Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Pendikspor
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Antalyaspor Win
Match Result
8.2/10Pendikspor Edge Five-Goal Thriller Against Antalyaspor in Antalya
Pendikspor claimed a dramatic 3-2 away victory over Antalyaspor at Corendon Airlines Park, prevailing in a pulsating encounter that saw the lead change hands and tempers flare. The visitors struck first and built a two-goal cushion before Antalyaspor mounted a spirited second-half comeback, only for Pendikspor to snatch the winner minutes later. The match was a showcase of attacking intent and momentum swings. Pendikspor opened the scoring in the 16th minute and doubled their advantage before halftime. Antalyaspor responded with two quickfire goals after the break to level proceedings, but Pendikspor responded almost immediately, restoring their lead in the 73rd minute and holding on despite late pressure and a flurry of yellow cards.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
16' — Goal
Pendikspor open the scoring to take an early lead.
40' — Goal
Pendikspor double their advantage, putting Antalyaspor on the back foot.
62' — Goal
Antalyaspor pull one back, igniting hopes of a comeback.
71' — Goal
Antalyaspor equalize, capping a spirited fightback.
73' — Goal
Pendikspor respond immediately to retake the lead.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Antalyaspor receive four yellow cards in a physical contest; Pendikspor pick up one.
Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor showed impressive resilience after falling two goals behind, rallying with a pair of goals in the second half to briefly draw level. Their attacking response injected life into the match and ignited the home crowd, but defensive lapses ultimately cost them. Four yellow cards highlighted their struggles to contain Pendikspor’s forward surges, and despite their fighting spirit, they were unable to find an equalizer after conceding the decisive third goal.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pendikspor
Pendikspor executed their game plan with clinical efficiency, racing to a two-goal lead with strikes in the 16th and 40th minutes. Although rattled by Antalyaspor's quickfire double after the break, they showed composure to regain the lead almost immediately. Defensively, they weathered late pressure, conceding only one yellow card and maintaining their discipline to secure all three points on the road.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, the match’s ebb and flow suggests both sides favored attacking football, with Pendikspor exploiting early spaces to grab a two-goal lead. Antalyaspor’s response after halftime points to tactical adjustments, likely increasing attacking width or pressing intensity, which paid off with two quick goals. Pendikspor’s ability to regroup and strike back immediately after conceding twice demonstrates their tactical discipline and mental resilience, while Antalyaspor’s four yellow cards indicate a more aggressive approach as they chased the game. Set pieces and transitions played a significant role in the game’s momentum swings.
Turning Point
Pendikspor’s immediate reply in the 73rd minute, just two minutes after Antalyaspor equalized, decisively swung the match back in their favor.
Man of the Match
Pendikspor’s match-winner (73')
Delivered under pressure with the decisive goal, sealing a crucial away victory.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor: Match Preview
Antalyaspor arrive with momentum, having won their opening league fixture 4-3 and riding a three-match winning streak across all competitions. Their attack has been productive, but defensive vulnerabilities persist, as shown by conceding three at home to Keçiörengücü. Pendikspor, meanwhile, began their campaign with a 2-2 draw and have alternated between solid and leaky performances in recent outings, with only one clean sheet in their last five competitive matches. Both sides sit in the upper half of the early table but will see this as a key test of their ambitions.
Statistically, both teams trend towards open matches. Antalyaspor average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last five, while Pendikspor post 1.4 for and 1.2 against, with a marginally higher shot output (10.2 shots per match). The BTTS rate is identical at 60% in the last five for both, and neither side kept a clean sheet in their opening league game. Set-piece threat is moderate, with corners per match below four for both, but discipline could play a role: Antalyaspor have averaged three yellow cards per game recently, a potential risk in a tight contest.
The model projects a moderate goal environment, with Antalyaspor's home advantage and sharper recent attack tipping the balance. The most likely outcome is a 2-1 home win, but both teams' defensive records suggest a draw or a high-scoring stalemate is plausible if either side's back line underperforms.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor that most previews miss.
- 1Antalyaspor have scored in four of their last five matches, but have only kept two clean sheets in that span.
- 2Pendikspor's last five matches have averaged 2.6 total goals, with three ending BTTS.
- 3In six head-to-head meetings, the home side has won five times, with only one draw.
Who do you think wins: Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Antalyaspor Win
Antalyaspor have won three on the bounce and average 1.8 goals scored over their last five, while Pendikspor have only one clean sheet in the same span and have never won away at this venue in the last six H2Hs.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams saw over 2.5 goals in their opening league matches and their last five averages are 1.8 and 1.4 goals scored per game respectively, with both conceding at least 1.2 per game.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in three of the last five for both sides, and neither has kept a clean sheet in their only league match this season.
More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Prediction
This is a contest between two sides whose early-season numbers point to a lively, competitive fixture. Antalyaspor have started with a 4-3 home win and bring a three-match winning streak, while Pendikspor opened with a 2-2 draw and have been more erratic defensively. The underlying rates for both teams suggest goals are likely, with neither defence showing reliability. Antalyaspor's attack has produced 1.8 goals per game over their last five, but they also concede 1.6 on average, and their only clean sheet in that span came against a lower-tier opponent. Pendikspor's attack is less prolific but consistent (1.4 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per game over the last five), and their shot volume (10.2 per game) is slightly higher than Antalyaspor's. Both teams have seen three of their last five go BTTS, and their opening league matches both cleared 2.5 goals. The statistical shape of the match points to a moderate goal environment, with Antalyaspor's home edge and recent form giving them a slight advantage. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win in a match where both sides score, but the distribution of recent results leaves room for a high-variance outcome if either defence falters.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Pendikspor have averaged 10.2 shots and 3.6 shots on target per game in their last five.
Defence
- →Antalyaspor average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Both teams' only league matches this season saw over 2.5 goals and both teams scored.
🚩 Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Antalyaspor and 4.2 for Pendikspor, for an expected total of 8.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 44% · Over 10.5: 20%.
How Antalyaspor and Pendikspor Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Antalyasporlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pendiksporlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Antalyaspor come into this fixture on a three-match winning run, scoring 1.8 goals per game over their last five and showing attacking intent. Pendikspor's form is more mixed, with a single draw to open the league campaign and just one clean sheet in their last five, but they have found the net in four of those outings.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor
Antalyaspor have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four of the last six meetings and all three home cup ties. However, Pendikspor did record a 2-1 away win in May 2024, showing they can be competitive on the road. Most encounters have produced goals, with only one ending in a draw.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
4
Antalyaspor wins
1
Draws
1
Pendikspor wins
Things to Watch: Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor
- ⚠️Both teams have only played one league match this season, so season averages are not yet robust.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent H2H data is limited to six matches, but does show a home bias.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Antalyaspor 2–1 PendiksporThe data points to a narrow Antalyaspor win, most likely 2-1, with the strongest signal coming from their three-match winning streak and 1.8 goals per game average over the last five. The main risk is both sides' defensive inconsistency—either team could concede multiple goals, raising the probability of a draw or a high-scoring result if finishing is clinical.
Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor: Common Questions
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?
Antalyaspor are favoured with a 46% probability of victory, compared to 22% for Pendikspor and a 32% chance of a draw. Their recent three-match winning streak and home scoring rate give them the edge.
Will both teams score in Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides' BTTS rate of 60% over their last five matches and the fact that neither kept a clean sheet in their opening league game.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 58% probability, with both teams' only league matches this season finishing above that line and their combined last five matches averaging over 2.5 goals per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.