Sabadell vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Sabadell
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Recommended Bets: Sabadell vs Granada CF
Sabadell vs Granada CF: Match Preview
Sabadell enter this contest stuck in a holding pattern, with three draws and just one win in their last five league outings. Their inability to turn territorial advantage into goals has been costly, as highlighted by a 0-0 stalemate at home to Real Sociedad II and a narrow defeat away to Albacete. Sitting 13th in the table, they remain unbeaten at home but have been held to three draws in six outings at the Nova Creu Alta, suggesting a lack of cutting edge rather than outright frailty.
Granada CF, meanwhile, are the form side in the Segunda División. Five consecutive league victories have catapulted them into the top five, and their defensive transformation is stark: just one goal conceded in their last five, with four clean sheets. While their shot and possession numbers are modest (7.2 shots, 33.6% possession on average in the last five), their efficiency in both boxes has been decisive, and they've found ways to win on the road, notching four away victories already this campaign.
The model expects Granada's momentum and defensive discipline to be the defining factors. Sabadell's high shot counts (15.2 per game in the last five) haven't translated into goals, while Granada's compact shape and ability to strike after the break (seven second-half goals in five) suggest they'll absorb pressure and punish errors. With neither side prolific in the first half, a cagey opening is likely before Granada's quality asserts itself after the interval.
How Sabadell and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sabadell vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sabadelllast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CF are in the midst of a remarkable run, winning five straight league matches and conceding just once in that period. Sabadell, in contrast, have lost momentum with three draws and just one win in their last five, and have failed to score in two of those matches. The gap in recent form is stark, with Granada's confidence and defensive organisation standing out.
Sabadell vs Granada CF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Sabadell vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sabadell vs Granada CF that most previews miss.
- 1Granada CF have conceded just one goal in their last five league matches, keeping four clean sheets.
- 2Sabadell have drawn three of their six home games this season and are unbeaten at the Nova Creu Alta.
- 3Granada have scored seven of their last ten league goals in the second half, highlighting their late-game strength.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
43%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Sabadell vs Granada CF?
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The Case For This Sabadell vs Granada CF Prediction
Granada CF are riding a tidal wave of momentum, having won five on the bounce and conceding just once in that span, while Sabadell's campaign has stalled with a string of draws and a blunt attack. The visitors' defensive solidity and clinical finishing have been the backbone of their surge up the table, in stark contrast to Sabadell's struggles to turn possession and shot volume into goals. Expect Granada's form to dictate the tempo, with Sabadell likely forced onto the back foot for long spells.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Sabadell have failed to score in two of their last five and average just 0.8 goals per game over that stretch.
Defence
- →Granada CF's five-match winning streak with four clean sheets.
Match Context
- →Granada's away record (4W, 1D, 2L) is among the best in the division.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sabadell vs Granada CF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Granada CF arrive on a five-match winning streak, conceding just 0.2 goals per game in that run, while Sabadell have failed to score in two of their last five and have drawn three straight at home.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five league matches and Sabadell average just 0.8 goals in that same period; the matchup strongly tilts towards at least one side blanking.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Sabadell's home matches average just 2.0 goals and only 30.8% of their league games go over 2.5, while Granada's last five have produced just 2.2 goals per game.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
🚩 Sabadell vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Sabadell and 3.4 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 8.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 44% · Over 10.5: 20%.
Things to Watch: Sabadell vs Granada CF
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these sides, limiting historical matchup insight.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are missing, so value and edge calculations are based solely on model probabilities.
- ⚠️Sabadell are unbeaten at home this season (3W, 3D), which may temper Granada's momentum.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sabadell 0–2 Granada CFGranada's five-match winning streak and defensive record set them apart, and the predicted 2-0 away win is anchored by their four clean sheets in the last five. The main risk is Sabadell's unbeaten home record and their tendency to grind out draws, which could frustrate the visitors if Granada struggle to break them down early.
Sabadell vs Granada CF: Common Questions
Who will win Sabadell vs Granada CF?
Granada CF are strong favourites based on current form, with a 54% probability of victory according to the model. Their five straight wins and defensive solidity give them the edge over a Sabadell side that has drawn three of their last five.
Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Granada CF?
The model gives just a 31% chance of both teams scoring, reflecting Granada's four clean sheets in their last five and Sabadell's struggles in front of goal (0.8 goals per game over that stretch).
Can Granada CF extend their winning streak?
Granada CF have a strong chance to make it six wins in a row, with the model rating their win/draw probability at 83%. Their away form (four wins in seven) and recent defensive record are the key factors behind this projection.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sabadell vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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