Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Aarhus
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Vendsyssel FF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Aarhus Win
Recommended Bets: Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF: Match Preview
Aarhus approach this friendly on the back of a mixed run (DWLDL), but their home form remains a standout: unbeaten in five, averaging three goals per home game, and producing late drama with multiple late equalisers. Vendsyssel FF, meanwhile, have cooled after a strong start, drawing two and losing two of their last five in all competitions, and conceding seven goals in that span after a season of defensive stinginess.
Statistically, the matchup pivots on Aarhus’ attacking firepower (2.63 goals per game, 75% over 2.5 rate) against a Vendsyssel side whose defensive numbers have softened recently (1.8 conceded per last five, compared to just 0.22 over the season). Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and Aarhus have failed to keep a clean sheet in that run. Corners and cards data are patchy but Aarhus’ last five home matches have averaged over 4 corners and 1.4 yellows per game.
The model projects a moderately high-scoring contest, with Aarhus’ home advantage and offensive rates tipping the balance. Vendsyssel’s ability to keep games tight means a draw or narrow home win is most probable, but the expected goal environment is above average, with both teams likely to score.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF that most previews miss.
- 1Aarhus have scored 8 of their last 10 goals in the second half, highlighting a late-game scoring trend.
- 2Vendsyssel FF’s season away record is 3W, 1D, 1L, but they have conceded in each of their last three away outings.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, but Aarhus’ current over 2.5 rate is 75%.
Who do you think wins: Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Aarhus Win
Aarhus have averaged 2.63 goals per game this season and remain unbeaten at home (4W, 1D), while Vendsyssel FF’s away scoring is modest (1.6 per game) and their defensive record, though strong overall, has shown cracks in recent matches (1.8 conceded per last 5).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Aarhus matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league games and their last five have averaged 3.8 total goals, suggesting a higher goal environment than Vendsyssel’s season-long under trend.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches each, and Vendsyssel have failed to score just once in their last five, while Aarhus have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction
Aarhus’ prolific home attack meets Vendsyssel’s disciplined but recently vulnerable defence in a fixture that rates above average for goal expectancy. The hosts’ season-long scoring rate (2.63 per game) and unbeaten home run set the baseline, while Vendsyssel’s away record (1.6 scored, 0.2 conceded per away game) is flattered by a softer schedule and has shown regression in recent outings. The numbers point to Aarhus’ front line having the edge, but Vendsyssel’s counter threat and overall defensive structure keep the outcome within one goal either way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Aarhus average 2.63 goals scored per game this season, with 15 goals in 5 home fixtures.
Defence
- →Vendsyssel FF have conceded 1.8 goals per game over their last 5 matches, up from their season average of 0.22.
- →Both sides have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5, and Aarhus have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
🚩 Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Aarhus and 5 for Vendsyssel FF, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Aarhus and Vendsyssel FF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Aarhuslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Vendsyssel FFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Aarhus have shown attacking consistency at home, averaging three goals per match and remaining unbeaten in their last five on their own ground, though defensive lapses have led to just one clean sheet in that span. Vendsyssel FF, after a strong defensive start to the season, have conceded 1.8 per game over their last five and managed just one win in that period, signalling a dip in form.
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +77.78% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF
The last five meetings between these sides have seen Aarhus unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws), with most games closely contested and low-scoring. Three of those matches finished level and only one produced more than two goals, though Aarhus’ recent attacking output suggests a different dynamic this time.
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
2
Aarhus wins
3
Draws
0
Vendsyssel FF wins
Things to Watch: Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Recent match stats for Vendsyssel are incomplete (shots, possession, set pieces).
- ⚠️Friendlies format may affect lineups and intensity; motivation and rotation risk are elevated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Aarhus 2–1 Vendsyssel FFAarhus are favoured to edge a 2-1 win, driven by their 2.63 goals-per-game average and unbeaten home record. The strongest data point is their consistent home scoring output, but the main risk is Vendsyssel’s capacity to frustrate and the unpredictable nature of friendlies, where rotation or reduced intensity could lower the goal count.
Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF: Common Questions
Who will win Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF?
The model gives Aarhus a 46% chance of victory, with a 30% probability of a draw and 24% for a Vendsyssel win. Aarhus’ home scoring rate and unbeaten record make them marginal favourites.
Will both teams score in Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF?
There is a 52% probability of both teams scoring, as each side has seen BTTS in three of their last five matches and Aarhus have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, reflecting Aarhus’ 75% over 2.5 rate this season and their average of 2.63 goals scored per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Aarhus vs Vendsyssel FF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.