CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CS Sfaxien
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
Stade Tunisien
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.1/10CS Sfaxien Edge Stade Tunisien in Fiery Contest Decided by First-Half Strike
CS Sfaxien claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Stade Tunisien in Sfax, with the decisive moment arriving in the 39th minute. The hosts made their breakthrough before halftime and then held firm in a tense, physical encounter that saw four yellow cards and a late red for the visitors. Stade Tunisien battled valiantly but were unable to find a response, ultimately undone by their lack of cutting edge and indiscipline. The match was marked by robust challenges and a stop-start rhythm, with both sides struggling to carve out clear opportunities. CS Sfaxien's defensive resilience and composure under pressure proved decisive as they secured all three points.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
39' — Goal
CS Sfaxien break the deadlock with the only goal of the match.
Second half' — Yellow cards
Stade Tunisien pick up multiple bookings as they chase the game.
Late second half' — Red card
Stade Tunisien reduced to ten men, ending their hopes of a comeback.
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien produced a disciplined and determined display, capitalizing on their key chance in the first half and then expertly managing the remainder of the contest. Their ability to withstand pressure and maintain composure, especially after taking the lead, was pivotal. The hosts were well-organized defensively and did not allow Stade Tunisien many clear looks at goal, even as the match grew increasingly physical. The team's tactical discipline was evident, particularly after halftime, as they absorbed pressure and saw out the match despite the visitors' late push. Their single yellow card reflected a controlled approach amid a heated atmosphere.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien showed plenty of fight but ultimately left Sfax empty-handed after failing to convert their chances and losing their discipline late on. The visitors struggled to break down a resolute CS Sfaxien defense and saw their frustrations boil over, picking up three yellow cards and a red. Their inability to find a breakthrough, despite a spirited effort, was compounded by a lack of composure in key moments. While they pushed forward in search of an equalizer, their attacking play lacked precision and they were hampered by their own indiscipline, which culminated in a red card and ended any realistic hopes of a comeback.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
The match was characterized by disciplined defensive structures, with CS Sfaxien likely deploying a solid formation to protect their lead after scoring late in the first half. Their tactical focus shifted to containment and game management, limiting space for Stade Tunisien and forcing the visitors into increasingly desperate attacks. The physical nature of the contest was reflected in the high card count, particularly for Stade Tunisien, whose aggressive pressing and challenges often crossed the line. Stade Tunisien, meanwhile, struggled to adapt tactically after falling behind. Their attempts to push forward left them vulnerable to counter-attacks and led to fouls in advanced areas. The lack of attacking cohesion and the eventual red card further disrupted their rhythm, allowing CS Sfaxien to close out the match with relative comfort.
Turning Point
The 39th-minute goal for CS Sfaxien set the tone, forcing Stade Tunisien to chase the game and ultimately lose their discipline.
Man of the Match
CS Sfaxien goalscorer (39')
Provided the decisive moment in a tight contest and led by example with a disciplined performance.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien?
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Where the Model Sees Value: CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have strong defensive records (CS Sfaxien: 0.48 conceded/game, Stade Tunisien: 0.36), and low season Over 2.5% (28% and 20%). H2H history is dominated by low-scoring draws and 1-0s.
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BTTS: No
CS Sfaxien have 4 clean sheets in their last 5, and Stade Tunisien have failed to score in 2 of last 5. H2H: 7/10 meetings saw at least one team fail to score.
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Match Result: Draw
Six of the last 10 H2H have ended in draws, both teams are defensively solid, and Stade Tunisien draw a high proportion of away games (6/12).
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien Prediction
This is a top-four clash between two of Ligue 1 Tunisia's best defences. CS Sfaxien are in excellent form (DWWWW), especially at home, while Stade Tunisien are extremely tough to beat but have drawn three straight and often struggle for goals away. The H2H history is dominated by low-scoring matches, with draws and 1-0s common. Expect a tactical, cagey affair where one goal could decide it or both sides settle for a point.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: 6 draws in last 10, 7/10 under 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →CS Sfaxien: 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5, 4 clean sheets.
- →Stade Tunisien: 3 draws in a row, only 2 losses all season, best away defence (5 conceded in 12).
- →Both teams have high clean sheet rates (64% and 68%).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Season Over 2.5%: CS Sfaxien 28%, Stade Tunisien 20%.
How CS Sfaxien and Stade Tunisien Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CS Sfaxienlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Stade Tunisienlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +65.38% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +65.38% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
CS Sfaxien wins
5
Draws
2
Stade Tunisien wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Low-scoring matches can be vulnerable to single moments or set pieces.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.