Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Predictions
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Qingdao Youth Island
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: Match Preview
Wuhan Three Towns enter this fixture with a mixed run of form, having drawn three of their last five and sitting 15th in the table, just above the relegation zone. Their home record is modest—four wins, three draws, and four defeats from eleven—while their season-long negative goal difference underlines ongoing defensive issues. Qingdao Youth Island, meanwhile, are fourth and unbeaten in five, with a remarkable five consecutive clean sheets, but their away record (three wins from eleven) and negative away goal difference (11 scored, 20 conceded) suggest they are less dominant on the road.
This matchup statistically leans towards a low-scoring contest. Qingdao's last five matches have all gone under 2.5 goals, and their season over 2.5 rate is just 33%. Wuhan average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over the last five, but have failed to score in one of those and managed only two goals in their last two home games. Both sides have high draw rates (Wuhan: 41%, Qingdao: 50%), and the H2H record is evenly split, with three draws in five meetings and the last two finishing 1-1. Set-piece threat is moderate: Wuhan average 6.2 corners per game across their last five, Qingdao 4.4, but neither side is prolific.
The model expects a tight, attritional match with limited clear chances. Qingdao's defensive discipline and Wuhan's lack of cutting edge point towards a draw as the most probable outcome, with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline. The overall goal environment is below average, and the most plausible deviation comes from either side capitalising on an early mistake or set piece, but the underlying rates strongly favour a low-scoring stalemate.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
41%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Youth Island have kept five consecutive clean sheets, conceding 0 goals in their last 450 minutes of league football.
- 2Wuhan Three Towns have drawn 9 of 22 matches this season, the highest draw rate among bottom-half teams.
- 3All five head-to-head meetings have produced at least one goal, and three ended as draws.
Who do you think wins: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have drawn a high proportion of matches this season (Wuhan: 9/22, Qingdao: 12/24), and the last two H2H meetings finished 1-1, matching the underlying scoring and concession rates.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island's last five matches have all finished under 2.5 goals, and their season over 2.5 rate is just 33%, while Wuhan's attack has averaged 1.2 goals per game over the last five.
Read more ↓
Double Chance: Draw or Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island have lost only 4 of 24 matches (away: 4/11), and Wuhan Three Towns have won just 4 of 11 at home, suggesting a strong probability for the visitors to avoid defeat.
Read more ↓
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The Case For This Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction
Statistically, this is a low-scoring, evenly matched contest between a side fighting relegation and a defensively solid top-four outfit, with both teams' season-long draw rates and recent H2H history pointing to a stalemate.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →The last two head-to-head meetings finished 1-1.
Defence
- →Qingdao Youth Island have kept five consecutive clean sheets and conceded 0 goals in their last five.
Match Context
- →Wuhan Three Towns have drawn 9 of 22 league matches, and Qingdao have drawn 12 of 24.
🚩 Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.1 corners for Wuhan Three Towns and 5.6 for Qingdao Youth Island, for an expected total of 11.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (73%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 63%.
How Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wuhan Three Townslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Qingdao Youth Islandlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wuhan Three Towns have stabilised recently with a DLDWW run, including two home wins and a goalless draw, but remain near the bottom due to a season-long struggle to convert chances. Qingdao Youth Island are in robust form, unbeaten in five and conceding zero goals in that span, but their away results are less convincing than their overall table position suggests.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
- +5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island
The last two meetings between these sides ended 1-1, and three of five all-time matchups have been draws. Qingdao Youth Island have twice won away at Wuhan, but neither team has established clear dominance in the fixture.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Wuhan Three Towns wins
2
Draws
2
Qingdao Youth Island wins
Things to Watch: Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent shot volumes fluctuate, introducing variance to the goal expectation.
- ⚠️Wuhan's home attack is inconsistent, with 0 goals last time out despite 28 shots.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Qingdao Youth IslandA 1-1 draw is the statistical baseline, with both teams' high draw rates and recent H2H results reinforcing the prediction. The strongest data point is Qingdao's run of five clean sheets, but Wuhan's ability to generate high shot volumes at home (18.2 per game over the last five) could break the deadlock if finishing improves. The main risk is a sudden collapse in either defence, but the distribution of results heavily favours a low-scoring stalemate.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: Common Questions
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
The model gives Wuhan a 29% chance to win, Qingdao Youth Island a 30% chance, and the draw a 41% probability. Both teams' high draw rates and recent H2H history make a stalemate the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
There is a 48% probability that both teams will score, with Wuhan averaging 1.2 goals and Qingdao 1.0 over their last five, but Qingdao have kept five straight clean sheets, slightly tilting the edge towards 'no'.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 61% probability. Qingdao's last five matches have all finished under 2.5, and their season over 2.5 rate is just 33%, while Wuhan's attack has been inconsistent.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Resources
Wuhan Three Towns Predictions
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Qingdao Youth Island Predictions
All Qingdao Youth Island fixtures & tips
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Super League Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results