Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Predictions
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Wuhan Three Towns
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
7.1/10Late Drama as Yunnan Yukun Edge Wuhan Three Towns in Tight Contest
Yunnan Yukun clinched a dramatic 2-1 victory over Wuhan Three Towns at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, with a late goal in the 86th minute proving decisive. The hosts struck first in the 15th minute and, despite Wuhan's dominance in possession, held firm for much of the match. Wuhan Three Towns mounted a late surge, pulling one back in stoppage time, but it was too little, too late. While Wuhan Three Towns enjoyed 56% of the ball and forced four corners to Yunnan's one, they struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances, registering just two shots on target. Yunnan Yukun, more clinical on the day, made their four shots on target count, capitalizing on key moments at both ends of the pitch.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
15' — Goal
Oscar Taty Maritu opens the scoring for Yunnan Yukun with a well-taken effort.
86' — Goal
Cléber doubles Yunnan's lead late on, capitalizing on a rare chance.
90' — Goal
Jhonder Cádiz pulls one back for Wuhan Three Towns in stoppage time, but it's not enough.
68' — Yellow Card
Wuhan's Ming Tian is booked as frustrations mount.
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun executed a disciplined game plan, striking early and absorbing pressure for long stretches. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed them to transition quickly and exploit Wuhan's high line, resulting in a crucial opening goal. Despite conceding the majority of possession, they remained compact defensively and were ruthless in front of goal when opportunities arose, especially with a decisive late strike in the 86th minute. The backline, marshaled by Andrei Burcă and Chenliang Zhang, stood resolute, while the midfield trio worked tirelessly to disrupt Wuhan's rhythm. The attacking trio provided the necessary spark to make the difference.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns controlled the tempo with 56% possession and looked to dictate play through their 4-4-2 setup. Despite their territorial dominance and four corners, they struggled to break down a disciplined Yunnan defense, managing only two shots on target from ten attempts. Their midfield, led by Antoine Leautey and Adriano Firmino, circulated the ball well but lacked the incisiveness to unlock the hosts. A late goal in stoppage time gave them hope, but their inability to convert possession into meaningful chances ultimately proved costly. Defensive lapses at key moments undermined their efforts.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Yunnan Yukun lined up in a 4-3-3, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their midfield trio shielded the back four effectively, while the front three looked to exploit spaces left by Wuhan's advanced fullbacks. The hosts were content to cede possession, focusing on maintaining shape and springing counters. Wuhan Three Towns, in a 4-4-2, sought to control the game through midfield overloads and patient buildup. However, their lack of width and penetration, combined with Yunnan's disciplined defensive block, limited their effectiveness in the final third. Set pieces offered little respite, with Wuhan unable to capitalize on their four corners.
Turning Point
Cléber's 86th-minute goal, which gave Yunnan a two-goal cushion and ultimately secured the victory.
Man of the Match
Cléber
Scored the decisive late goal and provided a constant threat up front, sealing the win for Yunnan Yukun.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns: Match Preview
Yunnan Yukun enter this fixture sixth in the Super League, with a robust home record of eight wins from fourteen and a recent run of two draws following a heavy defeat. Their attack has been consistent, averaging 2.29 goals per home game, while Wuhan Three Towns sit second from bottom and have not won in five, their last two outings both ending in defeat and featuring at least three goals conceded.
The statistical matchup highlights Yunnan Yukun's attacking strength at home against a Wuhan Three Towns defence that has shipped 2.21 goals per away game. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs — Yunnan Yukun's matches have cleared the 2.5-goal line in 79% of cases, and Wuhan Three Towns have seen both teams score in all of their last five. Shot volumes are healthy on both sides, but defensive frailties are more pronounced for the visitors, who have not kept a clean sheet in their last five and average 2.8 goals conceded per game over that span.
Given these rates, the model expects a match with multiple goals and both sides on the scoresheet. Yunnan Yukun's home attack has the edge, but Wuhan Three Towns' ability to score late and their tendency to concede heavily suggest a likely 2-1 or 2-2 outcome, with the hosts more likely to capitalise on defensive lapses.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
64%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns that most previews miss.
- 1Yunnan Yukun home matches average 3.71 total goals, the highest in the league among top-half teams.
- 2Wuhan Three Towns have drawn seven of fourteen away matches, with both teams scoring in ten of those.
- 3Across their last five, Wuhan Three Towns have conceded 14 goals, with 86% of those coming after half-time.
Who do you think wins: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun's matches have seen 79% over 2.5 goals this season, and both sides average above 1.5 goals conceded per game, supporting a high goal expectation.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in all of their last five matches, with Yunnan Yukun failing to keep a clean sheet in three of those and Wuhan Three Towns conceding 2.8 per game in the same span.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Yunnan Yukun Win
Yunnan Yukun have won eight of fourteen at home, while Wuhan Three Towns have just one away win and a -9 away goal difference, tilting the edge towards the hosts.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction
Statistical indicators point to a high-scoring contest between a strong home side and a defensively vulnerable visitor, with Yunnan Yukun's superior home attack likely to be decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Yunnan Yukun have scored 32 goals in 14 home matches (2.29 per game), while Wuhan Three Towns have conceded 31 in 14 away (2.21 per game).
- →Wuhan Three Towns have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five and have not won away since early in the campaign.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches, with Yunnan Yukun at 79% and Wuhan Three Towns at 55%.
🚩 Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Yunnan Yukun and 4.7 for Wuhan Three Towns, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 55% · Over 10.5: 30%.
How Yunnan Yukun and Wuhan Three Towns Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yunnan Yukunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wuhan Three Townslast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yunnan Yukun have steadied after a 1-7 defeat, recording back-to-back draws and remaining unbeaten in their last three. Wuhan Three Towns are winless in five, with two straight losses and a concerning average of 2.8 goals conceded per match in that period.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
The three previous meetings have all featured goals for both sides, with no clean sheets and a balanced record: one win each and a draw. The last encounter finished 1-1, suggesting a competitive but open fixture.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Yunnan Yukun wins
1
Draws
1
Wuhan Three Towns wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
With bookmaker odds unavailable, value cannot be formally assessed, but the model's high confidence in over 2.5 goals and both teams to score suggests these would be the first places to look for positive expected value if prices are competitive.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides includes some extreme scorelines, increasing variance in expected goal outcomes.
- ⚠️Discipline and set-piece data are incomplete for the season, limiting precision in cards and corners estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Wuhan Three TownsThe model projects a 2-1 win for Yunnan Yukun, primarily due to their strong home scoring rate (2.29 per game) against a Wuhan Three Towns defence conceding over two per away match. The greatest risk to this outlook is the volatility of both teams' recent results, with Wuhan Three Towns occasionally finding the net multiple times even in defeat.
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns: Common Questions
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Yunnan Yukun are favoured with a 47% win probability, reflecting their eight home wins and Wuhan Three Towns' single away victory all season. The draw is also a significant runner at 29%.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Both teams to score is rated at 64%, supported by both sides scoring in all of their last five matches and Wuhan Three Towns failing to keep a clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Over 2.5 goals has a 66% probability, underpinned by Yunnan Yukun's league-high 79% over 2.5 rate and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.