Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Dagenham & Redbridge

Dagenham & Redbridge

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Waltham Abbey

Waltham Abbey

🗓️ Tuesday, 22 Sept 2026 at 19:45 BST (venue time) · 18:45 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Dagenham & Redbridge 23%Draw 34%Waltham Abbey 43%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

6.5/10

Dagenham & Redbridge Cruise Past Waltham Abbey in FA Cup Rout

Dagenham & Redbridge delivered a commanding performance to dispatch Waltham Abbey 3-0 and book their place in the next round of the FA Cup. The hosts were in control from start to finish, demonstrating their higher pedigree and clinical edge in front of goal. Waltham Abbey, despite their best efforts, struggled to match the intensity and quality of their opponents, ultimately succumbing to a comprehensive defeat. With three unanswered goals and a clean sheet, Dagenham & Redbridge showcased both attacking flair and defensive solidity. The absence of cards highlighted the disciplined nature of the contest, but it was the home side’s superior quality that shone through on the night.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

3 - 0

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

Unknown' — Goal

Dagenham & Redbridge open the scoring to seize early control.

Unknown' — Goal

The hosts double their advantage, putting Waltham Abbey on the back foot.

Unknown' — Goal

A third goal seals the result and underlines Dagenham & Redbridge’s dominance.

Dagenham & Redbridge

Dagenham & Redbridge

8/10

Dagenham & Redbridge were dominant throughout, controlling proceedings and capitalizing on their chances to secure a comfortable 3-0 victory. The home side’s organization at the back and clinical finishing up front ensured there was little doubt about the outcome from early on. Their ability to keep a clean sheet and avoid disciplinary trouble further underlined a professional display.

Key Players

Unnamed Goalscorers: Each found the net to put the tie beyond Waltham Abbey’s reach.

Strengths

Clinical finishingDefensive organizationDisciplined performance

Weaknesses

None evident in this match
Waltham Abbey

Waltham Abbey

5/10

Waltham Abbey battled bravely but were ultimately outclassed by a superior Dagenham & Redbridge side. Unable to find a foothold in the game, they struggled to create clear chances and were punished for lapses at the back. Their discipline, however, was commendable, as they avoided any bookings despite the pressure.

Key Players

No standout performers: The team was unable to make a significant impact against strong opposition.

Strengths

Maintained disciplineEffort and work rate

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatDefensive vulnerabilities

Tactical Analysis

Without detailed lineup or formation data, it was evident that Dagenham & Redbridge’s tactical approach focused on attacking intent and defensive solidity. Their ability to score three goals without reply suggests effective movement in the final third and composure at the back. Waltham Abbey, meanwhile, appeared to set up to contain and counter, but struggled to stem the tide or threaten at the other end.

Turning Point

The second goal for Dagenham & Redbridge, which effectively ended Waltham Abbey’s hopes of a comeback.

Man of the Match

Unnamed Dagenham & Redbridge Goalscorer

Instrumental in putting the hosts out of sight with a key goal in a dominant win.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey: Match Preview

Dagenham & Redbridge return home after a 1-1 draw away at Waltham Abbey in the FA Cup, looking to snap a run of just one win in their last five matches. Their recent form string of DLLDW reflects a side struggling for attacking fluency, with only three goals scored in that stretch and two matches where they failed to find the net. Waltham Abbey, by contrast, arrive with momentum from a 2.6 goals-per-game average over their last five, including a resounding 7-0 away win in the previous cup round and three clean sheets.

Statistically, the matchup pivots on Waltham Abbey’s potent attack against Dagenham’s modest defensive record. Abbey have not failed to score in any of their last five, while Dagenham have managed just a single clean sheet and have yet to keep one in the cup this season. Both teams have generated more goals in the second half recently, but overall goal volume has been moderate, with over 2.5 goals landing in only half of Abbey’s cup games and none of Dagenham’s. Set piece and discipline data is unavailable, but neither side has shown a significant cards or corners trend.

The model expects a competitive but slightly open contest, with Waltham Abbey’s higher attacking output and away scoring rate giving them the edge. Dagenham’s home advantage and defensive solidity could keep the margin slim, but the likeliest outcome is a 2-1 win for the visitors, reflecting their superior recent scoring rates and cup form.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Dagenham & Redbridge1.10

Expected goals · model says 1.10

Waltham Abbey1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Win Probability
Dagenham & Redbridge 28% Draw 26% Waltham Abbey 46%

Over 2.5 Goals

48%

BTTS: Yes

52%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
34%
43%
Dagenham & Redbridge 23%Draw 34%Waltham Abbey 43%
Both Teams to Score
48%
52%
Yes 48%No 52%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
52%
48%
Over 2.5 52%Under 2.5 48%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey that most previews miss.

  • 1Waltham Abbey have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game.
  • 2Dagenham & Redbridge have failed to score in 40% of their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in the FA Cup this season.
  • 3The only previous H2H finished 1-1, but Waltham Abbey’s away cup matches this season average 7.0 goals for, 0.0 against.

Who do you think wins: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey?

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The Case For This Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Prediction

This FA Cup replay features Dagenham & Redbridge hosting Waltham Abbey after a 1-1 draw in the original tie. Dagenham arrive with a modest record—just one win in their last five and a scoring average of 0.6 goals per game in that span—while Waltham Abbey’s recent results have been more explosive, including a 7-0 away win and 2.6 goals per game across their last five. The statistical contrast is stark: Dagenham’s attack has struggled for output, while Abbey have shown both attacking punch and defensive stability with three clean sheets in five. The matchup is defined by Waltham Abbey’s away scoring rate (7 goals in their only away cup match this season) against a Dagenham side that has failed to score in two of their last five. Dagenham’s defence has been more reliable than their attack, conceding just 0.8 per game over the last five, but their season clean sheet rate stands at 0%. The first meeting was tight, but Abbey’s higher shot conversion and recent cup form suggest they can create more high-value chances. Both teams have a tendency to keep games low-scoring early, with only one first-half goal each in their last five matches. The model projects a slightly above-average goal environment, with over 2.5 goals rated at 52%. Waltham Abbey’s superior attacking numbers and away record tip the probabilities in their favour, but Dagenham’s home advantage and defensive resilience keep the draw in play. The likeliest scenario is a narrow Abbey win, with a 1-2 scoreline the modal outcome.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Waltham Abbey average 2.6 goals scored per game in their last five, compared to Dagenham's 0.6.

Defence

  • →Dagenham have failed to score in two of their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in the cup this season.
  • →Waltham Abbey kept three clean sheets in their last five and scored seven goals in their only away cup game.

How Dagenham & Redbridge and Waltham Abbey Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridgelast 5 matches
T. Dieng
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Waltham AbbeyWaltham Abbeylast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Dagenham & Redbridge have struggled for momentum, posting just one win in their last five and averaging 0.6 goals per game. Waltham Abbey, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just one in their last two cup outings.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey — Last 2 Matches

Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & RedbridgeLast 1 results
D1-1
D@ Waltham Abbey1-1

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Waltham AbbeyWaltham AbbeyLast 2 results
D1-1
W7-0
Dvs Dagenham & Redbridge1-1
W@ Brantham Athletic7-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey

The sides have met only once, drawing 1-1 in the original FA Cup tie. That contest was evenly balanced, with neither team able to pull away, but it remains the only direct data point between these clubs.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Dagenham & Redbridge wins

1

Draws

0

Waltham Abbey wins

0%100% draws0%
19 Sept 26Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge1-1

Things to Watch: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and edge calculations are omitted.
  • ⚠️Limited sample size for both teams’ season records, especially for Waltham Abbey at this level.
  • ⚠️No detailed match stats (shots, possession, corners) or lineups, reducing model granularity.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Dagenham & Redbridge 1–2 Waltham Abbey

Waltham Abbey are projected to edge this replay 2-1, with their recent goal output (2.6 per game over five) the single strongest indicator. The main risk is that Dagenham’s home setting and defensive approach could drag the game into another low-scoring draw, especially given both teams’ tendency for tight first halves.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey: Common Questions

Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey?

Waltham Abbey are rated 43% likely to win, compared to 23% for Dagenham & Redbridge and 34% for the draw, based on recent scoring rates and away form.

Will both teams score in Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey?

The model gives a 48% chance of both teams scoring, with Dagenham failing to score in two of their last five and Abbey keeping three clean sheets in that span.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey?

There is a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Abbey’s 2.6 goals per game over their last five and Dagenham’s defensive vulnerabilities.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 20 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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