CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Predictions

CR Belouizdad
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0

Olympique Akbou
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou: Match Preview
CR Belouizdad enter this match as league leaders, unbeaten after four rounds and yet to concede at home this season. Their form string of WWWD includes three consecutive wins, all with clean sheets, and they have established themselves as the early defensive benchmark in Ligue 1. Olympique Akbou, sitting 9th, have managed just one win in four and have struggled for consistency, especially on their travels, where they've scored only twice in three outings.
The statistical matchup is defined by Belouizdad's defensive solidity against Akbou's modest attacking output. The hosts' 75% clean sheet rate and 0.75 goals conceded per game contrast sharply with Akbou's 1.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league games, and the first half is typically cagey: Belouizdad have scored just two first-half goals in five, while Akbou have managed only one. Set-piece and shot data are unavailable, but the discipline trend is notable—both sides average three or more cards per match in recent outings.
Given these rates, the model expects a low-scoring contest, with Belouizdad's defensive edge and home advantage tilting probabilities in their favour. The likeliest scenario is a 1-0 or 2-0 win for the hosts, with a lengthy deadlock possible before the breakthrough. The historical head-to-head supports this, as Belouizdad have won four of the last five meetings, most by a single goal.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou that most previews miss.
- 1CR Belouizdad have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding just three goals in total.
- 2Olympique Akbou have scored only twice in three away games this season, failing to score in two of their last five overall.
- 3Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have finished under 2.5 goals, with Belouizdad winning three by a one-goal margin.
Who do you think wins: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou?
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Where the Model Sees Value: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: CR Belouizdad Win
CR Belouizdad have won both home matches this season without conceding and have a 75% clean sheet rate, while Olympique Akbou have scored just twice in three away games and lost four of five H2H meetings.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches this season, and four of the last five H2H have finished with two or fewer goals.
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BTTS: No
CR Belouizdad have kept four clean sheets in their last five and failed to score only once, while Olympique Akbou have failed to score in two of their last five and average just 0.67 away goals per game.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Prediction
This fixture pits the league leaders, CR Belouizdad, against mid-table Olympique Akbou, with the hosts boasting an unbeaten record and a defence yet to concede at home. The statistical shape of the match points strongly towards a low-scoring contest: Belouizdad average 1.5 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded per game, while Akbou's away record is a flat 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, with a single goal likely to decide it given both sides' under 2.5 goal rates and the hosts' 75% clean sheet percentage.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Olympique Akbou average just 0.67 goals scored per away game and have failed to score in two of their last five.
- →Four of the last five head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, with Belouizdad winning four times.
Defence
- →CR Belouizdad have a 75% clean sheet rate and have not conceded at home this season.
How CR Belouizdad and Olympique Akbou Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CR Belouizdad are in commanding form, unbeaten in their last five and riding a three-match winning streak, with four clean sheets in that span. Olympique Akbou's recent trajectory is less convincing, with just one win in five, two defeats, and only four goals scored across their last five fixtures.
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +75% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou
The head-to-head record is one-sided: CR Belouizdad have won four of the last five meetings, including both home fixtures by narrow margins (1-0 and 3-2). Only once in the last five has Akbou avoided defeat, and four of these games finished with two or fewer goals.
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
4
CR Belouizdad wins
1
Draws
0
Olympique Akbou wins
Things to Watch: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Shot, possession, and set piece data are missing, limiting tactical depth.
- ⚠️Small sample size (4 league matches) increases variance in rate estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CR Belouizdad 1–0 Olympique AkbouThe model projects a 1-0 win for CR Belouizdad, anchored by their 75% clean sheet rate and perfect defensive record at home. The single strongest data point is Belouizdad's home defensive record—zero goals conceded in two matches—against an Akbou side averaging just 0.67 away goals. The main risk is an early goal opening up the contest or a set-piece lapse, but all rate-based indicators point to a low-scoring home victory.
CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou: Common Questions
Who will win CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou?
CR Belouizdad are strong favourites with a 57% probability to win, based on their unbeaten start, 75% clean sheet rate, and dominant head-to-head record (four wins in five). Olympique Akbou have just a 14% chance by the model's estimate.
Will both teams score in CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou?
The probability of both teams scoring is low at just 18%. Belouizdad have kept four clean sheets in their last five, while Akbou have failed to score in two of their last five and average only 0.67 away goals per game.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Yes, under 2.5 goals is rated at 77% probability by the model. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league matches this season, and four of the last five head-to-heads have also finished under this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.