injects some uncertainty, but the underlying rates point to a competitive, high-scoring contest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town that most previews miss.
- 1Billericay Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 11 league games (73%), compared to the league average of 54%.
- 2Weston-super-Mare have scored in every home league match this season, averaging 2.0 goals per home game.
- 3Billericay have netted 7 first-half goals in their last 5 matches, the highest first-half output in the division over that span.
Who do you think wins: Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
More National League - South Predictions
The Case For This Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Prediction
Both sides arrive in the top third of the National League South with attacking records above the league average, but Billericay Town's superior scoring rate and recent form give them a statistical edge. Weston-super-Mare have been solid at home, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game at the Optima Stadium, but their defensive numbers—1.0 conceded per match overall—face a stern test against a Billericay attack firing at 2.27 per game. The visitors' away record is less dominant than their home form, but their last five matches (13 goals scored) signal momentum. The statistical matchup points to a game with above-average goal potential. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in a majority of their matches (Weston 55%, Billericay 73%), and neither has failed to score in their last five outings. Billericay's defensive record away (1.4 conceded per game in the last five) is offset by their attacking threat, while Weston's recent home games have featured BTTS in four of five. First-half goals have been a trend for Billericay (seven in their last five first halves), suggesting early action is likely. The model expects Billericay's more prolific attack to edge a competitive fixture, with the likeliest scenario being a 2-1 away win. The distribution of goal timings and both teams' tendency to score and concede in both halves point to a match that remains open well into the second period, with set-piece and transition opportunities likely to play a role.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Billericay Town average 2.27 goals scored per game this season, the second-highest in the league.
Defence
- →Weston-super-Mare have kept just one clean sheet in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Both teams have scored in 4 of Weston's last 5 and 3 of Billericay's last 5 league matches.
How Weston-super-Mare and Billericay Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Weston-super-Marelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Billericay Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Weston-super-Mare have been steady but unspectacular in recent weeks, with a DLDWW form string and just one defeat in their last five. Their home form remains a strength, but they have struggled to turn draws into wins. Billericay Town arrive in better form, unbeaten in four league games and having scored 13 times in their last five, including back-to-back clean-sheet victories.
Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 72.73% of games this season
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so the model cannot identify value edges or make specific recommendations. In a typical market, the model would expect value on away win and goals markets if odds reflect a more balanced contest.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available between these teams, so historical matchup trends cannot be factored.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and recommended bets cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of granular shot, possession, and set-piece data limits precision on secondary markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Weston-super-Mare 1–2 Billericay TownThe model calls this 2-1 to Billericay Town, with their 2.27 goals per game and recent scoring surge the single strongest data point in their favour. The main risk is Weston's solid home record—just one home defeat all season—and their consistent scoring at the Optima Stadium, which could see them take something if Billericay's defence wobbles.
Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town: Common Questions
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town?
Billericay Town are favoured by the model, with a 43% probability of an away win compared to 27% for Weston-super-Mare and 30% for the draw. Billericay's superior scoring rate and recent form underpin this edge.
Will both teams score in Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 59%, with both sides having scored in all of their last five matches and Weston's home games regularly featuring goals for both teams.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town?
The model gives a 61% probability to over 2.5 goals, supported by Billericay's 73% over 2.5 rate this season and Weston's 55% rate, indicating a strong chance of a high-scoring match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Resources
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Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results