Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
FC Andorra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Deportivo La Coruna or Draw
Match Result
7.2/10Deportivo Edge FC Andorra in Hard-Fought Riazor Battle
Deportivo La Coruna clinched a crucial 2-1 victory over FC Andorra at the Estadio Municipal de Riazor, overcoming a first-half deficit in a match defined by tactical discipline and clinical finishing. Despite conceding 66% possession to the visitors, Deportivo made their moments count, firing 8 shots on target from 15 attempts and capitalizing on key opportunities in the second half. FC Andorra struck first in the 34th minute, but Deportivo responded with resilience, equalizing shortly after halftime and sealing the win with a late goal in the 81st minute. The match was a tense affair, marked by physicality—25 fouls and six yellow cards in total—as both sides battled for dominance. Ultimately, Deportivo’s defensive solidity and sharp counterattacks proved decisive against an Andorra side that struggled to convert their territorial advantage into goals.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
34' — Goal
M. Nieto scores to put FC Andorra ahead after sustained pressure.
48' — Goal
Y. Hernandez equalizes for Deportivo early in the second half, shifting momentum.
81' — Goal
B. Nsongo nets the winner for Deportivo, finishing off a swift counterattack.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Six bookings across both teams reflect the match’s physical edge.
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna executed a disciplined game plan, soaking up pressure with a five-man defense and striking decisively on the break. Despite having just 34% possession, they were far more efficient in the final third, generating 15 shots with 8 on target and making the most of their limited corners. Their resilience showed after falling behind, as they regrouped at halftime and came out with renewed intent, eventually overturning the deficit. The defensive unit held firm under sustained Andorra possession, while the midfield trio worked tirelessly to disrupt play and launch counters. The forwards, particularly in the second half, exploited spaces left by Andorra’s advancing fullbacks, leading to two well-taken goals.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Andorra
FC Andorra controlled the tempo with 66% possession and a 4-3-3 formation, dictating play for long spells and opening the scoring in the first half. However, their dominance rarely translated into clear-cut chances, as they managed only 4 shots on target from 11 attempts. Despite their territorial advantage, Andorra struggled to break down Deportivo’s compact defense and were vulnerable to quick transitions. The midfield trio circulated the ball well, but the forwards found space at a premium. Four yellow cards reflected their frustration and the physical nature of their attempts to regain control after Deportivo’s goals. Ultimately, Andorra’s inability to convert possession into goals proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Deportivo lined up in a 5-3-2, prioritizing defensive solidity and compactness in central areas. The wingbacks dropped deep to form a back five, frustrating Andorra’s attempts to play through the lines. The midfield trio worked in tandem to disrupt Andorra’s rhythm and spring quick transitions, a strategy that paid off with two well-worked goals. FC Andorra’s 4-3-3 saw them dominate possession, but their attacks often stalled at the edge of Deportivo’s penalty area. Their fullbacks pushed high, but this left them exposed to counters, especially after losing the ball in midfield. Despite tactical tweaks and substitutions, Andorra could not break down Deportivo’s disciplined block or recover after falling behind.
Turning Point
Y. Hernandez’s equalizer in the 48th minute, which galvanized Deportivo and shifted momentum decisively in their favor.
Man of the Match
B. Nsongo
Scored the decisive winner and was a constant threat on the break, making the difference in a tight contest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams are in strong form and have similar attacking output; a draw with goals is a reasonable outcome given their recent defensive records and the league context.
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Double Chance: Deportivo La Coruna or Draw
Deportivo La Coruna are strong at home and motivated in the promotion race, making defeat unlikely despite Andorra's good recent run.
BTTS: Yes
Both teams average over 1.5 goals per game, and BTTS has landed in 4 of Deportivo's last 5; Andorra’s attack is in excellent form.
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Prediction
This is a clash between two in-form sides: Deportivo La Coruna, pushing for promotion, host a resurgent FC Andorra who have found their scoring touch. Deportivo are unbeaten in five and boast a strong home record, but Andorra have won four of their last five, including some big away results. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals per game and showing attacking intent, a competitive, open contest is expected.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Deportivo's strong home form (10W, 5D, 4L) and promotion motivation
Attack
- →Andorra’s recent attacking surge (2.2 goals/game last 5, 5-1 and 4-0 wins)
Defence
- →Deportivo have not failed to score in last 5; Andorra have 3 clean sheets in last 5
Match Context
- →Both teams’ season-long tendency for BTTS and over 2.5 goals
- →Head-to-head is limited but Andorra won reverse fixture 1-0
How Deportivo La Coruna and FC Andorra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Deportivo La Corunalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Deportivo La Coruna enter this match unbeaten in their last five (WWDWD), with two straight wins and a consistent ability to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game in this stretch. FC Andorra are also in excellent form, winning four of their last five (WLWWW), highlighted by a 5-1 demolition of Las Palmas and a 4-0 away win at Leganes, showing both attacking prowess and improved defensive solidity.
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Recent Form
No recent results available
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
No recent results available
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
What History Says: Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra
With only one previous meeting between these sides, FC Andorra hold the edge after a 1-0 win at home earlier this season. However, the lack of a broader head-to-head history means this result should be weighed lightly, especially as Deportivo now have home advantage.
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Deportivo La Coruna wins
0
Draws
1
FC Andorra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra
Due to the absence of current bookmaker odds, it is not possible to quantify value edges or expected value for specific bets. Once odds are available, the model's relatively high draw probability and BTTS likelihood could offer value if markets underestimate the chance of a close, competitive game.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra
- ⚠️Only one previous head-to-head, so little H2H trend data
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value bet identification is limited
- ⚠️Some match stats (e.g. shots, lineups) are missing for a few recent games
- ⚠️Final lineups and tactical approaches may affect goal and card markets
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Resources
Deportivo La Coruna Predictions
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FC Andorra Predictions
All FC Andorra fixtures & tips
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Segunda División Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results