AC Horsens vs Vejle Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
AC Horsens
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Vejle
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
AC Horsens vs Vejle: Match Preview
AC Horsens enter this fixture having found the net with regularity—14 goals in their last five matches across all competitions—but their defensive record remains patchy, conceding eight in the same span. Vejle’s recent run is less prolific but more stable, with just one defeat in their last five and two clean sheets, though they’ve also failed to score twice. Both sides’ season records show little to separate them, each sitting on ten points and a zero goal difference in league play, highlighting the statistical parity at play.
The matchup is shaped by nearly identical scoring and concession rates: Horsens average 1.44 goals for and against per game, Vejle 1.6 in both categories. Horsens’ home record is mixed (1W, 1L), while Vejle have drawn all four away league matches, scoring and conceding six. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 44–50% of matches for both, and both teams have scored in three of their last five. First-half goals have been a theme for Vejle (six in five games), while Horsens’ attack is more evenly split across halves.
Given the balanced rates and the prevalence of draws in both recent and head-to-head data, the model expects a cautious, statistically even contest. Neither side’s attack is likely to consistently outmatch the other’s defence, and with both teams’ clean sheet rates below 25%, a 1-1 draw emerges as the likeliest outcome. The distribution of expected goals and the lack of a decisive home or away edge reinforce the projection of a closely fought match.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
AC Horsens vs Vejle Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind AC Horsens vs Vejle that most previews miss.
- 1Vejle have drawn all four of their away league matches this season, each with both teams scoring (6:6 aggregate).
- 2Horsens have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game in their last five, but have managed just one clean sheet in that stretch.
- 3Four of the last ten head-to-heads have ended level, with three finishing either 1-1 or 0-0.
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The Case For This AC Horsens vs Vejle Prediction
Statistically, this friendly between AC Horsens and Vejle projects as a closely contested, mid-tempo affair. Both sides arrive with similar season-long scoring and concession rates—Horsens averaging 1.44 scored and conceded per game, Vejle at 1.6 for both. The underlying numbers point to a moderate goal environment, with neither side showing a decisive home or away edge. Recent form offers some nuance: Horsens have found the net with regularity in their last five (2.8 goals scored per game), but have also conceded 1.6 per match, while Vejle’s last five show a more conservative 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, with two clean sheets but also two matches without scoring. The head-to-head history leans Vejle’s way (five wins in the last ten), but draws (four in ten) and low-scoring outcomes are common. With both teams’ season-long over 2.5 goal rates hovering just below or at 50% and BTTS hitting in three of their last five, the likeliest scenario is a balanced contest where neither attack consistently outpaces the opposition’s defence. A 1-1 draw is the statistical centre, with the model giving slight preference to a split outcome due to the prevalence of draws in both recent form and the H2H record.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Vejle remain unbeaten away in the league this season (0W, 4D, 0L, 6:6 goals).
- →Head-to-head meetings have produced four draws in the last ten, with a 1-1 or 0-0 result recurring.
Defence
- →Both teams have scored and conceded at nearly identical rates this season: Horsens 1.44 for/against, Vejle 1.6 for/against.
🚩 AC Horsens vs Vejle Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for AC Horsens and 5 for Vejle, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How AC Horsens and Vejle Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
AC Horsens vs Vejle Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
AC Horsenslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Vejlelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Horsens have shown attacking momentum with three wins in their last five and 14 goals scored, but defensive vulnerabilities persist. Vejle’s recent form is steadier, with one win, three draws, and a single defeat, and their last five include two clean sheets but also two matches without scoring. Both teams’ league seasons are nearly mirror images: ten points, zero goal difference, and similar home/away splits.
AC Horsens vs Vejle — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: AC Horsens vs Vejle
Vejle have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last ten, but draws are common, including three 1-1 or 0-0 results. Horsens have only one win in that span, and the fixture often produces low or moderate scorelines.
AC Horsens vs Vejle Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
AC Horsens wins
4
Draws
5
Vejle wins
Things to Watch: AC Horsens vs Vejle
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis and recommended bets are omitted.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shots, possession, and set piece data for Vejle’s recent matches introduces some uncertainty.
- ⚠️As a friendly, motivation and lineup strength are unpredictable and may diverge from league patterns.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
AC Horsens 1–1 VejleA 1-1 draw is the statistical centre for this fixture, underpinned by both teams’ matching season-long goal rates and Vejle’s run of away draws. The likeliest way this projection fails is if either attack capitalises on the other’s defensive lapses—Horsens’ recent high scoring or Vejle’s first-half goal habit could tip the balance.
AC Horsens vs Vejle: Common Questions
Who will win AC Horsens vs Vejle?
The model gives Horsens a 28% chance, Vejle a 34% chance, and the draw a 38% chance—making a draw the most statistically likely outcome, supported by the teams’ identical goal records and Vejle’s away draw streak.
Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Vejle?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, based on each side’s season-long BTTS rates and their tendency to concede (Horsens 1.44, Vejle 1.6 goals against per game).
Is over 2.5 goals likely in AC Horsens vs Vejle?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 51%, reflecting both teams’ season rates (44–50%) and Horsens’ recent attacking output. The goal environment is moderate, so a 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline is most plausible.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for AC Horsens vs Vejle: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.