Hammarby FF vs Sirius Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Sirius
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: Match Preview
Hammarby enter this match third in the table, trailing Sirius by nine points but boasting the league's most potent home attack with 34 goals from 12 matches. Their recent form is strong, with four wins in the last five and three clean sheets, though a 0-1 home loss to Djurgardens is a reminder of their vulnerability against top opposition. Sirius, meanwhile, top the standings and have been relentless on the road, winning ten of twelve away fixtures and scoring at a rate of 2.33 per away game.
Statistically, this is a clash of high-output attacks. Hammarby average 2.08 goals per game overall and 2.83 at home, while Sirius lead the league in goals scored (55) and have the highest over 2.5 goals rate at 70.8%. Both sides' last five matches show slightly reduced scoring (Hammarby 1.2, Sirius 1.6 per game), but defensive numbers remain solid: Hammarby have conceded just 0.4 per game in that span, Sirius 0.8. Set pieces could play a role, with both averaging over five corners per match recently, and discipline is moderate, with cards just above league average.
The model projects a high-scoring draw as the likeliest outcome, with both teams' attacking rates too strong to ignore. Hammarby's home defensive record is impressive, but Sirius's away consistency and 100% scoring record in their last five suggest both sides will find the net. Expect an open contest with momentum swings and a strong chance of at least three goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS: Yes
64%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hammarby FF vs Sirius that most previews miss.
- 1Sirius have scored in all 12 away matches this season, averaging 2.33 goals per game on the road.
- 2Four of the last six H2H meetings have produced at least four goals, including two 3-0 wins for Hammarby.
- 3Combined, these sides average 5.6 corners per game over their last five matches, indicating a high set-piece count.
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The Case For This Hammarby FF vs Sirius Prediction
This fixture brings together the league's best away side, Sirius, and a Hammarby team boasting the division's most prolific home attack. Both teams have averaged over two goals per game across the season, and their recent form lines are robust, with Hammarby winning four of five and Sirius unbeaten in five. The statistical profile points toward a high-tempo contest with both attacks likely to find success. Hammarby average 2.83 goals scored per home match, conceding just 0.58, while Sirius have netted 2.33 per away game with 1.08 conceded. The last five matches for both sides show slightly lower scoring rates but do not suggest a major drop-off. With both teams' over 2.5 goal percentages above 50%, and Sirius hitting 70.8% for the season, the probability model expects multiple goals and a strong chance of both teams scoring. Corners are also likely to be plentiful, with both averaging over 5 per match recently. The most probable outcome is a high-scoring draw, with each side's attacking strengths offsetting their defensive solidity. The model's top correct score is 2-2, reflecting the balance of offensive output and the fact that neither side has failed to score in their last five league outings. The main risk is that Hammarby's home defensive record (just seven conceded in 12) could stifle Sirius, but the away side's attacking consistency tips the balance toward goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Sirius have won 10 of 12 away matches, scoring 28 and conceding 13.
- →Hammarby average 2.83 goals scored and 0.58 conceded per home game.
Match Context
- →Both teams have over 2.5 goals in more than half their matches (Hammarby 50%, Sirius 70.8%).
🚩 Hammarby FF vs Sirius Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Hammarby FF and 5.4 for Sirius, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Hammarby FF and Sirius Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hammarby FFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Siriuslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hammarby have taken 12 points from their last five league matches, keeping three clean sheets and averaging 1.2 goals scored per game. Sirius are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws, and have not failed to score in any of those outings, averaging 1.6 goals per match.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70.83% of games this season
What History Says: Hammarby FF vs Sirius
Hammarby have dominated recent home meetings, winning four of the last five in Stockholm, often with multiple goals. However, the last two encounters have been more competitive, with Sirius earning a 2-2 draw and a 2-0 win. High-scoring games are common in this fixture, with four of the last six producing at least four goals.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Hammarby FF wins
2
Draws
2
Sirius wins
Things to Watch: Hammarby FF vs Sirius
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed; late injuries or rotations could impact attacking output.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies are excluded from main rate calculations due to lack of competitive intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hammarby FF 2–2 SiriusThe model forecasts a 2-2 draw, driven primarily by Sirius's league-best away scoring rate and Hammarby's formidable home attack. The main uncertainty is whether Hammarby's defensive discipline at home can contain Sirius's forward line; if so, the match could tilt toward a narrow home win, but the rates point to goals for both.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: Common Questions
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
The probabilities are tightly balanced: Hammarby have a 36% chance, Sirius 34%, and the draw 30%. The underlying goal rates and recent form suggest a high likelihood of a draw or narrow win either way.
Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Yes is favoured at 66% probability. Both teams have scored in three of their last five matches, and Sirius have scored in every away game this season.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
The model gives a 64% probability to over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' strong attacking records and Sirius's 70.8% over 2.5 rate for the season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hammarby FF vs Sirius: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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