Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Predictions
Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.8/10Dalian Zhixing Outclass Sichuan Jiuniu with Clinical 3-1 Home Win
Dalian Zhixing delivered a commanding performance at the Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, dispatching Sichuan Jiuniu 3-1 in a match where the hosts’ attacking verve proved decisive. Goals from Frank Acheampong, Pedro Delgado, and Nicolae Stanciu put the game beyond doubt before a late consolation from Wesley Moraes for the visitors. Despite enjoying more possession (56%), Sichuan Jiuniu struggled to turn their control into meaningful chances, registering just one shot on target all afternoon. Dalian’s incisiveness in the final third was the story of the match, as they racked up 24 shots with 11 on target, consistently threatening Jiabao Ji’s goal. The hosts’ 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to transition quickly and exploit gaps in the visitors’ midfield, while Sichuan Jiuniu’s 4-1-4-1 setup failed to provide enough attacking support for their lone striker. The result sees Dalian Zhixing claim a deserved victory, underlining their clinical edge and tactical discipline.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
Key Moments
8' — Goal
Frank Acheampong puts Dalian Zhixing ahead early, capitalizing on a quick transition.
42' — Goal
Pedro Delgado doubles the lead for Dalian after sustained pressure.
52' — Goal
Nicolae Stanciu makes it 3-0, effectively ending the contest.
90' — Goal
Wesley Moraes scores a late consolation for Sichuan Jiuniu.
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing were relentless in attack, carving out 24 shots and forcing 11 saves from the opposition goalkeeper. Their pressing and transitional play consistently unsettled Sichuan Jiuniu, with the midfield trio of Pedro Delgado, Nicolae Stanciu, and Luo Jing orchestrating much of the attacking threat. The hosts’ defensive unit, marshaled by Mamadou Traoré and Jinhao Bi, remained largely untroubled until the dying moments, maintaining composure and shape throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu controlled the ball for long stretches, boasting 56% possession, but their play lacked penetration. The 4-1-4-1 formation left Wesley Moraes isolated up front, with only one shot on target from 13 attempts. Albion Ademi and Eden Karzev tried to inject urgency from midfield, but the team’s inability to break down Dalian’s disciplined defense proved costly. A late goal from Moraes was scant consolation in a match where the visitors rarely threatened.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Dalian Zhixing’s 4-2-3-1 offered both defensive solidity and attacking flexibility, with the double pivot shielding the back four and enabling quick transitions through the creative midfield trio. The wide play of Acheampong and Luo Jing stretched Sichuan Jiuniu’s defense, while Stanciu operated between the lines to great effect. Sichuan Jiuniu’s 4-1-4-1, while providing numbers in midfield, failed to support Wesley Moraes, leaving him isolated and starved of service. Despite dominating possession, Jiuniu’s passing was largely lateral, and they lacked the penetration to trouble Dalian’s organized back line. Set pieces yielded little joy for either side, with both defenses coping well under aerial pressure.
Turning Point
Nicolae Stanciu’s goal in the 52nd minute, which put Dalian 3-0 up and extinguished any realistic hopes of a Sichuan Jiuniu comeback.
Man of the Match
Pedro Delgado
Scored a crucial second goal, orchestrated attacks, and was central to Dalian’s creative dominance.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: Match Preview
Dalian Zhixing approach this fixture with a robust home record—nine wins from thirteen at Suoyuwan—and sit third in the table, maintaining outside hopes of a top-two finish. Their recent form string of 'WWDWD' includes a pair of home victories and just one goal conceded in their last two league outings, underlining defensive improvement. Sichuan Jiuniu, ranked 11th, have steadied after a poor mid-season run, drawing three of their last five and winning away at Shenyang Urban, but their away record (2 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses) remains a glaring weakness.
From a statistical standpoint, Dalian's home attack (1.77 goals/game) matches up well against Jiuniu's leaky away defence (2.15 goals conceded/game). Both teams' recent matches trend towards goals—Dalian's last five average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded, while Jiuniu's last five see 1.2 for and 1.2 against, with four of those featuring both teams scoring. Dalian's matches go over 2.5 goals 58% of the time, and Jiuniu's 52%, suggesting a moderate-to-high goal environment. Set-piece threat is moderate on both sides, with each averaging around 3.4 corners per game in their last five.
The model expects Dalian's home efficiency to be decisive, forecasting a 2-1 win driven by their ability to convert chances at home and Jiuniu's defensive frailties on the road. While Jiuniu's improved shot volume hints at some attacking threat, their low away scoring rate (0.85 goals/game) tempers expectations. The likeliest scenario is Dalian controlling the first half and Jiuniu chasing in the second, with the hosts' defensive solidity at home tipping the balance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu that most previews miss.
- 1Sichuan Jiuniu have conceded at least two goals in 8 of their 13 away matches this season.
- 2Dalian Zhixing have failed to score in only 1 of 13 home matches, averaging 1.77 goals per home game.
- 3Across the last five matches for both teams, 7 of 10 have seen both teams score.
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The Case For This Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction
Dalian Zhixing's home record (9 wins from 13) and superior defensive numbers at Suoyuwan set them up as favourites against a Sichuan Jiuniu side with the league's second-worst away defensive record (28 conceded in 13). Both teams average over 1.3 goals per game, but Dalian's home attack (1.77 goals/game) and Jiuniu's away concession rate (2.15/game) point to a goal-heavy contest, albeit with the hosts likelier to edge it. The underlying rates suggest a contest where Dalian's attacking efficiency at home outweighs their overall negative goal difference, while Jiuniu's recent uptick in shot volume (14.2 per game last five) gives them a puncher's chance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Dalian Zhixing average 1.77 goals scored per home game, conceding 1.23.
- →Sichuan Jiuniu have lost 9 of 13 away, conceding 2.15 per away match.
Match Context
- →Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in more than half their league games.
🚩 Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for Dalian Zhixing and 5.2 for Sichuan Jiuniu, for an expected total of 10.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 76% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Dalian Zhixinglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Sichuan Jiuniulast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Dalian Zhixing are trending upward, unbeaten in five and boasting two straight wins, including a 2-1 home result last time out. Sichuan Jiuniu, meanwhile, have drawn three of five and ended a run of defeats with a recent away win, but remain inconsistent, especially on their travels.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing are unbeaten in three previous meetings with Sichuan Jiuniu, winning the only prior home fixture 2-1 and drawing both away games 1-1. The head-to-head suggests a competitive fixture, but with Dalian holding the edge at home.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Dalian Zhixing wins
2
Draws
0
Sichuan Jiuniu wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu
With no bookmaker odds available, it is not possible to identify value edges for this fixture. The model's probabilities suggest Dalian should be clear favourites, especially in the home win and over 2.5 goals markets, but confirmation against market prices is not possible.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides is steady but not spectacular; neither team has a major streak.
- ⚠️Sichuan Jiuniu's away attack has been weak (0.85 goals/game), but recent shot volume is up.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dalian Zhixing 2–1 Sichuan JiuniuA 2-1 home win is the statistical baseline, anchored by Dalian Zhixing's strong home attack (1.77 goals/game) against a Jiuniu defence conceding over two per away game. The main risk is Jiuniu's recent increase in shots and BTTS frequency, which could see them nick a result if Dalian's defence lapses.
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: Common Questions
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The model gives Dalian Zhixing a 48% chance of victory, with a draw at 30% and Sichuan Jiuniu at 22%. Dalian's home record and Jiuniu's away defensive issues make the hosts favourites.
Will both teams score in Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, supported by 7 of the last 10 combined matches for these sides seeing goals at both ends and Jiuniu's recent attacking improvement.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 58%, with both teams' season rates above 50% and the matchup of Dalian's home attack against Jiuniu's away defence pointing to a goal-friendly contest.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.