Club Africain vs ES Zarzis Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
Club Africain
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
ES Zarzis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.6/10Club Africain Edge Past ES Zarzis with Second-Half Strike
Club Africain secured a narrow 1-0 victory over ES Zarzis at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, thanks to a decisive goal in the 57th minute. In a tightly contested Ligue 1 encounter, neither side managed to assert complete dominance, but it was the hosts who found the breakthrough after the interval. ES Zarzis battled bravely, but ultimately came up short in front of goal, unable to respond to Club Africain’s solitary strike. The match was marked by disciplined defending from both teams, with few clear chances and a total of three yellow cards issued. Club Africain’s resilience and timely goal proved enough to claim all three points, while ES Zarzis left rueing their inability to convert pressure into an equalizer.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
57' — Goal
Club Africain break the deadlock with the only goal of the match.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Club Africain receive their only yellow card in a physical contest.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
ES Zarzis pick up the first of two yellow cards as they chase the game.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
ES Zarzis receive a second yellow card, reflecting their increasing frustration.
Club Africain
Club Africain delivered a professional display, capitalizing on their opportunity early in the second half to secure a hard-fought win. Their defensive organization limited ES Zarzis to few chances, and the hosts managed the game well after taking the lead. Despite not overwhelming their opponents, Club Africain’s composure and discipline were evident, especially as they navigated a physical contest that saw them pick up a single yellow card.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis put in a determined shift, staying competitive throughout the match but ultimately lacking the cutting edge in attack. Their discipline was tested, as reflected by two yellow cards, and while they worked hard to find an equalizer after falling behind, their efforts fell short. Despite the defeat, Zarzis showed resilience and tactical awareness, but will need to improve their offensive output to turn performances into points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams fielding disciplined and organized sides, the match was characterized by tight defensive lines and limited open play opportunities. Club Africain’s approach was pragmatic, focusing on maintaining shape and capitalizing on moments of transition. After taking the lead, they dropped deeper, inviting ES Zarzis to break them down—a task the visitors struggled with, despite increased urgency and physicality. The lack of detailed lineup and substitution data makes it difficult to assess formation changes, but the pattern of play suggested a conservative shift from Club Africain after their goal, while Zarzis pushed forward in search of an equalizer, risking more fouls and bookings.
Turning Point
The 57th-minute goal for Club Africain shifted the momentum decisively, forcing ES Zarzis to chase the game and exposing them to disciplinary risks.
Man of the Match
Unknown Goalscorer (Club Africain)
Provided the crucial breakthrough in a tight contest, delivering the match-winning goal.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis: Match Preview
Club Africain enter this fixture on a run of three consecutive wins across all competitions, yet their results have been defined by defensive control rather than attacking flair: they have scored exactly one goal in each of their last five matches, conceding only once in that span. ES Zarzis, meanwhile, sit mid-table after two league games, having edged Olympique Béja 1-0 at home but fallen 2-1 at CS Sfaxien, and their own form string (WLWLW) highlights inconsistency.
The underlying numbers point to a match of fine margins. Club Africain average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per league game, while Zarzis have a 1.0 for, 1.0 against profile. The hosts’ last five matches have produced just five goals in total, with four clean sheets and only one BTTS result. ES Zarzis have managed only one clean sheet in their last five, but their attack has also been subdued away from home. Both sides trend towards second-half scoring: Club Africain have not scored before half-time in their last five, while Zarzis have netted just two first-half goals.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair, with Club Africain’s defensive record and home advantage tipping the balance. The most likely outcome is a 1-0 home win, but the low goal environment means a 0-0 or 1-1 draw are plausible if the hosts’ attack again struggles to break through. Under 2.5 goals and 'No' in BTTS are the strongest statistical leans.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Club Africain vs ES Zarzis that most previews miss.
- 1Club Africain have not conceded a single goal in their opening two Ligue 1 matches this season.
- 2Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- 3Club Africain’s last five matches have seen all five of their goals scored after half-time.
Who do you think wins: Club Africain vs ES Zarzis?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Club Africain vs ES Zarzis(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides are averaging just 1 goal scored per game in Ligue 1 so far, and Club Africain have kept clean sheets in 100% of matches this season. Only 18% chance of over 2.5 goals by the model, with both teams' matches trending heavily under.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Club Africain have conceded just once in their last five across all competitions, and only one of their last five saw both teams score. Model gives 78% probability to 'No' in BTTS.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This Club Africain vs ES Zarzis Prediction
A low-scoring contest is expected at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, with Club Africain's defensive solidity the defining feature. The hosts have yet to concede in Ligue 1 this season and are riding a three-match winning streak, while ES Zarzis have struggled for consistency and failed to keep a clean sheet away from home. The statistical profile points to a tight, risk-averse match, with Club Africain's control and defensive discipline likely to edge a narrow result.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Club Africain have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches and 100% in the league this season.
- →ES Zarzis have lost their only away match so far, conceding twice and scoring just once.
Match Context
- →Only one of the last five Club Africain matches saw both teams score.
How Club Africain and ES Zarzis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Club Africainlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Club Africain are on a three-match winning streak, conceding just one goal in their last five matches and posting back-to-back 1-0 wins to start the league campaign. ES Zarzis have alternated wins and losses (WLWLW) and have already dropped points away from home, conceding twice at CS Sfaxien. The hosts’ defensive consistency stands in contrast to the visitors’ patchier results.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Club Africain vs ES Zarzis
Across the last ten meetings, Club Africain have a slight edge with four wins to Zarzis’ three, but draws (three) and low scores are common. The last four encounters have averaged just 1.0 goal per game, with two finishing 0-0 or 1-0, underlining the low-scoring trend between these sides.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Club Africain wins
3
Draws
2
ES Zarzis wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Club Africain vs ES Zarzis
With no bookmaker odds available, value assessment is limited. However, the model’s strong lean to under 2.5 goals (82%) and 'No' in BTTS (78%) would likely offer value if market odds implied a more open game. The home win probability is moderate but justified by underlying rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Club Africain vs ES Zarzis
- ⚠️Early-season sample sizes are small; just two league games per side.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set-piece data restricts deeper tactical modelling.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Club Africain 1–0 ES ZarzisA 1-0 home win is the likeliest outcome, underpinned by Club Africain’s 100% clean sheet rate in the league and their recent run of low-scoring victories. The main risk is the hosts’ modest attacking output—if they fail to convert late pressure, a goalless draw or 1-1 are within the normal range for this fixture profile.
Club Africain vs ES Zarzis: Common Questions
Who will win Club Africain vs ES Zarzis?
The model gives Club Africain a 47% probability of victory, with the draw at 37% and ES Zarzis at 16%. The hosts’ defensive record and home form make them narrow favourites in a low-scoring contest.
Will both teams score in Club Africain vs ES Zarzis?
Only a 22% chance is given to both teams scoring, with Club Africain conceding just once in their last five and only one of those matches seeing BTTS. 'No' is the strong statistical lean.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in Club Africain vs ES Zarzis?
The probability for under 2.5 goals is 82%, as both teams average just 1 goal scored per game and recent head-to-head clashes have trended under. This is the strongest statistical angle from the data.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Club Africain vs ES Zarzis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.