Wigan vs Mansfield Town Predictions
League One · England
Wigan
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Mansfield Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Wigan vs Mansfield Town: Match Preview
Wigan enter this fixture bottom of the table with just four points from seven matches, having lost five and scored only five times all season. Their recent form is patchy, alternating defeats and wins in their last five, and they have failed to score in three of those games. Mansfield Town sit 17th, with eight points and a slightly better attack, but their away record is poor—three losses and a draw from four, conceding 10 goals in the process.
The statistical matchup is defined by Mansfield’s leaky away defence against Wigan’s low-output home attack. Wigan average just 0.75 goals per home game, but Mansfield concede 2.5 per away match, and both sides have a clean sheet rate of only 14%. The goal environment is middling: 42.9% of Wigan’s matches and 71.4% of Mansfield’s have gone over 2.5 goals, but both teams have failed to score in 3 of their last 5. Cards are likely, with Wigan averaging 3 yellows per game and Mansfield 2.4.
Given the underlying rates, the model expects a cagey contest with neither side able to dominate. Wigan’s home struggles and Mansfield’s defensive issues away cancel each other out, pointing to a draw as the most likely outcome. Both teams to score is marginally favoured, but a low-scoring result remains plausible if chances are not taken.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wigan vs Mansfield Town that most previews miss.
- 1Mansfield have conceded 10 goals in just 4 away matches, the highest away goals against rate in League One.
- 2Wigan’s home matches average only 2.75 total goals, but their last 5 overall see just 1.2 scored per game.
- 3Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have produced both teams scoring.
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The Case For This Wigan vs Mansfield Town Prediction
Both Wigan and Mansfield Town have struggled to keep clean sheets this season, with each managing just one in their last five league outings. Wigan’s home attack has been blunt, averaging 0.75 goals per home game, but Mansfield’s away defence is even more porous, conceding 2.5 per away match. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring, tightly contested affair, with neither side showing enough attacking consistency to be clear favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Mansfield Town have conceded 10 goals in 4 away games, the highest away goals against in the division.
Match Context
- →Wigan have scored just 5 goals in 7 league matches (0.71 per game), the lowest in League One.
- →Both teams have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
🚩 Wigan vs Mansfield Town Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Wigan and 4.2 for Mansfield Town, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
How Wigan and Mansfield Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wiganlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mansfield Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wigan have lost five of their seven league matches, scoring just five goals in that span, and have failed to score in three of their last five. Mansfield Town have fared better overall but are winless in four away games, conceding heavily on the road. Both sides’ recent form suggests vulnerability rather than momentum.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.43% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Wigan vs Mansfield Town
The last five meetings are evenly split, with two draws and a win apiece, and three matches finishing either 1-1 or 2-1. Both teams have found the net in four of those games, indicating a tendency for competitive, closely fought encounters.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
2
Wigan wins
2
Draws
1
Mansfield Town wins
Things to Watch: Wigan vs Mansfield Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations and recommended bets are omitted.
- ⚠️Both sides have shown volatility in recent results, increasing scoreline uncertainty.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injury news unavailable at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wigan 1–1 Mansfield TownThe model projects a 1-1 draw, anchored by Mansfield’s defensive frailty away (2.5 conceded per away game) and Wigan’s inability to convert home advantage into goals (0.75 scored per home game). The main risk is that Mansfield’s attack, which averages 1.43 goals per game, finds more joy against a Wigan side that has kept just one clean sheet all season.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town: Common Questions
Who will win Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
The model gives Wigan a 33% chance of victory, Mansfield Town 31%, and the draw 36%. Both teams are struggling in key areas, so a draw is the most likely outcome based on current rates.
Will both teams score in Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
There is a 53% probability that both teams will score, supported by both sides’ poor clean sheet rates (14%) and a recent head-to-head trend of BTTS in four of five meetings.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
The model estimates a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Mansfield’s high away concession rate but also Wigan’s limited attacking output at home.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wigan vs Mansfield Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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