CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CA Bizertin
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Olympique Béja
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja: Match Preview
CA Bizertin enter their second league match buoyed by a 1-0 win over AS Marsa, snapping a run of four consecutive defeats across all competitions. Olympique Béja, in contrast, started their campaign with a 1-0 away loss to ES Zarzis and have managed just one win in their last five outings, leaving them near the foot of the early table. The hosts have a strong historical edge in this fixture, particularly at Stade 15 Octobre, where they have claimed three consecutive home wins over Béja without conceding.
Statistically, this fixture is shaped by low attacking output and robust defensive trends. CA Bizertin's last five matches have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Béja have averaged 0.8 for and 1 against in the same span. Both teams' season openers finished under 2.5 goals, and the last ten head-to-heads have averaged barely a goal per game. The first half is typically cagey: only three combined first-half goals across the last five matches for both sides, suggesting a slow start is likely. Discipline and set-piece data are unavailable, but neither side has shown a recent tendency for high corners or cards.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring contest with Bizertin's home advantage and defensive record tipping the balance. Olympique Béja's lack of attacking thrust away from home, coupled with Bizertin's strong clean sheet rate at this venue, makes a 1-0 home win the likeliest outcome. However, with both sides struggling for goals and early-season volatility in play, a goalless draw cannot be ruled out.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
BTTS: Yes
21%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja that most previews miss.
- 1Eight of the last ten head-to-heads have finished with under 1.5 goals.
- 2CA Bizertin have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home matches against Olympique Béja.
- 3Olympique Béja have failed to score in three of their last five away games.
Who do you think wins: CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in all of their last five matches, and the last ten head-to-heads have averaged just 1.1 goals per game.
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BTTS: No
CA Bizertin have kept a clean sheet in their only league match this season and Olympique Béja have failed to score in three of their last five outings.
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Match Result: CA Bizertin Win
Bizertin have won five of the last ten meetings, including their last home game, and Olympique Béja have lost four of their last five away matches.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Prediction
This fixture projects as a low-scoring, attritional contest, with both sides displaying limited attacking output and a strong historical trend towards unders. CA Bizertin's home record and defensive solidity tilt the balance slightly in their favour, but the data points to a tight margin throughout.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →All of the last ten head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, with six ending 1-0 or 0-0.
Defence
- →CA Bizertin average just 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Olympique Béja have failed to score in three of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in their last six away matches.
How CA Bizertin and Olympique Béja Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CA Bizertinlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Olympique Béjalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CA Bizertin halted a four-match losing streak with a narrow 1-0 home win in their league opener, suggesting some defensive improvement. Olympique Béja, meanwhile, have just one win in their last five and opened the new campaign with a 1-0 defeat, continuing a trend of low-scoring, tight matches for both sides.
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja
CA Bizertin have a strong record in this fixture, winning five of the last ten meetings and keeping six clean sheets. The last three encounters in Bizerte have all ended in home wins to nil, with Olympique Béja rarely finding the net at this venue. Draws are also common, particularly in matches played at Béja.
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
CA Bizertin wins
4
Draws
1
Olympique Béja wins
Things to Watch: CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja
- ⚠️Only one league match played for each side this season—sample size is extremely limited for 2026/27.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data for recent matches; model is reliant on historic rates and results.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CA Bizertin 1–0 Olympique BéjaThe model projects a 1-0 win for CA Bizertin, primarily on the back of their historical home dominance and Olympique Béja's limited attacking threat on the road. The strongest data point is the persistent under 2.5 goals trend in both teams' recent matches and their head-to-heads. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if early-season rust leads to a defensive lapse or a set-piece goal for the visitors, opening up a match that otherwise profiles as low-event.
CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja: Common Questions
Who will win CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
CA Bizertin are given a 44% probability of victory, with a 38% chance of a draw and just 18% for an Olympique Béja away win. Home advantage and historical trends favour Bizertin, but the low-scoring profile keeps the draw in play.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
The model sees an 86% probability for under 2.5 goals, with both sides averaging less than a goal per game in recent matches and all of their last ten meetings finishing under this line.
Will both teams score in CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
Both teams to score 'No' is rated at 81%, as CA Bizertin have kept a clean sheet in their only match this season and Olympique Béja have failed to score in three of their last five games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CA Bizertin vs Olympique Béja: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.