Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
Hammarby FF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Hammarby FF Win
Recommended Bets: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF: Match Preview
Mjallby AIF approach this fixture stuck in a five-game winless run in the league (form string: LWDLL) and sitting 12th, just above the relegation zone. Their home record is a concern: only three wins in twelve, with a -7 goal difference at Strandvallen. Hammarby FF, third in the table, have won four of their last six and boast the league’s third-best attack, though their away form (W4 D3 L4) is less dominant than at home.
The statistical matchup is stark. Hammarby average 2.13 goals per game and allow just 0.91, while Mjallby concede 1.67 per match and have managed only 12 goals in 12 home outings. In the last five, Mjallby have scored just three times and failed to score in three matches, while Hammarby’s shot volume (15.2 per game, 7 on target) dwarfs Mjallby’s (10.6, 4.4). The data points to a low likelihood of both teams scoring (BTTS in only 1 of Mjallby’s last 5) and a moderate goal environment, with neither side trending towards high-scoring shootouts.
The model expects Hammarby to dictate play, leveraging their superior attack against a porous Mjallby defence. With Mjallby’s recent struggles in front of goal and Hammarby’s defensive solidity, the likeliest outcome is a controlled away win. The most probable scoreline is 2-0 to Hammarby, with the away side’s attacking rates and Mjallby’s lack of firepower the decisive factors.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF that most previews miss.
- 1Mjallby have managed only one clean sheet in their last ten league matches.
- 2Hammarby’s away matches average just 2.64 total goals, with under 2.5 landing in 6 of 11.
- 3Only one of the last five H2H meetings at Strandvallen has seen both teams score.
Who do you think wins: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Hammarby FF Win
Hammarby FF average 2.13 goals per game (season), have a +28 goal difference, and face a Mjallby side conceding 1.67 per match and winless in five; the model gives Hammarby a 55% win probability.
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BTTS: No
Mjallby have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and Hammarby have conceded only 21 in 23 games; BTTS 'no' is rated 65% by the model.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have under 50% over 2.5 rates in recent matches, and Mjallby’s home games average just 2.58 total goals; model leans under at 53%.
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The Case For This Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Prediction
Statistically, this is a clear contrast between a top-three attack and a bottom-four defence. Hammarby’s away record is solid if unspectacular, but Mjallby’s home form is among the league’s weakest, with only three wins and a goal output of 1.0 per home match. The underlying rates point to Hammarby’s attack controlling the tempo and keeping Mjallby at arm’s length.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hammarby’s season scoring rate (2.13 per game) is nearly double Mjallby’s (1.17).
Defence
- →Hammarby’s away defence concedes just 1.27 per game, while Mjallby average only 1.0 at home.
Match Context
- →Mjallby have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
🚩 Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Mjallby AIF and 5.8 for Hammarby FF, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 58%.
How Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Mjallby AIFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hammarby FFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mjallby have struggled for results, with just one win in their last five and a single goal in their last three league outings. Hammarby, by contrast, come in with three wins from their last five and a strong overall season record, though they did lose their most recent match. The momentum and underlying stats both favour the visitors.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
What History Says: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF
The head-to-head record is surprisingly balanced, with Mjallby winning five of the last ten and Hammarby three. However, recent league meetings have often gone the way of the away side, and clean sheets are common for the winner. Notably, Mjallby’s last home league win over Hammarby was in 2025.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Mjallby AIF wins
2
Draws
3
Hammarby FF wins
Things to Watch: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available—value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Mjallby have historically upset Hammarby at home in cup matches.
- ⚠️Recent H2H is volatile, with some high-scoring outliers.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Mjallby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FFThe model forecasts a 2-0 away win for Hammarby FF, anchored by their league-leading attack (2.13 goals/game) and Mjallby’s chronic scoring issues at home. The main risk is Mjallby’s occasional ability to frustrate Hammarby at Strandvallen, as seen in past cup upsets, but the season-long rates and recent form both point decisively toward the visitors.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF: Common Questions
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF are rated 55% likely to win by the model, with Mjallby at 17% and the draw at 28%. This is based on Hammarby’s superior scoring and defensive records across the season.
Will both teams score in Mjallby vs Hammarby?
The model gives a 35% probability for both teams to score, with 65% for ‘no’. Mjallby have failed to score in three of their last five, and Hammarby’s defence has kept two clean sheets in their last five.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Mjallby vs Hammarby?
Under 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 53% probability. Both teams’ recent matches and Hammarby’s away games trend towards lower totals, with only 47% of their combined league matches going over 2.5.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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