CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CS Hammam-Lif
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 2
ES Tunis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
Match Result
6.5/10ES Tunis Edge CS Hammam-Lif in Tight Ligue 1 Contest
A solitary second-half strike was enough for ES Tunis to secure a narrow 1-0 victory over CS Hammam-Lif at the Stade Municipal de Hammam-Lif. In a match characterized by disciplined defending and few clear-cut chances, the visitors made their breakthrough in the 56th minute, holding firm thereafter despite a spirited response from the hosts. Both teams showed defensive resilience, with CS Hammam-Lif picking up two yellow cards and ES Tunis three, reflecting the physical nature of the contest. The home side pressed for an equalizer but found ES Tunis’ backline impenetrable, as the visitors saw out the win to take all three points.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
56' — Goal
ES Tunis break the deadlock with the only goal of the match.
Various' — Yellow cards
Both sides pick up a combined five yellow cards in a physical encounter.
CS Hammam-Lif
CS Hammam-Lif put in a determined display on home turf, staying compact and organized for much of the match. They frustrated ES Tunis for long spells, particularly in the first half, but ultimately lacked the attacking spark to break down the visitors’ defense after falling behind. Their discipline slipped slightly in the second half, picking up two yellow cards as they chased the game. Despite their efforts, CS Hammam-Lif struggled to create clear opportunities and were unable to find a way past a resolute ES Tunis side.
Strengths
Weaknesses
ES Tunis
ES Tunis produced a professional away performance, showing patience and control before finding the decisive goal early in the second half. Their defense was well-drilled, keeping CS Hammam-Lif at bay and managing the game effectively after taking the lead. The three yellow cards picked up by ES Tunis reflected their aggressive pressing and commitment to protecting their advantage. The visitors’ ability to seize their moment and then shut up shop was the difference in a match of fine margins.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity and midfield control. ES Tunis were patient in their build-up, waiting for their opportunity to strike, which came early in the second half. After scoring, they dropped deeper, focusing on protecting their lead and disrupting CS Hammam-Lif’s rhythm with tactical fouls and disciplined positioning. CS Hammam-Lif, meanwhile, pressed higher after conceding but lacked the creativity or width to stretch the ES Tunis defense. The match’s physical edge was underlined by five yellow cards, as both sides sought to assert themselves in midfield and limit space.
Turning Point
The goal scored by ES Tunis in the 56th minute, which shifted the momentum and forced CS Hammam-Lif to chase the game.
Man of the Match
ES Tunis goalscorer
Delivered the decisive moment with the match-winning goal and led the attacking line effectively.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis: Match Preview
CS Hammam-Lif enter this match at the foot of the table, having lost both opening Ligue 1 fixtures without scoring a goal. Their only recent wins came in Ligue 2, and the jump in competition has exposed a blunt attack and limited defensive resilience. ES Tunis, meanwhile, sit fourth with two wins from three, having scored six and conceded six, and bring a much higher attacking ceiling to this contest.
The matchup is lopsided on paper: Hammam-Lif's home record in Ligue 1 stands at 0-1 with zero goals scored, while ES Tunis, despite losing their only away game 1-3, have shown more attacking threat, averaging 2.0 goals per game overall. The head-to-head record further tilts the scales, with ES Tunis winning seven of the last ten meetings and keeping clean sheets in six of those. Hammam-Lif's last five matches feature just one BTTS result, and their last two have seen them fail to score.
The model expects ES Tunis to control proceedings, likely breaking through in the first half and limiting Hammam-Lif's opportunities. With the home side's attack misfiring and ES Tunis's historical dominance, a clean sheet for the visitors is probable, and the distribution of results points most strongly to a 0-2 away win.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis that most previews miss.
- 1ES Tunis have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-heads, including 4 of the last 5 away to Hammam-Lif.
- 2CS Hammam-Lif have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- 3All three of ES Tunis's Ligue 1 matches this season have finished over 2.5 goals, but Hammam-Lif's have both gone under.
Who do you think wins: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ES Tunis Win
ES Tunis have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-heads, arrive with a 2.0 goals per game average this season, and face a Hammam-Lif side yet to score or take a point in Ligue 1.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
CS Hammam-Lif have failed to score in both Ligue 1 matches this season and have only managed one BTTS result in their last five; ES Tunis have kept two clean sheets in their last five.
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Correct Score: 0–2
The most probable scoreline by the model, reflecting Hammam-Lif's scoring drought and ES Tunis's superior attacking rates.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis Prediction
This fixture pits bottom-placed CS Hammam-Lif, winless and goalless in Ligue 1, against an ES Tunis side who average two goals per game and have dominated this matchup historically. The statistical profile points to a low probability of a home goal and a clear away advantage, with ES Tunis's attacking rates and H2H record both weighing heavily.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →ES Tunis have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a 4-0 away win in the most recent cup tie.
Defence
- →ES Tunis average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in Ligue 1, with 100% of their matches over 2.5 goals.
Match Context
- →CS Hammam-Lif have failed to score in both Ligue 1 matches this season.
How CS Hammam-Lif and ES Tunis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CS Hammam-Liflast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Tunislast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CS Hammam-Lif have started Ligue 1 with two straight 0-1 defeats, extending a streak of two matches without scoring. Their last five matches across competitions yield a form string of LLWWD, but the wins came in the lower division. ES Tunis, by contrast, have won four of their last five, including two out of three in Ligue 1, and have scored in every match this season.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis
ES Tunis have dominated this fixture historically, winning seven of the last ten meetings and keeping clean sheets in six. The most recent encounter was a 4-0 away win for ES Tunis in the 2025 Cup. Hammam-Lif's only win in this period came at home in 2022, but since then the gulf has widened.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
CS Hammam-Lif wins
2
Draws
7
ES Tunis wins
Things to Watch: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams in the current Ligue 1 season.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot, possession, and set piece data limits precision on expected goal and corner rates.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available to validate model value edges.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CS Hammam-Lif 0–2 ES TunisThe model projects a 0-2 win for ES Tunis, anchored by their 2.0 goals per game rate and Hammam-Lif's inability to score in Ligue 1 so far. The single strongest data point is Hammam-Lif's goalless start and ES Tunis's overwhelming H2H record. The main risk is that ES Tunis's defence has conceded in every league match, so a late home goal could tilt the scoreline or bring BTTS into play.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis: Common Questions
Who will win CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?
The model assigns a 63% probability to an ES Tunis away win, with CS Hammam-Lif given just an 11% chance and the draw at 26%. This is driven by ES Tunis's superior scoring rate and dominant head-to-head record.
Will both teams score in CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?
Both teams to score is rated at just 23%, with 'no' (at least one team fails to score) at 77%. Hammam-Lif have failed to score in both Ligue 1 matches this season, while ES Tunis have kept two clean sheets in their last five.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in this match?
The model sees under 2.5 goals as slightly more likely at 52%, despite ES Tunis's high-scoring games, because Hammam-Lif's matches have both gone under and their attack is struggling.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.