Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca Predictions

Yacoub El Mansour PredictionsRaja Casablanca PredictionsBotola ProH2H Stats
Botola ProBotola Pro · Morocco
high confidence
Yacoub El Mansour

Yacoub El Mansour

Full Time

2 - 1

AI predicted 0 - 2

Raja Casablanca

Raja Casablanca

🗓️ Thursday, 25 Jun 2026 at 18:00 GMT+1 (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Olympique de Rabat, Rabat

Win Probability (1X2)

Yacoub El Mansour 13%Draw 28%Raja Casablanca 59%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: No

@ 1.8(+15% edge)

Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls Compare Odds View Team Form

Match Result

7/10

Yacoub El Mansour Edge Raja Casablanca in Spirited 2-1 Comeback

Yacoub El Mansour staged a stirring comeback at the Stade Olympique de Rabat, overturning an early deficit to defeat Raja Casablanca 2-1 in a closely contested Botola Pro encounter. The visitors struck first, finding the net in the 11th minute to seize early control, but the hosts responded with goals on either side of halftime—first at the stroke of the interval and then again in the 56th minute—to claim all three points. Despite Raja Casablanca's promising start, Yacoub El Mansour's resilience and timely finishing proved decisive. With no bookings or dismissals, the match was played in a competitive yet fair spirit, and both sides had their moments, but it was the home team's clinical edge that ultimately made the difference.

💀 AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

0 - 2

⚡

Actual

2 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results0/2 hit

btts — no@ 1.8
❌
1x2 — away@ 1.7
❌

Key Moments

11' — Goal

Raja Casablanca open the scoring, taking an early lead.

45' — Goal

Yacoub El Mansour equalize just before halftime, swinging momentum their way.

56' — Goal

Yacoub El Mansour complete the turnaround with their second goal.

Yacoub El Mansour

Yacoub El Mansour

7.5/10

Yacoub El Mansour showed admirable character after conceding early, gradually growing into the match and capitalizing on key moments. Their equalizer on the cusp of halftime shifted the momentum, and a well-taken goal early in the second half put them in the driver's seat. Defensively, they managed to hold off Raja Casablanca's attempts to draw level, maintaining composure under pressure.

Key Players

Unknown (45'): Scored the crucial equalizer just before halftime, changing the game's complexion.
Unknown (56'): Netted the winner early in the second half, capping off the comeback.

Strengths

Resilience after conceding earlyClinical finishing in key momentsComposure in defense after taking the lead

Weaknesses

Slow start leading to early goal concededLimited attacking threat in the opening stages
Raja Casablanca

Raja Casablanca

6.5/10

Raja Casablanca began brightly, capitalizing on their early dominance with a goal in the 11th minute. However, they struggled to maintain their attacking impetus as the match wore on. The loss of momentum after conceding just before halftime proved costly, and despite pushing forward in the latter stages, they were unable to break down a resolute Yacoub El Mansour defense.

Key Players

Unknown (11'): Opened the scoring with a well-taken goal, setting the tone early for Raja.

Strengths

Strong start and early goalEarly attacking intent

Weaknesses

Inability to sustain pressure after taking the leadDefensive lapses around halftime and early second half

Tactical Analysis

With lineups and formations unavailable, the tactical battle was defined by momentum shifts and timely goals. Raja Casablanca's early aggression paid dividends, but Yacoub El Mansour's ability to regroup and respond with two goals—one on the stroke of halftime and another soon after the break—suggests effective halftime adjustments and mental resilience. The hosts likely tightened up defensively after taking the lead, focusing on organization and denying Raja clear-cut chances. The absence of cards points to a disciplined approach from both sides, with neither resorting to reckless challenges.

Turning Point

Yacoub El Mansour's equalizer in first-half stoppage time, which erased Raja's lead and shifted the psychological balance heading into the second half.

Man of the Match

Unknown (56')

Scored the decisive goal that secured victory and capped off the comeback for Yacoub El Mansour.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Yacoub El Mansour0.60

Expected goals · model says 0.60

Raja Casablanca1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Win Probability
Yacoub El Mansour 15% Draw 26% Raja Casablanca 59%

Over 2.5 Goals

35%

BTTS: Yes

35%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 0-2 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
28%
59%
Yacoub El Mansour 13%Draw 28%Raja Casablanca 59%
Both Teams to Score
29%
71%
Yes 29%No 71%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
37%
63%
Over 2.5 37%Under 2.5 63%

Who do you think wins: Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca Prediction

Raja Casablanca travel to bottom side Yacoub El Mansour as strong favourites, with the visitors boasting one of the league's best defences and a solid away record. Yacoub El Mansour have struggled at both ends all season, especially at home, and are coming off a run of poor results. Raja's recent form has been mixed but they have shown the ability to grind out results, while Yacoub El Mansour's lack of firepower and leaky defence point to a low-scoring away win.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Raja Casablanca have conceded just 15 goals in 25 matches (0.6 per game) and kept 14 clean sheets.
  • →Yacoub El Mansour have the league's worst home record (2W, 4D, 6L) and have conceded 19 in 12 home games.

Match Context

  • →Raja Casablanca's away record is strong (6W, 3D, 3L, 15:10 goal difference).
  • →Yacoub El Mansour are on a poor run: 1 win in last 5, 3 losses, and 1 draw.
  • →First H2H this season ended 0-0, but Raja dominated most metrics and have more at stake in the league table.

How Yacoub El Mansour and Raja Casablanca Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Yacoub El MansourYacoub El Mansourlast 5 matches
M. Balouk
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Z. Fati
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Mrabet
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Raja CasablancaRaja Casablancalast 5 matches
B. Halimi
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Oyewusi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Barkok
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

P. Sakho
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Bougrine
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. El Amloud
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Yacoub El Mansour are in poor form, with just one win in their last five matches (form: LDLLW), and have conceded at least two goals in three of those games. Raja Casablanca have been inconsistent recently (WDLLW), but their last match was an impressive 4-3 away win, and they have generally been much stronger over the course of the season.

Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca — Last 10 Matches

Yacoub El MansourYacoub El MansourLast 10 results
W2-1
W1-0
W2-1
L1-2
D1-1
L1-2
L1-2
W2-1
D1-1
D1-1
Wvs Raja Casablanca2-1
W@ Olympique Safi1-0
Wvs Hassania Agadir2-1
L@ Ittihad Tanger1-2
Dvs CODM Meknès1-1
L@ CR Khemis Zemamra1-2
Lvs UTS Rabat1-2
Wvs Kawkab Marrakech2-1
D@ Olympique Dcheïra1-1
Dvs Renaissance Berkane1-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Raja CasablancaRaja CasablancaLast 10 results
L1-2
W2-1
W4-3
D1-1
L0-2
L0-1
W1-0
L0-1
W2-0
W1-0
L@ Yacoub El Mansour1-2
Wvs CODM Meknès2-1
W@ CR Khemis Zemamra4-3
Dvs UTS Rabat1-1
L@ Kawkab Marrakech0-2
Lvs Renaissance Berkane0-1
W@ Olympique Dcheïra1-0
Lvs Wydad AC0-1
W@ Maghreb Fès2-0
Wvs Difaa EL Jadida1-0

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +51.85% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca

The only head-to-head between these sides ended in a goalless draw earlier this season, suggesting Yacoub El Mansour can frustrate Raja, but the visitors were the more dominant team. With such a small sample, there are no strong recurring patterns or dominant team trends in this fixture.

Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

1

Yacoub El Mansour wins

1

Draws

0

Raja Casablanca wins

50%50% draws0%
25 Jun 26Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca2-1
13 Feb 26Raja Casablanca vs Yacoub El Mansour0-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca

The model sees the greatest value in 'BTTS: No', with Raja's defensive record and Yacoub El Mansour's attacking struggles making this a higher probability than typical market pricing. The away win is also a reasonable bet, but the odds are close to fair value, so the edge is minimal.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yacoub El Mansour Win3.2513.0%-17.8%
Draw3.1028.0%-4.3%
Raja Casablanca Win1.3359.0%-16.2%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value6.0037.0%+20.3%
Under 2.51.1263.0%-26.3%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue5.5029.0%+10.8%
No1.1471.0%-16.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 6.00EV +1.220
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 5.50EV +0.595

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca

  • ⚠️Only one H2H meeting (0-0), so limited direct matchup data.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for most markets; value estimates are based on typical league pricing.
  • ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) missing for both teams.
  • ⚠️Lineups and potential late injuries unknown at time of analysis.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 18 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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