Worthing vs Harrogate Town Predictions
National League · England
Worthing
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Harrogate Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Worthing vs Harrogate Town
Worthing vs Harrogate Town: Match Preview
Worthing and Harrogate Town both enter this National League clash inside the top six, separated by just four points after 16 rounds. Worthing’s recent form has been mixed (WLDWL), including a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Sutton Utd but also a 2-1 away win at Kidderminster. Harrogate, second in the table, have also alternated results (LDLWW), most recently suffering a 1-4 FA Cup defeat but showing strong league form with 10 wins from 16.
Statistically, this is a fixture built for goals. Worthing’s home attack (1.89 per game) and Harrogate’s away defence (1.63 conceded per game) are closely matched, while Harrogate’s away attack (1.38 per game) faces a Worthing home defence conceding 1.56 per game. Both teams are among the league’s most reliable for over 2.5 goals (81.25% of matches), and neither has kept a clean sheet in their last five. Harrogate have been more productive in the first half recently, but both sides tend to see more goals after the break.
The model expects an open, competitive match with both teams likely to score and neither able to control the game defensively. With similar attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, a high-scoring draw is the most probable outcome, though either side could edge it if they capitalise on set pieces or late-game lapses.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Worthing vs Harrogate Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Worthing vs Harrogate Town that most previews miss.
- 1Worthing and Harrogate Town have both seen over 2.5 goals in 13 of 16 league games this season (81.25%).
- 2Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last five league matches, with both conceding at least 2.2 goals per game over that span.
- 3Harrogate Town’s away matches average 3.0 goals per game, while Worthing’s home games average 3.44.
Who do you think wins: Worthing vs Harrogate Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Worthing vs Harrogate Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have an identical 81.25% over 2.5 goals rate this season, and their combined goals per game (Worthing 3.56, Harrogate 3.57) point to a high-probability goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Worthing's last 5 and 4 of Harrogate's last 5, with both sides showing attacking strength and defensive vulnerabilities (Worthing: 2.2 conceded/last 5, Harrogate: 2.2 conceded/last 5).
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More National League Predictions
The Case For This Worthing vs Harrogate Town Prediction
This fixture sets up as one of the round’s most attack-minded contests, with both Worthing and Harrogate Town averaging well above three total goals per game and ranking in the top six. Harrogate arrive second in the table (32 points, 2.13 scored/1.44 conceded per game), while Worthing sit sixth (28 points, 2.00 scored/1.56 conceded), each with a positive goal difference but defensive records that leave room for their opponents. Worthing’s home attack (17 goals in 9 games, 1.89 per game) faces a Harrogate away defence that has conceded 13 in 8 (1.63 per game), while Harrogate’s away attack (1.38 per game) meets a Worthing home defence conceding 1.56 per game. Both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league matches, and their season over 2.5 goal rates are identical at 81.25%. The first half could be lively: Harrogate have scored 5 first-half goals in their last 5, Worthing just 1, but both are more productive after the break. The statistical shape of this contest is a high-scoring draw, with both teams’ attacking rates outpacing their defensive solidity and neither side dominating the home/away splits. Expect a match where the lead may change hands, and the final result is likely to hinge on which defence handles pressure better in the closing stages.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average over 3.5 total goals per game this season (Worthing 3.56, Harrogate 3.57).
Defence
- →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five league matches.
- →Harrogate have a marginally better away record (4W, 1D, 3L) than Worthing’s home record (4W, 2D, 3L), but both concede at least 1.5 goals per game in those splits.
🚩 Worthing vs Harrogate Town Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Worthing and 6 for Harrogate Town, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Worthing and Harrogate Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Worthing vs Harrogate Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Worthinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Harrogate Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Worthing’s recent form (WLDWL) has been inconsistent, including a heavy home defeat to Sutton Utd but also a solid away win at Kidderminster. Harrogate Town’s last five (LDLWW) include a heavy FA Cup loss but strong league performances, and they’ve scored in four of their last five. Both teams have struggled defensively, with neither keeping a clean sheet in their recent run.
Worthing vs Harrogate Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 81.25% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 81.25% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Things to Watch: Worthing vs Harrogate Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams; model relies entirely on season and recent form rates.
- ⚠️No odds data available, so value edges and expected value calculations are omitted.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, fouls) are missing for several recent games, reducing granularity of set-piece and discipline predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Worthing 2–2 Harrogate TownA 2-2 draw is the model’s baseline, driven by both teams’ identical 81.25% over 2.5 goal rate and inability to keep clean sheets recently. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if one attack capitalises on defensive errors to pull away, but the underlying rates point firmly to a high-scoring, closely contested match.
Worthing vs Harrogate Town: Common Questions
Who will win Worthing vs Harrogate Town?
The model gives Harrogate Town a slight edge (38% win probability) over Worthing (34%), with a 28% chance of a draw. Both teams have similar attacking and defensive records, so a draw or narrow win either way is most likely.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Worthing vs Harrogate Town?
There’s a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams’ matches going over that line in 81.25% of league games this season and neither keeping a clean sheet in their last five.
Will both teams score in Worthing vs Harrogate Town?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 71% probability, reflecting their strong attacks and recent defensive frailty (each conceding over 2 goals per game in their last five).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Worthing vs Harrogate Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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