Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien Predictions

Prediction by The Form Guide — CS Sfaxien and Stade Tunisien arrive in sharply different form (12 vs 4 points from the last five) — routed to The Form Guide, which weights momentum most heavily.
Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Tunisia
high confidence
Stade Tunisien

Stade Tunisien

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 0 - 2

CS Sfaxien

CS Sfaxien

🗓️ Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 16:30 CET (venue time) · 15:30 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Hedi-Enneifer

Win Probability (1X2)

Stade Tunisien 16%Draw 30%CS Sfaxien 54%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: CS Sfaxien Win

Match Result

6/10

Stade Tunisien and CS Sfaxien Share the Spoils in Stalemate

Stade Tunisien and CS Sfaxien played out a 1-1 draw at the Stade Hedi-Enneifer in a tightly contested Ligue 1 encounter. The visitors struck first in the 36th minute, putting Stade Tunisien on the back foot before the hosts found their equalizer midway through the second half. Despite both sides showing flashes of attacking intent, neither could find a decisive winner as the match finished level. The game was marked by disciplined defensive displays and moments of individual brilliance, but also by a lack of clear-cut chances. Both teams picked up yellow cards in a competitive midfield battle, but the contest never boiled over, and the points were ultimately shared.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

0 - 2

⚡

Actual

1 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results0/2 hit

1x2 — away
❌
btts — no
❌

Key Moments

36' — Goal

CS Sfaxien take the lead with a well-worked move.

73' — Goal

Stade Tunisien equalize, capitalizing on sustained pressure.

various' — Yellow Cards

Stade Tunisien pick up two yellows, CS Sfaxien one, reflecting a competitive midfield battle.

Stade Tunisien

Stade Tunisien

6.5/10

Stade Tunisien showed resilience after conceding first, rallying in the second half to draw level on home soil. Their response after going behind was commendable, as they pressed for an equalizer and were rewarded in the 73rd minute. However, they struggled to break down CS Sfaxien's defense for a winner, and their attacking play lacked a cutting edge at times. Defensively, Stade Tunisien remained organized, conceding just once and managing the game well after equalizing. Two yellow cards highlighted their combative approach in midfield.

Key Players

Stade Tunisien goalscorer (73'): Scored the crucial equalizer to secure a point for the home side.

Strengths

Resilience after concedingSolid defensive organizationEffective response in second half

Weaknesses

Slow startLimited attacking penetrationDiscipline (2 yellow cards)
CS Sfaxien

CS Sfaxien

6.5/10

CS Sfaxien began the match brightly and deservedly took the lead in the 36th minute, capitalizing on their early momentum. They defended their advantage well until the 73rd minute, when they were undone by Stade Tunisien's pressure. While they maintained composure and discipline—picking up just one yellow card—they ultimately could not regain the initiative after conceding the equalizer. The visitors' tactical discipline and defensive solidity were evident, but their inability to press home their advantage after going ahead proved costly.

Key Players

CS Sfaxien goalscorer (36'): Opened the scoring with a well-taken goal in the first half.

Strengths

Strong start and early goalDefensive disciplineMaintained composure under pressure

Weaknesses

Failed to build on leadLost momentum in second halfLimited attacking threat after halftime

Tactical Analysis

With both lineups unavailable, the tactical battle was defined by disciplined defensive lines and compact midfield play. CS Sfaxien looked to strike early, pressing high and capitalizing on their early momentum, while Stade Tunisien gradually grew into the game, increasing their attacking impetus after the break. The match saw both teams maintain structured shapes, with neither side able to consistently break through in open play. Set pieces and transitions played a key role, as did the physicality in midfield, evidenced by the yellow cards. Both coaches seemed content to avoid unnecessary risks late on, settling for a point apiece.

Turning Point

Stade Tunisien's 73rd-minute equalizer shifted the momentum and ultimately ensured the points were shared.

Man of the Match

Stade Tunisien goalscorer (73')

Came up with a vital equalizer and led the home side's second-half resurgence.

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien: Match Preview

Stade Tunisien enter the new Ligue 1 campaign still searching for attacking answers after a limp finish to last season, where they managed just one win and three defeats in their final five, failing to score in three of those matches. Their home form offers little comfort, and a goalless draw with US Ben Guerdane in May underlined the lack of punch up front. CS Sfaxien, in contrast, have built real momentum, winning four of their last five competitive matches and posting a notable 3-0 away victory at AS Marsa in that stretch. Their recent friendly win over San-Pédro suggests the summer break has not dulled their edge.

The tactical dynamic is defined by Sfaxien’s sharpness in the opening half: they have scored six first-half goals in their last five games, while Stade Tunisien have yet to find the net before the break in that same period. Sfaxien’s defensive record is just as impressive—three clean sheets and only two goals conceded across those five matches—while Stade Tunisien’s average of 0.4 goals per game hints at a side struggling to create clear chances. With little in the way of set-piece or disciplinary data, the contest looks likely to hinge on Sfaxien’s ability to assert themselves early and manage the game from the front.

Given the pronounced momentum gap, the model expects CS Sfaxien to dictate proceedings, particularly in the first half, and to keep Stade Tunisien at arm’s length throughout. A low-scoring away win is favoured, with the most plausible threat to that outcome being Sfaxien’s historical tendency to draw in this fixture—five of the last ten meetings have ended level. Still, the visitors’ recent form and attacking variety make them clear favourites to start their campaign with three points.

How Stade Tunisien and CS Sfaxien Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Stade TunisienStade Tunisienlast 5 matches
Y. SaafiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. HaboubiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

CS SfaxienCS Sfaxienlast 5 matches
M. S. Mhadhebi
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

O. Ben Ali
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Maaloul
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

N. Karoui
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. Ogbole
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Mathlouthi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Stade Tunisien’s recent form is troubling, with a WDLLL sequence and three games without a goal, their only win coming away at AS Gabes. CS Sfaxien, meanwhile, are in the midst of a purple patch, winning four of their last five and conceding only twice in that run. The contrast in momentum could hardly be sharper heading into this fixture.

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien — Last 5 Matches

Stade TunisienStade TunisienLast 5 results
W1-0
D0-0
L0-2
L1-2
L0-1
W@ AS Gabes1-0
Dvs US Ben Guerdane0-0
L@ Club Africain0-2
Lvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1-2
L@ CS Sfaxien0-1

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
CS SfaxienCS SfaxienLast 5 results
W1-0
L0-1
W3-1
W3-0
W2-0
Wvs San-Pédro1-0
Lvs ES Zarzis0-1
Wvs ES Sahel3-1
W@ AS Marsa3-0
Wvs Olympique Béja2-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
16%
30%
54%
Stade Tunisien 16%Draw 30%CS Sfaxien 54%
Both Teams to Score
27%
73%
Yes 27%No 73%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
38%
62%
Over 2.5 38%Under 2.5 62%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien that most previews miss.

  • 1CS Sfaxien have scored six of their last nine goals before half-time, highlighting their early-game intent.
  • 2Stade Tunisien have failed to score in the first half in each of their last five matches.
  • 3Five of the last ten head-to-heads have ended in draws, with four finishing 1-1 or 0-0.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Stade Tunisien0.70

Expected goals · model says 0.70

CS Sfaxien1.45

Expected goals · model says 1.45

Win Probability
Stade Tunisien 18% Draw 27% CS Sfaxien 55%

Over 2.5 Goals

36%

BTTS: Yes

39%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

The Case For This Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien Prediction

CS Sfaxien arrive in the capital with the wind at their backs, riding a four-wins-in-five surge that has seen them combine attacking variety with defensive discipline. Stade Tunisien, meanwhile, limp into the new campaign with a solitary win in their last five, and worrying signs in front of goal. The contrast in momentum is stark, and it frames the tactical balance of this fixture.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Stade Tunisien have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Defence

  • →CS Sfaxien’s last five: WLWWW, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
  • →CS Sfaxien have kept three clean sheets in their last five outings.

More Ligue 1 Predictions

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What History Says: Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien

The head-to-head history is tight, with five draws in the last ten meetings and only one match in that span producing more than two goals. CS Sfaxien edged the last encounter 1-0, and Stade Tunisien’s last home win in this fixture came over five years ago, underlining the visitors’ resilience.

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

2

Stade Tunisien wins

5

Draws

3

CS Sfaxien wins

20%50% draws30%
26 Apr 26CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien1-0
29 Oct 25Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien0-0
12 Apr 25Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien1-1
26 Dec 24CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien1-2
10 May 24CS Sfaxien vs Stade Tunisien0-0
10 Mar 24Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien0-0

Things to Watch: Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien

  • ⚠️No current season data for home/away splits or full squad availability.
  • ⚠️Limited information on shots, possession, and set-piece trends.
  • ⚠️Bookmaker odds unavailable, so value edges cannot be computed.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Stade Tunisien 0–2 CS Sfaxien

The data points to a 2-0 away win for CS Sfaxien, with their recent form—four wins in five and a stingy defence—standing out as the single strongest factor. The main risk is the historical draw tendency in this fixture, but the hosts’ current attacking struggles make a repeat less likely unless Sfaxien are wasteful in front of goal.

Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien: Common Questions

Who will win Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?

CS Sfaxien are strong favourites based on recent momentum, with a 54% probability of an away win compared to just 16% for Stade Tunisien. The visitors have won four of their last five, while the hosts have lost three in that span.

Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?

Both teams to score is unlikely, with only a 27% probability according to the model. Stade Tunisien have failed to score in three of their last five, and Sfaxien have kept three clean sheets in that period.

Can CS Sfaxien’s winning run continue?

The model rates Sfaxien’s chances highly, given their 1.8 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game over the last five matches. Their sharp first-half record and defensive solidity suggest their run is sustainable against a Stade Tunisien side low on confidence.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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