Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Predictions
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 2
Dalian Zhixing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10Yunnan Yukun Overwhelm Dalian Zhixing with Late Surge in 3-1 Win
Yunnan Yukun produced a dominant second-half display to overturn an early deficit and claim a convincing 3-1 victory over Dalian Zhixing at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Despite falling behind to a 13th-minute strike from Dalian’s Cephas Malele, the hosts responded emphatically, peppering the visitors’ goal with 29 shots and eventually breaking through with three goals in the final 20 minutes. Dalian Zhixing, who were reduced to ten men after a second-half red card, struggled to cope with Yunnan Yukun’s relentless pressure. The home side’s patience paid off with goals in the 72nd, 81st, and 90th minutes, sealing a deserved win and underlining their attacking credentials. The result was a testament to Yunnan Yukun’s control and persistence, as they dominated possession with 74% and forced Dalian’s defense into submission.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
13' — Goal
Cephas Malele finishes off a swift counterattack to give Dalian Zhixing a shock lead.
72' — Goal
Yunnan Yukun finally break through, equalizing after sustained pressure.
75' — Red Card
Dalian Zhixing reduced to ten men, compounding their defensive woes.
81' — Goal
Oscar Taty Maritu puts Yunnan Yukun ahead with a clinical finish.
90' — Goal
Yunnan Yukun seal the win with a third goal in stoppage time.
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun started brightly but were stunned by an early goal. However, they maintained composure, completely dominating possession (74%) and relentlessly attacking with 29 shots, 8 of which were on target. Their persistence was eventually rewarded with three late goals, reflecting both tactical patience and attacking depth. The midfield trio dictated play, and the front three—Bunyamin Abdusalam, John Hou Sæter, and Oscar Taty Maritu—were constant threats. Defensively, they were rarely troubled after the early setback, allowing just 5 shots all game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing executed their game plan well in the opening stages, snatching a 13th-minute lead through Cephas Malele. However, they quickly found themselves under siege, managing just 26% possession and 5 total shots. The midfield struggled to gain a foothold, and their defensive resolve was eventually broken after a red card left them a man down. Despite a disciplined first half, Dalian’s inability to retain the ball or relieve pressure proved costly. Four yellow cards and a red highlighted their struggle to contain Yunnan Yukun’s relentless attacks.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Yunnan Yukun lined up in a 4-3-3, using their midfield trio to dictate tempo and stretch Dalian Zhixing’s 4-2-3-1 shape. The home side’s width and overlapping full-backs created overloads, while patient buildup and frequent switches of play wore down Dalian’s compact block. The hosts’ high pressing forced turnovers, and their set-piece threat was evident with 9 corners. Dalian Zhixing’s 4-2-3-1 initially provided defensive solidity and a platform for quick counters, but as Yunnan Yukun’s pressure mounted, Dalian dropped deeper and resorted to fouling. The red card forced them into damage control, and they struggled to transition out, leaving Malele isolated up front.
Turning Point
The red card to Dalian Zhixing in the 75th minute, coming just after Yunnan Yukun’s equalizer, shifted momentum decisively and opened the floodgates for the hosts’ late goals.
Man of the Match
Oscar Taty Maritu
Scored the go-ahead goal and was a constant attacking threat, pivotal in Yunnan Yukun’s comeback.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing: Match Preview
Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing arrive separated by a single point in the Super League table, with the hosts sixth and the visitors fifth. Yunnan’s recent form (LWDLW) features high-scoring, volatile contests, while Dalian Zhixing (DLWWL) have shown both attacking punch and defensive lapses. Both sides are in the mix for the top four, adding competitive edge to a fixture with little to separate them on paper.
The statistical profile of this match is shaped by both teams’ tendency towards open, end-to-end football. Yunnan Yukun average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per home game, while Dalian Zhixing’s away record is even more extreme at 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Both have seen over 2.5 goals in the majority of their fixtures (Yunnan 85.7%, Dalian 65%). Their last five games each average over four goals, and neither has managed a clean sheet in that span. Set-piece metrics are also high: Yunnan average 7.2 corners and Dalian 6.0 per game recently, hinting at sustained attacking phases.
Given these rates, the model expects a contest where both teams find the net and defensive structure is secondary to attacking intent. The likeliest outcomes cluster around high-scoring draws and narrow one-goal wins either way, with 2-2 the statistical mode. The main risk is a sharp drop in finishing efficiency, but the underlying shot volumes (16+ per game each) and poor clean sheet rates make a low-scoring outcome unlikely.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing that most previews miss.
- 1Yunnan Yukun’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 18 of 21 league games (85.7%), the highest rate in the league.
- 2Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, with BTTS landing in all 10 combined games.
- 3The last five H2H meetings have averaged 3.0 goals per match, with Yunnan Yukun unbeaten in the last four.
Who do you think wins: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have a season over 2.5 goals rate above 65% (Yunnan Yukun 85.7%, Dalian Zhixing 65%), and their last five matches average 4.4 and 4.2 total goals respectively, supporting a high-goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in all of their last five matches, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span; BTTS has landed in 10/10 combined recent games.
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Correct Score: 2–2
The distribution of goals and high BTTS likelihood, combined with both sides’ defensive frailties (1.95 and 1.8 conceded per game), make a high-scoring draw plausible.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction
Statistically, this fixture sets up as a high-variance, high-goal contest between two sides whose attacking output is matched only by their defensive vulnerabilities. Yunnan Yukun’s home matches average four goals per game, while Dalian Zhixing concede over two per away trip. Both teams’ recent form points to a game where neither is likely to keep a clean sheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Dalian Zhixing have conceded 22 goals in 10 away games, the second-worst away defensive record in the top half.
Match Context
- →Yunnan Yukun’s home games average 4.0 total goals (22 for, 18 against in 10 home matches).
🚩 Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for Yunnan Yukun and 4.5 for Dalian Zhixing, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yunnan Yukunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Dalian Zhixinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yunnan Yukun’s recent matches have been goal-heavy, with 13 scored and 13 conceded in their last five (2.6 per game both ways), and no clean sheets. Dalian Zhixing’s last five (DLWWL) also feature high output—10 scored, 11 conceded—with both teams scoring in every match. Both sides are trending towards attack-first football, with little defensive stability.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 82.61% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four of the last seven and losing just once. The fixture has favoured goals, with four of the last five meetings producing at least three. Earlier this season, Yunnan took a 3-1 win away from home.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
5
Yunnan Yukun wins
2
Draws
1
Dalian Zhixing wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
With no bookmaker odds available, value edges cannot be calculated for this fixture. The model’s highest conviction lies in the goals markets, particularly over 2.5 and BTTS, given the teams’ historical and recent scoring rates. If market odds are posted near standard lines, these would be the first places to check for value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries are unknown; model assumes typical starting elevens.
- ⚠️Both teams’ high recent goal rates could regress, but season-long rates support the projection.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yunnan Yukun 2–2 Dalian ZhixingThe model projects a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams’ high scoring and concession rates—Yunnan Yukun’s 2.0 scored and 1.95 conceded per game, Dalian Zhixing’s 1.55 scored and 1.8 conceded. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if either side’s finishing cools off or a red card disrupts the rhythm, but the statistical shape points firmly towards goals at both ends.
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing: Common Questions
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?
The model rates this as a near coin-flip: 36% home win, 35% away win, and 29% draw. Both teams have similar points tallies and goal differences, so a high-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?
Yes is rated at 75% probability, supported by both teams scoring and conceding in all of their last five matches and neither keeping a clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 72% probability, reflecting Yunnan Yukun’s league-leading over 2.5 rate (85.7%) and Dalian Zhixing’s high concession rate away from home.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 8 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.