Cordoba vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Cordoba
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
8/10Granada CF Stun Cordoba With Late Flurry in Segunda División Clash
Granada CF produced a dramatic late turnaround to defeat Cordoba 3-1 at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, overturning an early deficit with three second-half goals. Cordoba had taken the lead in just the 2nd minute, setting the tone for a lively first half in which they dominated possession and looked the more composed side. However, Granada weathered the storm and struck back with a clinical display after the break, equalizing in the 65th minute before sealing the win with two goals in the dying moments (89th and 90th minutes). Despite Cordoba's 58% possession and early attacking intent, they struggled to convert their dominance into clear-cut chances, managing only 3 shots on target from 15 attempts. Granada, meanwhile, grew into the game and made their opportunities count, firing 4 shots on target from 16 efforts and punishing Cordoba's defensive lapses late on. The result sees Granada claim a vital away win, while Cordoba are left to rue missed opportunities and a lack of composure in the closing stages.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
2' — Goal
Diego Percan opens the scoring for Cordoba with a swift finish after a fast start.
65' — Goal
Chinaza Onouha equalizes for Granada, shifting the momentum in the visitors' favor.
89' — Goal
José Manuel Arnáiz puts Granada ahead with a late strike, capitalizing on Cordoba's defensive lapse.
90' — Goal
Granada seal the win with a third goal in stoppage time, completing a stunning late turnaround.
Yellow Cards' — Discipline
Both teams pick up a yellow card in a competitive but largely fair contest.
Cordoba
Cordoba started brightly, capitalizing on their early momentum to take the lead in the 2nd minute. Throughout the first half, they controlled possession and looked comfortable in their 4-3-3 setup, with midfielders orchestrating play and the frontline pressing high. However, their inability to extend the lead proved costly. As the game wore on, Cordoba's intensity waned, and defensive frailties were exposed by Granada's late surge. Despite registering 15 shots, only 3 were on target, highlighting their inefficiency in the final third. A solitary yellow card reflected a relatively disciplined performance, but lapses of concentration in the final 25 minutes saw the hosts concede three times, turning a promising evening into a bitter defeat.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Granada CF
Granada CF showed impressive resilience after conceding early, gradually finding their rhythm and exploiting Cordoba's vulnerabilities in the latter stages. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for compactness in midfield and flexibility going forward, as they pressed higher in the second half. Granada's patience paid off with an equalizer in the 65th minute, and their clinical edge was evident as they netted twice more in the final two minutes to seal a remarkable comeback. Despite having less possession (42%), Granada were more efficient in front of goal, converting 3 of their 4 shots on target. Their discipline and ability to capitalize on late opportunities proved decisive, earning them a deserved three points on the road.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Cordoba deployed a 4-3-3 formation, prioritizing possession and width in attack. Their midfield trio dictated the tempo early on, but as the match progressed, they struggled to break down Granada's increasingly compact defensive lines. Granada's 4-2-3-1 setup provided stability in midfield, allowing them to absorb pressure and transition quickly on the counter. The introduction of more attacking intent in the second half, combined with increased pressing, saw Granada force mistakes from Cordoba and exploit spaces left by the tiring hosts. Set pieces played a minor role, with Cordoba winning more corners (5 to 3), but Granada's directness and ability to capitalize on open play proved decisive. Tactical discipline and late-game substitutions helped Granada maintain energy and press home their advantage in the final minutes.
Turning Point
The equalizer in the 65th minute by Chinaza Onouha shifted momentum, paving the way for Granada's late surge.
Man of the Match
José Manuel Arnáiz
Instrumental in the comeback, scoring the crucial late goal and driving Granada's attack in the closing stages.
Cordoba vs Granada CF: Match Preview
Cordoba come into this fixture off a mixed start: a 2-1 home win against Girona and a 3-2 defeat away to Burgos leave them mid-table, with their attack firing but defensive frailties evident. Granada, meanwhile, opened their campaign with a goalless draw at Oviedo and have shown a strong defensive identity across friendlies and competitive action, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches. With both sides in the early stages of the campaign, neither can afford to fall behind in the table, but Cordoba’s home form and Granada’s away resilience set the stage for a cautious tactical battle.
Statistically, Cordoba’s matches have been goal-rich so far (100% over 2.5 in the league), but their average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per last five is offset by Granada’s defensive numbers: just 0.4 conceded and 1.2 scored per last five, and no goals conceded in the league. Granada’s shot and possession figures are notably low (2 shots, 7.8% possession per last five), indicating a pragmatic, low-risk approach, while Cordoba’s higher shot volume (6.2 per game) and BTTS rate (4/5) point to more open play. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but Cordoba’s 23 fouls and 4 yellows in their last home match suggest a combative midfield.
The model expects a tight contest, with Cordoba’s attacking intent checked by Granada’s defensive structure. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring draw, as Granada’s ability to limit chances should frustrate Cordoba’s front line. A single goal either way could decide it, but the underlying rates point to a 1-1 or 1-0 type outcome, with under 2.5 goals the statistical lean.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
41%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cordoba vs Granada CF that most previews miss.
- 1Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only once in that span.
- 2Cordoba’s last five matches have seen both teams score in four, but they have not kept a clean sheet in that run.
- 3The last four head-to-head meetings in Cordoba have averaged just 1.75 goals per game.
Who do you think wins: Cordoba vs Granada CF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Cordoba vs Granada CF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both sides have shown average attacking output and defensive solidity in early season data, with Cordoba scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 per game, and Granada yet to concede in the league. The model rates the draw as the likeliest outcome at 39%.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Granada’s last five competitive and friendly matches average just 0.4 goals conceded and 1.2 scored, with four clean sheets and no BTTS. Cordoba’s attack is more open, but Granada’s away approach suggests a low goal environment.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Cordoba vs Granada CF Prediction
Cordoba’s early season matches have been open, with both teams scoring in four of their last five, but Granada’s approach underlined by their 0-0 away draw at Oviedo and four clean sheets in five suggests a clash of styles. Cordoba’s home record is positive (2-1 win over Girona), but their defensive numbers (2.2 conceded per last five) are a concern. Granada, meanwhile, have yet to score or concede in league play, prioritising control and risk minimisation.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cordoba average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per league game so far.
- →Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head is tight, but Granada have won six of the last ten meetings.
🚩 Cordoba vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Cordoba and 4.3 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 55% · Over 10.5: 30%.
How Cordoba and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cordobalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cordoba’s recent form is marked by attacking intent but defensive vulnerability, with four goals scored and four conceded in two league matches, and both teams scoring in four of their last five overall. Granada’s approach has been the opposite: four clean sheets in their last five, including a 0-0 away draw to open the league season, underline a focus on defensive structure over attacking output.
Cordoba vs Granada CF — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Cordoba vs Granada CF
Granada have dominated the recent head-to-head with six wins in the last ten, but Cordoba have taken the last two home meetings, including a 1-0 win in May. The fixture has trended low-scoring, with three of the last four meetings producing under 2.5 goals and two clean sheets for Cordoba at home.
Cordoba vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Cordoba wins
1
Draws
6
Granada CF wins
Things to Watch: Cordoba vs Granada CF
- ⚠️Both teams have limited league sample size (Cordoba 2, Granada 1 game).
- ⚠️Granada's defensive numbers are skewed by pre-season friendlies.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cordoba 1–1 Granada CFThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by Granada’s defensive solidity (four clean sheets in five) and Cordoba’s tendency for both teams to score but not keep clean sheets themselves. The likeliest way this prediction fails is if Cordoba’s open style breaks Granada’s resistance early, leading to a more open contest than the underlying rates suggest.
Cordoba vs Granada CF: Common Questions
Who will win Cordoba vs Granada CF?
The model gives Cordoba a 37% chance of victory, Granada 24%, and the draw 39%. With both teams showing contrasting styles—Cordoba open, Granada defensive—the draw is marginally favoured.
Will both teams score in Cordoba vs Granada CF?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with Cordoba’s recent matches seeing BTTS in four of five, but Granada’s defensive record (four clean sheets in five) keeps this market close to even.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Cordoba vs Granada CF?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 62% probability, based on Granada’s low-scoring profile and the head-to-head trend of tight games in recent meetings.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cordoba vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.