Kalmar FF vs Gais Predictions

Kalmar FF PredictionsGais PredictionsAllsvenskanH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Sweden
medium confidence
Kalmar FF

Kalmar FF

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Gais

Gais

🗓️ Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 at 19:00 CET (venue time) · 18:00 UTC (your time)📍 Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar

Win Probability (1X2)

Kalmar FF 28%Draw 34%Gais 38%

Best Value Pick

Correct Score: 1–1

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Kalmar FF vs Gais

Correct Score: 1–1
6/10
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
6/10

Kalmar FF vs Gais: Match Preview

Kalmar FF enter this match in 13th place, seeking to stave off relegation pressure after a patchy run of results. Their recent form string of WLDLL masks deeper issues in attack, with only two goals scored in their last five league outings and four matches in that span where they failed to find the net. Gais, sitting 10th, have lost back-to-back games but maintain a positive goal difference on the season and a notably higher clean sheet percentage (41.7%) than their hosts.

The tactical matchup is defined by Kalmar's blunt attack (0.96 goals per game) against a Gais defence that is solid at home but less so away (1.67 goals conceded per away match). Gais themselves are not prolific travellers, averaging 1.17 goals scored per away game, and both sides have seen just one 'both teams to score' outcome in their last five matches. Set-piece threat is limited, with both teams averaging under four corners per game recently, and discipline could play a role with Gais averaging 2.2 yellows per match over the last five.

Given the statistical shape of the fixture—low scoring rates, a high proportion of matches landing under 2.5 goals, and no major injury news—the model projects a cautious contest. The most likely outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the modal result, as neither attack has shown the cutting edge required to tilt the balance decisively.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Kalmar FF1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Gais1.25

Expected goals · model says 1.25

Win Probability
Kalmar FF 31% Draw 28% Gais 41%

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

BTTS: Yes

46%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Kalmar FF vs Gais Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
28%
34%
38%
Kalmar FF 28%Draw 34%Gais 38%
Both Teams to Score
46%
54%
Yes 46%No 54%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
44%
56%
Over 2.5 44%Under 2.5 56%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
37%
63%
Over 9.5 37%Under 9.5 63%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Kalmar FF vs Gais that most previews miss.

  • 1Gais have kept clean sheets in five of their twelve away matches this season, but have also conceded 20 goals on the road.
  • 2Kalmar have failed to score in four of their last five league games and average just 0.4 goals per match over that span.
  • 3Only one of the last five matches for each side has seen both teams score, pointing to a low BTTS probability.

Who do you think wins: Kalmar FF vs Gais?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Kalmar FF vs Gais Prediction

Kalmar FF host Gais in a fixture shaped by low attacking output and defensive inconsistencies on both sides. Kalmar's home record (5W, 2D, 4L) is offset by a poor recent run, while Gais have struggled away (3W, 2D, 7L) but boast a stronger overall goal difference and defensive record. The statistical matchup points towards a tight, low-scoring contest, with neither side in convincing form.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Kalmar average just 0.96 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per match this season.
  • →Gais have kept clean sheets in 41.7% of matches but concede 1.67 goals per away game.

Match Context

  • →Head-to-head: Kalmar have not beaten Gais in their last three meetings (2 losses, 1 draw).

🚩 Kalmar FF vs Gais Corners Prediction

high confidence
8.7expected total corners
Over 37%
Under 63%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.9 corners for Kalmar FF and 3.8 for Gais, for an expected total of 8.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (63%). Over 8.5: 50% · Over 10.5: 26%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Kalmar FF and Gais Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Kalmar FF vs Gais Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Kalmar FFKalmar FFlast 5 matches
Marius SoderbackXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

vilmer tyrenXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

GaisGaislast 5 matches
N. Vasicsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Anes CardaklijaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Robin Wendin ThomassonXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. FagerjordXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Kalmar's recent form is patchy, with just one win and four defeats in their last five league games, and a worrying four-match sequence without a goal before their recent 2-1 win. Gais have also stumbled, losing three of their last five, but did manage a convincing 3-0 away win at Mjallby in that span. Neither side carries significant momentum into this fixture.

Kalmar FF vs Gais — Last 10 Matches

Kalmar FFKalmar FFLast 10 results
W2-1
L0-1
L0-5
L0-1
L0-1
L0-1
D0-0
L0-4
L2-3
D1-1
W@ Degerfors IF2-1
L@ Malmo FF0-1
Lvs BK Hacken0-5
L@ IF Elfsborg0-1
Lvs Djurgardens IF0-1
L@ Halmstad0-1
D@ Vasteras SK FK0-0
Lvs Hammarby FF0-4
L@ IFK Goteborg2-3
D@ BK Hacken1-1

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
GaisGaisLast 10 results
L2-4
L0-1
W3-0
L0-2
D0-0
W4-0
L0-2
L0-1
W2-0
D1-1
L@ Orgryte IS2-4
Lvs Sirius0-1
W@ Mjallby AIF3-0
L@ Djurgardens IF0-2
Dvs BK Hacken0-0
Wvs IF Brommapojkarna4-0
L@ Hammarby FF0-2
Lvs Malmo FF0-1
W@ Halmstad2-0
Dvs Halmstad1-1

Strengths

  • +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5

What History Says: Kalmar FF vs Gais

Gais have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning two of the last three meetings and drawing the other. Kalmar have not beaten Gais in this period and conceded at least two goals in both losses. The last encounter at Guldfågeln Arena ended 3-2 to Gais.

Kalmar FF vs Gais Head-to-Head History

Last 3 meetings between these sides

0

Kalmar FF wins

1

Draws

2

Gais wins

0%33% draws67%
30 May 26Gais vs Kalmar FF3-0
31 Aug 24Gais vs Kalmar FF1-1
25 Apr 24Kalmar FF vs Gais2-3

Things to Watch: Kalmar FF vs Gais

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
  • ⚠️Recent form for both sides is mixed and sample size is limited for direct H2H.
  • ⚠️Potential for late-season motivation swings is not captured in raw rates.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Kalmar FF 1–1 Gais

A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, driven by both teams' modest attacking output and Gais' tendency to keep matches tight away from home. The single strongest data point is Kalmar's 0.96 goals per game over the season, which aligns with their recent struggles in front of goal. The main risk to this projection is a defensive lapse, as both sides have shown the capacity to concede heavily on occasion.

Kalmar FF vs Gais: Common Questions

Who will win Kalmar FF vs Gais?

The model gives Gais a 38% chance of victory, Kalmar 28%, and a draw 34%. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but Gais' superior defensive record tips the probabilities slightly in their favour.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Gais?

There is a 46% probability of both teams scoring, based on each side recording just one BTTS result in their last five matches and season-long rates that lean towards at least one side failing to score.

Is under 2.5 goals likely in Kalmar FF vs Gais?

The model projects a 56% probability for under 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' low scoring averages (Kalmar 0.96, Gais 1.25 per game) and a recent trend of tight matches.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kalmar FF vs Gais: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 22 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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Model Accuracy

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