Cordoba vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Cordoba
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 4(+13% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Cordoba vs Granada CF?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Cordoba vs Granada CF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 4
Cordoba have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game in their last 5 and have seen over 2.5 goals in 63% of their season matches. Granada's defence has been leaky recently (2.2 conceded per last 5), making the high odds for over 2.5 value despite the relatively low model probability.
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Match Result: Cordoba Win@ 1.3
Cordoba are in outstanding form (5 wins in a row), strong at home, and face a Granada side with only 1 win in their last 5 and a poor away record. Model probability is higher than the implied odds.
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The Case For This Cordoba vs Granada CF Prediction
Cordoba come into this match in red-hot form, riding a five-game winning streak and displaying a potent attack, especially at home. Granada, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, particularly on the road, and their recent defensive frailties have been exposed. With Cordoba's momentum and attacking strength, they are well positioned to secure another victory, though Granada have shown some ability to keep games tight.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Cordoba's 5-game winning streak and strong home form
Attack
- →Cordoba averaging 2.2 goals scored per last 5 matches
Defence
- →Granada's inconsistent away record (6W 4D 9L) and recent defensive issues
- →Granada conceding 2.2 goals per last 5 matches
- →Granada's lower clean sheet rate away from home
Match Context
- →Cordoba's high over 2.5 goals rate (63%)
🚩 Cordoba vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Cordoba and 5 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Cordoba and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cordobalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Cordoba are on a remarkable run, having won their last 5 matches with an average of over 2 goals scored per game and no failed-to-score outings. Granada, meanwhile, have lost 3 of their last 5 and conceded heavily in two of those, though they did manage a narrow win last time out.
Cordoba vs Granada CF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Cordoba vs Granada CF
The head-to-head record leans Granada's way overall, but Cordoba have been much stronger in recent home meetings, including a 5-0 thrashing last season. Draws are rare in this fixture, with only one in the last ten encounters.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Cordoba wins
1
Draws
6
Granada CF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Cordoba vs Granada CF
The main value appears on over 2.5 goals, with the model probability (38%) higher than the odds-implied (25%), despite the market expecting a low-scoring game. The home win is also slightly undervalued by the market given Cordoba's form, but the edge is less pronounced. BTTS 'no' is overpriced by the market and offers no value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Cordoba vs Granada CF
- ⚠️Granada have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5, hinting at some defensive resilience
- ⚠️Cordoba have only 1 clean sheet in last 5, so a Granada goal cannot be fully ruled out
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats (shots, xG) for Granada's recent matches reduces model confidence slightly
- ⚠️Cordoba's red card in current match may impact late-game dynamics
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cordoba vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.