Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Yacoub El Mansour
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Hassania Agadir
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Hassania Agadir
Match Result
7.5/10Late Drama in Rabat as Yacoub El Mansour Edge Hassania Agadir in Stoppage-Time Thriller
Yacoub El Mansour staged a dramatic late comeback to secure a 2-1 victory over Hassania Agadir at the Stade Olympique de Rabat. Despite dominating possession with a commanding 67%, the home side struggled to break down a resolute Hassania Agadir defense and failed to register a single shot on target for most of the match. The visitors, meanwhile, stunned the hosts by taking the lead in the 53rd minute, despite having just one shot in the entire game. However, the match turned on its head in the dying moments, as Yacoub El Mansour struck twice in quick succession in the 89th and 90th minutes to snatch all three points. The closing stages were marred by disciplinary issues, with a flurry of yellow cards and a late red card for Hassania Agadir, further compounding their woes. The result reflects a tale of two halves: Hassania Agadir’s defensive resilience and opportunism, undone by late lapses and Yacoub El Mansour’s relentless pressure finally paying off.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
53' — Goal
Hassania Agadir take the lead with their only shot of the match.
89' — Goal
Yacoub El Mansour equalize late, breaking Hassania Agadir’s resistance.
90' — Goal
Yacoub El Mansour score the winner in stoppage time to complete the comeback.
Late' — Red Card
Hassania Agadir reduced to ten men, compounding their late collapse.
Yacoub El Mansour
Yacoub El Mansour controlled the tempo throughout, enjoying 67% possession and winning four corners, but struggled to convert their dominance into clear-cut chances. Their lack of shots on target highlighted attacking inefficiency for much of the match. Yet, their persistence paid off spectacularly in the closing minutes, as they capitalized on Hassania Agadir’s fatigue and disciplinary issues to score twice and secure a memorable comeback win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir set up to absorb pressure, conceding the majority of possession but remaining compact and disciplined for much of the contest. Their only shot of the game resulted in the opening goal early in the second half, a testament to their efficiency. However, their inability to retain possession and a late red card proved costly, as defensive lapses in the final minutes allowed Yacoub El Mansour to turn the match around.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Yacoub El Mansour’s approach was predicated on possession and territorial control, likely utilizing a formation that favored midfield dominance and patient buildup. Despite their control, they struggled to penetrate a well-drilled Hassania Agadir defense, which sat deep and relied on compactness. Hassania Agadir, on the other hand, were content to cede possession and look for rare counter-attacking opportunities, a plan that initially paid off with their only shot resulting in a goal. The late stages saw Yacoub El Mansour increase their urgency, pushing more men forward and possibly making attacking substitutions (though lineups are unavailable). The red card for Hassania Agadir in the closing minutes disrupted their defensive structure, allowing the home side to exploit spaces and complete the turnaround.
Turning Point
The red card to Hassania Agadir in the dying minutes, which left them vulnerable and allowed Yacoub El Mansour to capitalize and score the winner.
Man of the Match
Late Goalscorer (90')
Delivered the decisive goal in stoppage time to secure the comeback victory for Yacoub El Mansour.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir have stronger recent form (WWDLL), a better away record, and won the only H2H. Yacoub El Mansour are bottom, winless in four, and rarely keep clean sheets, so the away side is unlikely to lose.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have a high draw rate (Yacoub El Mansour: 8/24, Hassania Agadir: 6/24), and their attack/defence stats are similar. Recent form suggests a close contest.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Yacoub El Mansour have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and both sides average over 1 goal conceded per game. Neither defence is reliable.
More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Prediction
This is a crucial clash at the bottom end of the Botola Pro, with Yacoub El Mansour desperate for points to escape last place. Their recent form has been poor, with just one win in five and a leaky defence. Hassania Agadir arrive with back-to-back wins and a solid away record, but also struggle for consistency. Expect a tense, low-scoring encounter where both teams are likely to find the net, but neither has a clear edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Yacoub El Mansour have conceded in 92% of matches; clean sheet rate is just 8.3%.
- →Hassania Agadir have 3 clean sheets in last 5 and are unbeaten in two away games.
- →Both teams average over 1 goal conceded per game; BTTS is common in Yacoub El Mansour's matches.
Match Context
- →Yacoub El Mansour are bottom (16th) with only 3 wins in 24 matches.
- →Hassania Agadir have won their last two and are 12th, 10 points clear.
- →The only previous H2H ended 2-0 to Hassania Agadir.
🚩 Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Yacoub El Mansour and 3.8 for Hassania Agadir, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Yacoub El Mansour and Hassania Agadir Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Yacoub El Mansourlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yacoub El Mansour are struggling, with just one win in their last five (LDLLW), and have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of those matches. Hassania Agadir, by contrast, have found momentum with consecutive wins following a patchy spell, including a recent away victory and a home win over a top-half side.
Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir
These sides have met just once before, with Hassania Agadir winning 2-0 at home earlier this season. The lack of a broader H2H history means trends are limited, but Hassania Agadir will take confidence from that result.
Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Yacoub El Mansour wins
0
Draws
1
Hassania Agadir wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir
As bookmaker odds are not available, no positive expected value bets can be formally identified. However, model probabilities suggest the strongest edge lies with double chance X2 and the draw, given both teams' tendencies and Hassania Agadir's recent upturn.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or detailed set piece data; corners and cards estimates are based on league averages.
- ⚠️Only one prior H2H; small sample size.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Resources
Yacoub El Mansour Predictions
All Yacoub El Mansour fixtures & tips
Hassania Agadir Predictions
All Hassania Agadir fixtures & tips
Yacoub El Mansour vs Hassania Agadir Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Botola Pro Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results