Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Vasteras SK FK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Vasteras SK FK Win
Recommended Bets: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: Match Preview
Degerfors IF find themselves in a precarious position, just above the drop zone, after a five-match winless run in the league that has left confidence low. Their most recent outing, a 1-2 home defeat to Kalmar FF, typifies a stretch where goals have been hard to come by and defensive lapses frequent. Vasteras SK FK, meanwhile, are surging up the table, collecting nine points from their last five league games and boasting a recent home win over Mjallby AIF. With a six-point gap to the European places, motivation remains high for the visitors.
Statistically, Vasteras have been the sharper side at both ends of the pitch. Their last five league matches have seen them average 1.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game, while Degerfors have managed only 0.6 goals for and 1.4 against. The visitors’ attack is generating more opportunities (12.4 shots per game) and their second-half output (five goals after the break in the last five) hints at a team finishing strong. Degerfors’ main issue is bluntness up front, with just one first-half goal in their last five and two matches without scoring at all. Set-piece and discipline data offer little edge, but Vasteras’ slightly higher card count could be a factor if the match gets tense.
The model expects Vasteras’ momentum to tell, particularly as Degerfors have lost seven of twelve at home and failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. While Degerfors may keep things tight early, Vasteras’ superior attacking numbers and recent habit of scoring late should see them edge this contest, likely by a narrow margin.
How Degerfors IF and Vasteras SK FK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Vasteras SK FKlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Degerfors IF are on a five-match winless run in the league (LDDLL), having scored just three goals and conceded seven in that period. Vasteras SK FK, by contrast, have won three of their last five and kept two clean sheets, including a 1-0 win over Mjallby AIF last time out. The momentum is firmly with the visitors, who are climbing the table while Degerfors slide towards the relegation battle.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK that most previews miss.
- 1Vasteras SK FK have scored five of their last seven league goals in the second half, indicating a late surge pattern.
- 2Degerfors IF have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league matches, conceding at least once every time.
- 3Vasteras average 12.4 shots per game over their last five, compared to Degerfors’ 9, highlighting the visitors’ attacking momentum.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK?
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The Case For This Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction
Vasteras SK FK arrive in Degerfors with the wind at their backs, having claimed three wins from their last five league outings and recently dispatched Mjallby AIF and Malmo FF without conceding. Their form string of WLLWW is underpinned by a surge in attacking output and a tightening defence, while Degerfors IF’s LDDLL run leaves them hovering just above the relegation zone and searching for answers after a home defeat to Kalmar FF. The tactical contrast is stark: Vasteras are thriving on direct play and clinical finishing, averaging 12.4 shots and 4.4 on target per game in their last five, while Degerfors have managed just 2.8 shots on target on average and have failed to score in two of their last five. Set-piece threat is muted for both sides, but Degerfors’ discipline (1 yellow per game) is slightly better than Vasteras, who have averaged 1.4 yellows and even picked up a red in their last five. Vasteras’ away record (6 wins from 12) further underlines their ability to get results on the road, while Degerfors have lost 7 of 12 at Stora Valla. Given the momentum, expect Vasteras to control the tempo and exploit Degerfors’ lack of penetration. The visitors’ recent pattern of second-half goals (5 in their last five matches after the break) suggests they could pull away late. Degerfors may keep it tight early but their recent form and blunt attack point toward another frustrating evening.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Vasteras have a strong away record (6 wins from 12), while Degerfors have lost 7 of 12 at home.
Defence
- →Vasteras SK FK have won three of their last five league matches, conceding just 0.6 goals per game in that run.
- →Degerfors IF are winless in five (LDDLL) and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five.
Where the Model Sees Value: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Vasteras SK FK Win
Vasteras SK FK have won three of their last five league matches and are averaging 1.4 goals scored while conceding just 0.6 per game over that spell, in stark contrast to Degerfors IF’s five-match winless run and 0.6 goals per game. The away side’s momentum and superior away record (6 wins from 12) set them apart.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have shown defensive frailties over the season (Degerfors 1.54, Vasteras 1.5 goals conceded per game), and Vasteras’ last five have averaged 2.0 total goals, with Degerfors’ matches showing a tendency to open up late. Recent H2H meetings have also produced goals, including a 2-0 and 3-1 in the last four.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
🚩 Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Degerfors IF and 4.8 for Vasteras SK FK, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
What History Says: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF have the edge in the last ten meetings, with five wins to Vasteras’ three, but Vasteras took the honours in the most recent league clash with a 2-0 home win in July. The head-to-head record is balanced overall, with only one goalless draw and most matches settled by narrow margins.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Degerfors IF wins
2
Draws
3
Vasteras SK FK wins
Things to Watch: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Both sides played a friendly in their last five, which may affect sharpness or data reliability.
- ⚠️Degerfors have shown occasional home resilience earlier in the season, so a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Degerfors IF 1–2 Vasteras SK FKThe predicted score is 2-1 to Vasteras SK FK, driven primarily by their recent form surge—three wins from five and a strong away record. The single strongest data point is Degerfors’ five-match winless run and lack of clean sheets, which leaves them vulnerable to a Vasteras side finishing matches strongly. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Degerfors rediscover some home resilience and frustrate Vasteras into a low-scoring draw.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: Common Questions
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK?
The model gives Vasteras SK FK a 50% chance of victory, with Degerfors IF at 19% and the draw at 31%. This is based on Vasteras’ strong recent form and away record, contrasted with Degerfors’ ongoing struggles.
Will Vasteras SK FK’s good form continue?
Vasteras have won three of their last five and are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over that stretch. The model expects their momentum to continue, with a predicted 2-1 win and a 50% probability of an away victory.
Is both teams to score likely in this match?
The probability for both teams to score is 48%, reflecting Degerfors’ attacking struggles (0.6 goals per game in the last five) and Vasteras’ improved defence. Slightly more likely is that at least one side fails to score.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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