Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Super LeagueSuper League · China
medium confidence
Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Tianjin Teda

Tianjin Teda

🗓️ Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 19:00 GMT+8 (venue time) · 11:00 UTC (your time)📍 Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan

Win Probability (1X2)

Wuhan Three Towns 27%Draw 32%Tianjin Teda 41%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

6.8/10

Wuhan Three Towns Held to Frustrating Goalless Draw by Resilient Tianjin Teda

Wuhan Three Towns were left ruing missed opportunities as they played out a 0-0 stalemate against Tianjin Teda at the Wuhan Sports Center Stadium. Despite dominating possession (62%) and registering a remarkable 28 shots, the hosts could only muster three on target, repeatedly thwarted by a well-organized Tianjin defense and an inspired display from goalkeeper Yan Bingliang. Tianjin Teda, lining up in a compact 5-4-1, absorbed wave after wave of Wuhan pressure and occasionally threatened on the break, managing five shots on target from their 11 attempts. Both sides picked up a yellow card in a match that saw plenty of endeavor but ultimately lacked the clinical edge required to break the deadlock.

💀 AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 0

❌Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

22' — Yellow Card

Wuhan's Xu Haofeng booked for a late challenge, setting the tone for a physical contest.

37' — Yellow Card

Tianjin's Ming-Him Sun receives a yellow card after halting a dangerous Wuhan attack.

55' — Chance

Gustavo Sauer's low drive forces a sharp save from Yan Bingliang.

68' — Chance

Alberto Quiles tests Jingqi Fang with a powerful shot on the break.

79' — Corner Flurry

Wuhan win three corners in quick succession but fail to convert amid desperate Tianjin defending.

Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

6.5/10

Wuhan Three Towns controlled proceedings for large spells, dictating play with 62% possession and forcing 12 corners. Their 4-4-2 shape allowed for width and numbers in attack, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. Despite firing 28 shots, only three tested the goalkeeper, highlighting their profligacy and some resolute Tianjin defending. Adriano Firmino and Gustavo Sauer were lively in midfield and attack, but neither could provide the decisive moment. The defense was rarely troubled, but the inability to convert dominance into goals will be a concern for manager and fans alike.

Key Players

Adriano Firmino: Anchored the midfield, recycling possession and driving forward.
Gustavo Sauer: Provided attacking impetus, but missed several half-chances.
Jhonder Cádiz: Led the line energetically, though struggled to find clear openings.

Strengths

Dominated possessionCreated numerous shooting opportunitiesEffective in winning corners

Weaknesses

Poor shot accuracyLack of cutting edge in the boxStruggled to break down deep defense
Tianjin Teda

Tianjin Teda

7/10

Tianjin Teda executed their defensive game plan to near perfection, frustrating the hosts with a disciplined 5-4-1 setup. While ceding possession, they remained compact and organized, limiting Wuhan to few clear chances and relying on Yan Bingliang's alert goalkeeping. On the counter, Tianjin posed sporadic threats, registering five shots on target from 11 attempts. Bruno Xadas and Alberto Quiles offered outlets in transition, but the visitors were ultimately content to leave Wuhan with a hard-earned point.

Key Players

Yan Bingliang: Made crucial saves to preserve the clean sheet.
Aitor Córdoba: Marshaled the back line with composure and authority.
Bruno Xadas: Provided energy in midfield and supported counter-attacks.

Strengths

Disciplined defensive structureEffective counter-attackingGoalkeeper's strong performance

Weaknesses

Limited attacking possessionRelied heavily on defenseFew sustained attacking moves

Tactical Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns' 4-4-2 formation aimed to stretch the play and create overloads in wide areas, but they often found themselves crowded out by Tianjin's well-drilled five-man defense. The hosts pushed their full-backs high and looked to exploit set pieces, earning 12 corners, but lacked precision in the final delivery. Tianjin Teda's 5-4-1 prioritized solidity, with the midfield dropping deep to form a compact block in front of the back line. Their transitions were quick, with Bruno Xadas and Alberto Quiles the main outlets, but most attacks fizzled out under pressure. Tactical discipline and timely interventions were key to securing a valuable away point.

Turning Point

Yan Bingliang's crucial save from Gustavo Sauer in the 55th minute preserved parity and deflated Wuhan's momentum.

Man of the Match

Yan Bingliang

Produced a series of vital saves and commanded his area superbly to frustrate Wuhan's attackers.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda: Match Preview

Wuhan Three Towns enter this fixture sitting 15th, with just four wins from 21 and a negative goal difference that reflects their leaky defence. Their recent form is mixed—two wins, two losses, and a draw in the last five—while their home record (4-2-4) offers little comfort. Tianjin Teda, one place above in 14th, have found momentum with four wins in their last five, including back-to-back away victories at Shanghai Shenhua and Qingdao Jonoon.

Statistically, the matchup tilts towards the visitors. Wuhan's attack has been steady (1.5 goals per home game) but their defence concedes 1.3 per home match and has just two clean sheets in ten. Tianjin's away defence is among the more reliable in the lower half of the table, conceding 1.09 per away game and keeping three clean sheets in their last five overall. Both sides' season-long scoring rates are identical (1.43 per game), but Tianjin have been more clinical recently, averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded across their last five.

With both teams averaging over 2.5 goals per match and a history of high-scoring head-to-heads, the model expects a competitive encounter. However, Tianjin's current defensive solidity and sharper attack, especially after the break, give them a narrow edge. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring first half, with Tianjin pulling clear late.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Wuhan Three Towns1.25

Expected goals · model says 1.25

Tianjin Teda1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 32% Draw 25% Tianjin Teda 43%

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS: Yes

55%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
32%
41%
Wuhan Three Towns 27%Draw 32%Tianjin Teda 41%
Both Teams to Score
57%
43%
Yes 57%No 43%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda that most previews miss.

  • 1Tianjin Teda have scored nine of their last eleven goals in the second half.
  • 2Wuhan Three Towns have kept just two clean sheets in their last ten home matches.
  • 3Only 19% of combined recent matches have seen over 8.5 corners, pointing to a low set-piece count.

Who do you think wins: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Super League Predictions

The Case For This Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns have struggled to turn home advantage into points, with just four wins from ten home outings and a negative goal difference. Tianjin Teda, meanwhile, arrive with four away wins and a notably stronger defensive record on the road, conceding just 12 in 11 away matches. Both sides average 1.43 goals per game across the season, but Tianjin's recent form—four wins from five and only one goal conceded in their last three away—marks them as the more robust unit.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Both teams have scored in three of Wuhan's last five matches and two of Tianjin's last five.

Defence

  • →Tianjin Teda's away defensive record: 1.09 goals conceded per away game, compared to Wuhan's 1.3 at home.
  • →Wuhan Three Towns have failed to keep a clean sheet in 85.7% of matches this season.

🚩 Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.1 corners for Wuhan Three Towns and 3.8 for Tianjin Teda, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Wuhan Three Towns and Tianjin Teda Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Townslast 5 matches
J. CadizXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. LeauteyXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Li AngXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Gustavo SauerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wang Jinxiansub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Xiongsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Tianjin TedaTianjin Tedalast 5 matches
A. QuilesXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. Liusub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

XadasXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. SalvadorXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Ji Shengpansub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Guilherme Schettinesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wuhan Three Towns have alternated between wins and losses in their last five, but defensive frailties persist, conceding at least once in four of those outings. Tianjin Teda, in contrast, have surged with four wins from their last five, including two away clean sheets and a 2-0 win at Shanghai Shenhua.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda — Last 10 Matches

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three TownsLast 10 results
D0-0
L2-3
D1-1
W1-0
W2-0
L2-3
L0-1
D1-1
D3-3
D2-2
Dvs Tianjin Teda0-0
Lvs SHANGHAI SIPG2-3
D@ Chengdu Better City1-1
Wvs Chongqing Tongliang Long1-0
Wvs Sichuan Jiuniu2-0
L@ Dalian Zhixing2-3
L@ Beijing Guoan0-1
Dvs Yunnan Yukun1-1
D@ Shandong Luneng3-3
D@ Shanghai Shenhua2-2

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
Tianjin TedaTianjin TedaLast 10 results
D0-0
L2-4
L1-2
W3-2
W2-0
W2-0
W3-0
L0-1
W1-0
D1-1
D@ Wuhan Three Towns0-0
Lvs Beijing Guoan2-4
L@ Shandong Luneng1-2
Wvs Yunnan Yukun3-2
W@ Qingdao Jonoon2-0
W@ Shanghai Shenhua2-0
Wvs Sichuan Jiuniu3-0
L@ Chongqing Tongliang Long0-1
Wvs Dalian Zhixing1-0
D@ SHANGHAI SIPG1-1

Strengths

  • +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game

What History Says: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda

Recent head-to-heads have favoured Wuhan Three Towns, who have won three of the last five meetings, but the last encounter ended 2-2. Both sides have found the net in four of the last five clashes, with only one of the last six H2Hs ending with fewer than two goals.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Wuhan Three Towns wins

3

Draws

3

Tianjin Teda wins

40%30% draws30%
22 Aug 26Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda0-0
1 May 26Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns2-2
14 Sept 25Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns4-0
27 Apr 25Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda2-1
16 Aug 24Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns1-0
26 Apr 24Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda2-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda

No bookmaker odds are available at time of analysis, so no value bets or edges can be identified. Probabilities are model-driven and should be reassessed when market prices are published.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Wuhan Three Towns Win2.2027.0%-18.5%
Drawvalue3.4032.0%+2.6%
Tianjin Teda Winvalue3.2041.0%+9.7%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.7554.0%-3.1%
Under 2.52.0546.0%-2.8%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.6257.0%-4.7%
No2.2043.0%-2.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.40EV +0.088
1X2: Tianjin Teda Win @ 3.20EV +0.312

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or edge calculations can be made.
  • ⚠️Recent match data is a small sample and may not fully capture form swings.
  • ⚠️Lineups are unavailable at time of prediction, so late injuries or rotations could shift probabilities.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Tianjin Teda

The model projects a 2-1 away win for Tianjin Teda, driven by their superior away defensive record (1.09 conceded per away game) and recent run of form. The main risk is Wuhan's ability to find the net at home—having failed to score just once in ten home matches—which could turn the match towards a draw if Tianjin's attack stalls.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda: Common Questions

Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

Tianjin Teda are given a 41% chance of victory, compared to 27% for Wuhan Three Towns and 32% for the draw. Tianjin's recent away form and defensive record tip the balance slightly in their favour.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

Both teams have scored in 57% of their recent matches, and the model assigns a 57% probability to BTTS (yes) in this fixture, reflecting both sides' tendency to concede.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, with both teams averaging 1.43 goals per game this season and 52% of their matches going over 2.5 goals.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Resources