Cordoba vs Tenerife Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Cordoba
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Tenerife
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Cordoba vs Tenerife
Cordoba vs Tenerife: Match Preview
Cordoba come into this fixture sitting 18th, having lost four of their last five matches and conceding 12 goals in that stretch. Their only recent win came away at Albacete, and at home they have managed just one win from three, scoring three and conceding six. Tenerife, 10th in the table, have steadier form but are also coming off a heavy 0-5 away defeat at Castellón and a draw with Cadiz. Their away record is mixed, with one win, one draw, and one loss, but the goals against tally is inflated by that single big loss.
The statistical matchup is defined by Cordoba's inability to keep clean sheets (0 in 7 matches) and Tenerife's moderate away attack (1.33 goals scored per away game, but 5 of 7 conceded in one match). Cordoba average 15.4 shots per game over the last five but convert poorly (1.2 goals/game), while Tenerife's shot volume is lower (9.8 per game) and their matches tend to be cagey, with only two of their last five seeing both teams score. Discipline could play a role: Cordoba are averaging 3.4 yellows per match, suggesting a risk of cards, especially if they fall behind.
The model expects a low-scoring contest, with neither side likely to dominate. Cordoba's attack is blunted at home and Tenerife's away defence, aside from one outlier, is generally solid. The likeliest outcome is a draw, most probably 1-1, with a slight lean to under 2.5 goals based on the underlying rates. A single moment or set piece could tip the balance, but the distribution of outcomes is tightly clustered around the draw.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Cordoba vs Tenerife Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Cordoba vs Tenerife that most previews miss.
- 1Cordoba's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 86% of their games this season, but their home matches average just 2.0 goals per game.
- 2Tenerife have conceded 5 of their 7 away goals in a single match; excluding that, their away defence allows just 1.0 goal per game.
- 3Cordoba have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 7 league fixtures, the worst record in the division.
Who do you think wins: Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Cordoba vs Tenerife(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
The model assigns a 38% probability to the draw, the highest of the three outcomes, reflecting both teams' low conversion rates and Tenerife's tendency to split points away (1 draw in 3 away games) against Cordoba's inability to build home momentum.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Cordoba's attack is blunted at home (1.0 goals/game), while Tenerife's away matches average just 3.7 total goals but are skewed by one heavy defeat; the underlying rates (Cordoba 1.43 scored/2.29 conceded, Tenerife 1.14/1.29) point to a median goal expectation just under 2.5.
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Cards: Over 4.5
Cordoba average 3.4 yellows per game over the last 5, Tenerife 2.0, making a combined rate above 5 cards per match; discipline issues are a recurring theme for Cordoba, especially when chasing games.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Cordoba vs Tenerife Prediction
Statistically, this fixture sets up as a low-scoring contest between a Cordoba side struggling to convert possession into points and a Tenerife outfit whose away record is defined by defensive caution and sporadic attacking output. Both teams' season-long scoring rates are modest, and recent form offers little evidence of a breakout performance from either attack. The likeliest scenario is a tightly contested draw, with neither side able to assert sustained dominance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Tenerife's away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 4 goals for, 7 against (5 conceded in one match).
- →Cordoba have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their seven matches.
Match Context
- →Cordoba's season home record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, 3 goals for, 6 against.
🚩 Cordoba vs Tenerife Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Cordoba and 4.6 for Tenerife, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Cordoba and Tenerife Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Cordoba vs Tenerife Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Cordobalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tenerifelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Cordoba are on a downward trajectory, losing four of their last five matches and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game in that stretch. Tenerife's recent form is mixed, with a win, two draws, and two losses in their last five, but their only away defeat was a heavy 0-5 loss that skews their defensive stats.
Cordoba vs Tenerife — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 59% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Cordoba vs Tenerife
Cordoba have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last eight meetings and keeping clean sheets in three of those. However, the last three encounters have all featured goals for both sides, and draws have been rare, occurring just once in the last eight.
Cordoba vs Tenerife Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
5
Cordoba wins
1
Draws
2
Tenerife wins
Things to Watch: Cordoba vs Tenerife
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' home/away splits may exaggerate recent results.
- ⚠️Cordoba's defensive numbers are poor, but Tenerife's attack is inconsistent, making the goal market volatile.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Cordoba 1–1 TenerifeThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest statistical anchor being Cordoba's inability to keep clean sheets (0 in 7), offset by Tenerife's generally conservative away approach (excluding one aberrant defeat). The main risk to this forecast is either side capitalising on a defensive lapse—Cordoba's defensive numbers are poor, but Tenerife's attack is not consistently clinical.
Cordoba vs Tenerife: Common Questions
Who will win Cordoba vs Tenerife?
The model gives Cordoba a 27% chance, Tenerife a 35% chance, and the draw a 38% chance. Both teams have struggled for consistency, making the draw marginally the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Both teams to score is rated at 51%, reflecting Cordoba's run of games without a clean sheet and Tenerife's moderate away output. The underlying rates are finely balanced, so BTTS is a coin-flip market.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Cordoba vs Tenerife?
The probability of under 2.5 goals is 54%, as Cordoba's home attack is limited and Tenerife's away defence is generally solid except for one heavy defeat. Most outcomes cluster around 1-1 or 1-0 either way.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Cordoba vs Tenerife: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.