Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions
FA Cup · England
Waltham Abbey
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Dagenham & Redbridge
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dagenham & Redbridge Win
Match Result
6/10Waltham Abbey Hold Dagenham & Redbridge in Stalemate FA Cup Clash
Waltham Abbey and Dagenham & Redbridge battled to a 1-1 draw in their FA Cup encounter, with neither side able to find the decisive breakthrough. Both teams matched each other across the pitch, resulting in a tightly contested affair that saw the spoils shared at the final whistle. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the scoreline and event summary suggest a game of fine margins, with both sides managing a goal apiece but ultimately cancelling each other out. The absence of any bookings or dismissals further underlines the disciplined and evenly matched nature of the contest.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
Unknown' — Goal
Dagenham & Redbridge open the scoring, putting pressure on the hosts.
Unknown' — Goal
Waltham Abbey respond with an equalizer, restoring parity.
Waltham Abbey
Waltham Abbey rose to the occasion against higher-league opposition, showing resilience and organization throughout the match. They managed to find the net once and held their nerve defensively, ensuring Dagenham & Redbridge could not pull away. Their ability to stay disciplined—evidenced by not picking up a single card—was a positive, and they matched their opponents in key moments. While they lacked the cutting edge to secure a famous win, Waltham Abbey’s collective effort and defensive solidity earned them a deserved replay.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham & Redbridge entered the tie as favourites but were unable to assert their superiority over a spirited Waltham Abbey side. They managed to find the net but could not build on their advantage, ultimately being pegged back and held to a draw. The visitors maintained discipline, avoiding any bookings, but will be frustrated not to have found a winner. Dagenham & Redbridge will rue missed opportunities to put the game to bed and must now prepare for a replay to progress in the competition.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams scoring once and neither side receiving any cards, the match was evidently a disciplined and well-organized affair. Waltham Abbey likely adopted a compact, defensive approach to frustrate their higher-league opponents, while Dagenham & Redbridge tried to assert themselves but struggled to break down the hosts’ resistance. The lack of detailed statistics or formation data prevents a deeper tactical breakdown, but the even scoreline and clean disciplinary record point to a game where both sides prioritized structure and caution over risk-taking.
Turning Point
Waltham Abbey’s equalizer proved pivotal, shifting momentum and ensuring the home side stayed in the tie.
Man of the Match
Waltham Abbey Goalscorer
Scored the crucial goal that earned his side a deserved draw and a replay.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Match Preview
Waltham Abbey arrive in buoyant mood after a 7-0 demolition of Brantham Athletic in the previous FA Cup round, extending their unbeaten streak to three (WWD) and averaging 3.0 goals per game over their last five. However, their defensive record is patchier, with 12 goals conceded in that same span, and their only recent defeat—a 1-7 friendly loss to Leyton Orient—highlights the gulf when facing higher-tier opposition. Dagenham & Redbridge, meanwhile, have mixed recent form (LDWLW) but operate two divisions above and have shown defensive resilience, conceding just 1.0 per game in their last five and keeping two clean sheets.
The statistical matchup is defined by Waltham Abbey's prolific but volatile attack against Dagenham & Redbridge's more structured defensive approach. Abbey's games have averaged 5.4 total goals recently, but much of this output has come against non-league opposition. Dagenham & Redbridge's attack has been modest—0.8 goals per game in their last five—but their ability to limit chances should be decisive, especially as Abbey step up in class. Both sides have shown a tendency to start brightly, with 3 of Abbey's last 5 and 2 of Dagenham's last 5 featuring first-half goals.
The model expects Dagenham & Redbridge to control territory and tempo, limiting Abbey's opportunities while gradually imposing their quality. While Abbey's recent scoring form suggests they could find the net, the away side's defensive structure and higher baseline make them clear statistical favourites. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, with the most plausible deviation being Abbey's attack outperforming expectation against a rotated Dagenham side.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge that most previews miss.
- 1Waltham Abbey's last five matches have averaged 5.4 total goals, but their only clean sheets came against lower-tier opposition.
- 2Dagenham & Redbridge have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, but have conceded more than once only once in that span.
- 3Waltham Abbey have not failed to score in any of their last 5, despite conceding at least twice in three of those games.
Who do you think wins: Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dagenham & Redbridge Win
Dagenham & Redbridge hold a significant quality and division gap, and their defensive record (1.0 conceded per game in last 5) contrasts sharply with Waltham Abbey's step up in class. The away side's probability (0.52) reflects this edge.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Waltham Abbey's last 5 have averaged 5.4 total goals per game, and Dagenham & Redbridge's attack should find opportunities against a side conceding 2.4 per game recently, so the model gives a slight lean to over 2.5 (0.51).
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction
Statistical rates point to a moderate goal environment, with Dagenham & Redbridge's defensive solidity and higher league pedigree likely to tell. Waltham Abbey's recent scoring outbursts have come against weaker opposition, and their concession rate raises concerns against a National League South side.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Waltham Abbey's last 5 matches: 15 goals scored, 12 conceded.
- →Dagenham & Redbridge have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5, conceding just 1.0 per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either side.
How Waltham Abbey and Dagenham & Redbridge Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Waltham Abbeylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Dagenham & Redbridgelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Waltham Abbey enter this tie on a three-match unbeaten run, highlighted by a 7-0 FA Cup victory, but their defensive frailties remain with 12 goals conceded in their last five. Dagenham & Redbridge's form is more mixed (LDWLW), yet their defensive output (1.0 conceded per game) suggests a step up in stability compared to their hosts.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge
There is no head-to-head data for this fixture, so no direct historical comparison can be made. The model relies on recent form and the clear league gap to inform the projection.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Waltham Abbey wins
1
Draws
0
Dagenham & Redbridge wins
Things to Watch: Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available for this matchup.
- ⚠️Waltham Abbey's season record is based on a single cup tie against lower-level opposition.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be precisely calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Waltham Abbey 1–2 Dagenham & RedbridgeThe model projects a 2-1 win for Dagenham & Redbridge, driven largely by the division gap and the away side's superior defensive record (1.0 conceded per game recently). The greatest risk to this prediction is Waltham Abbey's attacking volatility, as shown in their high-scoring cup win, but the step up in opposition quality should prove decisive.
Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Common Questions
Who will win Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
Dagenham & Redbridge are rated 52% likely to win, with Waltham Abbey at 20% and the draw at 28%. The model leans towards the away side due to their stronger defensive record and league status.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 51%, with under at 49%. Waltham Abbey's recent matches have been high-scoring, but Dagenham & Redbridge's defensive strength tempers the goal expectation.
Will both teams score in Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
Both teams to score is rated 44%, with 'no' at 56%. Abbey have scored in each of their last five, but Dagenham & Redbridge's defensive organisation makes a clean sheet for the away side plausible.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Resources
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Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions
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Waltham Abbey vs Dagenham & Redbridge Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results