Cordoba vs Almeria Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Cordoba
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Almeria
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Cordoba vs Almeria: Match Preview
Cordoba arrive unbeaten in pre-season (1W, 3D), having scored four and conceded three in four matches, with a pattern of low-scoring draws against similar-level opposition. Almeria's pre-season has been less encouraging, with two straight defeats and only one goal scored in their last three, raising questions about their attacking sharpness. With no league table or competitive stakes, both sides are likely to continue experimenting with lineups.
Statistically, Cordoba have managed more shots and possession (8.4 shots, 24% possession average) than Almeria (4.4 shots, 18% possession), but both sides are struggling for cutting edge: Cordoba have failed to score once in five, Almeria three times. The defensive numbers are also strong, with Cordoba keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their pre-season matches and Almeria conceding just one per game. The under 2.5 goals rate sits at 75% for Cordoba and 100% for Almeria this summer, and both teams have seen most goals arrive after the break.
The model expects a match dictated by defensive organisation and low attacking risk. With neither side consistently generating high-quality chances or dominating set pieces (corners average 4.4 for Cordoba, 1.8 for Almeria), the likeliest outcome is a draw, most plausibly 1-1, with the under 2.5 goals market offering the clearest statistical edge.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS: Yes
32%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cordoba vs Almeria Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cordoba vs Almeria that most previews miss.
- 1Almeria's last three friendlies have produced just one goal for and three against, with two clean sheets kept.
- 2Cordoba's last five matches average just 2.2 total goals, with three draws and only one clean sheet.
- 3Only two of the last six head-to-heads have finished with more than two goals scored.
Who do you think wins: Cordoba vs Almeria?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cordoba vs Almeria(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under one goal scored per game in their recent friendlies (Cordoba 1.0, Almeria 0.33), and the under 2.5 rate is 75% for Cordoba and 100% for Almeria this pre-season.
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Correct Score: 1–1
The 1-1 has appeared in recent H2H and fits both sides' low-scoring, draw-heavy tendencies: Cordoba have drawn 3 of 4 this pre-season, and Almeria have failed to score in 3 of their last 5.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Cordoba vs Almeria Prediction
A low-scoring contest is expected, with both sides showing limited attacking output and a high proportion of recent matches finishing under 2.5 goals. Cordoba's marginally better shot and possession averages are offset by Almeria's defensive solidity, with clean sheets in two of their last five. The draw emerges as the most probable outcome, with little to separate the teams statistically.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Head-to-head is nearly even, but recent meetings have been low-scoring and tight.
Defence
- →Cordoba average just 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game in their last five matches.
- →Almeria have scored only once in their last three friendlies, conceding three.
🚩 Cordoba vs Almeria Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.4 corners for Cordoba and 4.8 for Almeria, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How Cordoba and Almeria Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cordoba vs Almeria Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cordobalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Almerialast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Cordoba are unbeaten in four pre-season matches, drawing three and winning once, with a narrow +1 goal difference and a pattern of low-scoring games. Almeria, meanwhile, have lost their last two friendlies and scored only once in three, indicating a lack of attacking fluency. Both sides are defensively solid but blunt in attack.
Cordoba vs Almeria — Last 4 Matches
What History Says: Cordoba vs Almeria
The last 10 meetings are almost even, with Almeria holding a slight edge in wins (5 to 4), but recent encounters have been close: a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 Cordoba win in the last two. High-scoring games are rare, with only two of the last six H2H surpassing two goals.
Cordoba vs Almeria Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Cordoba wins
1
Draws
5
Almeria wins
Things to Watch: Cordoba vs Almeria
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Friendlies introduce significant rotation and variable motivation.
- ⚠️No home/away venue data or league standings for additional context.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cordoba 1–1 AlmeriaA 1-1 draw is the model's baseline, driven by both sides' low scoring rates and high under 2.5 goal percentages in recent matches. The strongest data point is Almeria's 0.33 goals per game in pre-season, pointing to a lack of attacking threat. The main risk is that friendly rotation or a defensive lapse opens the game up unexpectedly.
Cordoba vs Almeria: Common Questions
Who will win Cordoba vs Almeria?
The model gives Cordoba a 32% chance to win, Almeria 28%, and the draw 40%. Both teams have struggled for goals and are closely matched, so a draw is the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Cordoba vs Almeria?
The probability of both teams scoring is 44%, with Cordoba averaging 1.0 goals and Almeria just 0.33 per game in pre-season. The data slightly favours 'No' in the BTTS market.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in Cordoba vs Almeria?
The model estimates a 73% probability for under 2.5 goals, based on both teams' recent matches: Cordoba have seen under 2.5 in 75% of pre-season games, Almeria in 100%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cordoba vs Almeria: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.