Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Real Sociedad II
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Cadiz
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz: Match Preview
Real Sociedad II and Cadiz both enter this fixture in the relegation zone, separated by just two points and with only five wins between them after 13 rounds. The hosts have steadied slightly with four points from their last two matches, but their overall home record (1W 1D 4L) offers little comfort. Cadiz, meanwhile, have lost four of their last five in the league and remain winless on the road, scoring just six goals in five away outings.
Statistical rates suggest a low-scoring affair. Real Sociedad II average 1.15 goals for and 1.69 against per game, while Cadiz post 1.23 for and 1.38 against. Both sides have struggled for clean sheets (15.4% each), but neither attack is especially clinical: Real Sociedad II generate plenty of shots (16 per game last five), but have only scored four times in that stretch. Cadiz's attack is less prolific in terms of shot volume, yet has been marginally more efficient recently. Set-piece data points to a possible edge for the hosts, who average over six corners per match, while both sides have seen high card counts in recent games.
The model expects a tight, risk-averse contest, with the draw and under 2.5 goals both favoured by underlying rates. Both teams' inability to keep clean sheets is offset by low attacking conversion, making 1-1 the modal outcome. With neither side showing a clear home or away advantage, the likeliest scenario is a cautious opening, with most goal threat emerging after the interval.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz that most previews miss.
- 1Real Sociedad II's home matches average just 2.67 total goals, but they've conceded in five of six at Zubieta.
- 2Cadiz have failed to win any of their five away league games, conceding two goals per match on average.
- 3Across their last five league matches, Real Sociedad II have averaged 6.4 corners per game, double Cadiz's 3.2.
Who do you think wins: Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams average just over a goal per game (Real Sociedad II: 1.15, Cadiz: 1.23), and neither keeps clean sheets (both at 15.4%); the draw is also the modal result in their limited head-to-head history.
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Over/Under: Under 2.5
Both teams have hit under 2.5 goals in 46% of their matches, and their combined last-5 average goals per game (2.4) is modest for this league.
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Cards: Over 4.5
Real Sociedad II have averaged 3.4 yellows per game in their last five, Cadiz 2.6, with the home side also registering a 6-card match recently; disciplinary rates point to a card-heavy contest.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides struggling at the foot of the Segunda División, with Real Sociedad II sitting 18th and Cadiz bottom at 20th. Both teams have found wins hard to come by, posting just five combined victories from 26 matches. Recent form offers little separation: Real Sociedad II have taken four points from their last five (DWLLL), while Cadiz have lost four of their last five (LLWWL), but neither side has managed to string together consistent performances. Statistically, the matchup is shaped by modest attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Real Sociedad II average 1.15 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game, while Cadiz post 1.23 scored and 1.38 conceded. The home side's defensive issues are especially pronounced at Zubieta, conceding 10 in six home games, but Cadiz have yet to win away (0W 2D 3L, 6 scored, 10 conceded). Both teams rarely keep clean sheets (15.4% each), and their last five matches see Real Sociedad II averaging 16 shots per game but only 0.8 goals, while Cadiz's shot volume is much lower (8.8), yet they manage 1.6 goals per game recently. Set-piece metrics favour the hosts, who average 6.4 corners per game in their last five, compared to Cadiz's 3.8. The model projects a low-scoring, attritional contest, with the draw and under 2.5 goals both the most likely outcomes. Both teams' season-long scoring rates and defensive records point to a narrow margin either way, and the lack of a clear attacking edge or home advantage (Real Sociedad II's home record: 1W 1D 4L) suggests neither side is likely to dominate. Expect a cagey first half, with the bulk of any goals likely to arrive after the break.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Real Sociedad II average 16 shots per game in their last five but have scored just 0.8 goals per game in that span.
Defence
- →Both teams have a season clean sheet percentage of just 15.4%, indicating defensive frailty.
- →Cadiz are winless away from home this season (0W 2D 3L, 6 scored, 10 conceded).
🚩 Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Real Sociedad II and 4.6 for Cadiz, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Real Sociedad II and Cadiz Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Real Sociedad IIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cadizlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Real Sociedad II have shown slight improvement, collecting four points from their last two matches after a run of three straight defeats. Cadiz, by contrast, have lost four of their last five league games and remain winless away from home this season. Both sides are struggling to find momentum, reflected in their low league positions.
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz
The limited head-to-head record shows a 2-0 away win for Real Sociedad II and a 3-3 draw at Zubieta, suggesting open contests, but with only two meetings, no strong trend is established. Both matches saw the away side score at least twice, but that pattern is not strongly supported by current season form.
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Real Sociedad II wins
1
Draws
0
Cadiz wins
Things to Watch: Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Head-to-head sample size is very limited (only two matches).
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries are unknown; squad rotations could affect attacking or defensive strength.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Real Sociedad II 1–1 CadizThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' season scoring rates (Real Sociedad II: 1.15, Cadiz: 1.23) and their matching 15% clean sheet rates. The most plausible way this prediction fails is if either side capitalises on defensive errors to break the deadlock, but the underlying numbers point to a low-scoring, closely contested match.
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz: Common Questions
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
The model gives Real Sociedad II a 37% chance to win, Cadiz a 27% chance, and a draw 36%. Both teams have struggled for wins and are closely matched in attack and defence.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
There's a 51% probability that both teams will score, reflecting their low clean sheet rates (15.4% each) and defensive records, though neither attack is especially prolific.
How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 57% probability, with both teams averaging just over a goal per game and combining for a modest 2.4 goals per match across their last five league outings.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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