Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Real Sociedad II
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 2
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
8.2/10Granada CF Stun Real Sociedad II With Dramatic Late Comeback
Granada CF produced a thrilling late turnaround to defeat Real Sociedad II 3-2 at the Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, overturning a two-goal deficit with a stoppage-time winner. The hosts looked in control after a rapid-fire double in the first half, but Granada's persistence paid off as they clawed their way back into the contest with two quick goals in the second half before sealing victory at the death. Real Sociedad II started brightly, hitting twice in the 28th and 29th minutes to take a commanding lead. However, Granada responded with attacking intent, gradually taking control of possession and peppering the home goal with 23 shots. Their efforts were rewarded with goals in the 63rd and 69th minutes, setting up a tense finale. The visitors' belief never wavered, and their relentless pressure culminated in a dramatic 90th-minute winner, leaving the home side shell-shocked.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 3
Key Moments
28' — Goal
Real Sociedad II open the scoring, capitalizing on early momentum.
29' — Goal
Hosts double their lead just a minute later, stunning Granada.
63' — Goal
Granada CF pull one back, reigniting their hopes.
69' — Goal
Granada level the match with a well-worked move.
90' — Goal
Granada complete the comeback with a dramatic late winner.
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II began the match with energy and incisiveness, capitalizing on their early chances to establish a 2-0 lead within a minute's span. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to press effectively and transition quickly, but after the break, they struggled to maintain control as Granada ramped up the pressure. Despite registering 17 shots and 6 on target, the hosts faded in the second half, conceding territory and eventually succumbing to Granada's late surge. Defensively, they were organized in the first half but became increasingly stretched as the game wore on. Three yellow cards underlined their desperation to stem the tide, but ultimately, their inability to manage the game in the closing stages proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Granada CF
Granada CF showed impressive resilience and tactical flexibility, overcoming a disastrous first half to claim all three points. Their 3-5-2 formation allowed them to dominate possession (53%) and stretch the play, especially in the second half when they increased the tempo and forced Real Sociedad II onto the back foot. With 23 shots and 7 corners, Granada's sustained attacking threat eventually broke the hosts' resistance. Key substitutions and a more aggressive approach after the interval shifted the momentum. The visitors' belief and attacking intent were rewarded with two quick goals to level the score, and their relentless pursuit culminated in a dramatic 90th-minute winner, capping a memorable comeback.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Real Sociedad II deployed a 4-2-3-1, pressing high and looking to exploit spaces behind Granada's wing-backs. This approach paid dividends early, but as the match wore on, their midfield struggled to contain Granada's overloads and wide play. Granada's 3-5-2 allowed them to control possession and use the flanks effectively, especially after halftime. Their wing-backs pushed higher, and the midfield trio began to dictate the tempo, pinning the hosts deep. Set pieces and corners became increasingly important for Granada, who forced 7 corners to Real Sociedad II's 1. Substitutions (not detailed in the data) likely added fresh legs and impetus, helping Granada sustain their pressure and eventually break through a tiring home defence.
Turning Point
Granada's equalizer in the 69th minute shifted the momentum completely, setting the stage for their late winner.
Man of the Match
José Arnáiz
His relentless attacking play and crucial second-half goal spearheaded Granada's comeback.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF: Match Preview
Real Sociedad II and Granada CF arrive in San Sebastian level on points (8 from 7 matches) and adjacent in the table, but their recent momentum diverges. Sociedad II are on a three-match losing run, including a 1-3 defeat at Ceuta and a 0-1 home loss to Mallorca, with their only home goal this season coming in a 1-1 draw with Tenerife. Granada, though also winless in three, have at least shown attacking intent, scoring twice in each of their last two games despite defeats to Andorra and Leganes.
The underlying numbers point to a game with chances at both ends. Granada's attack is generating 18 shots and 4.6 on target per game over the last five, compared to Sociedad II's 7.6 and 2.0, and the visitors have scored all seven of their recent goals after half-time. Sociedad II's defence has been porous, conceding 2.2 goals per game over the last five and failing to keep a clean sheet all season. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in four of seven league matches, and both teams to score has landed in four of their last five.
Given the shot volumes and recurring defensive issues, the model expects a moderately open contest, with Granada's greater attacking output and proven head-to-head edge likely to prove decisive. The most probable scenario is a 2-1 away win, with the balance of play shifting after the break as Granada's attack asserts itself.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF that most previews miss.
- 1Granada have scored seven of their last eight league goals in the second half.
- 2Real Sociedad II have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their seven league matches this season.
- 3Granada are averaging 6 corners per game over their last five, nearly triple Sociedad II's 2.2.
Who do you think wins: Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF?
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Prediction
Both sides have mirrored each other in the early stages of the Segunda División campaign, sitting level on eight points from seven matches with negative goal differences and patchy recent form. Real Sociedad II have struggled at home, netting just once in three matches at Estadio Zubieta, while Granada's away record is only marginally better, with five goals scored and seven conceded in four outings. The underlying shot and possession data, however, point to Granada carrying more attacking threat, especially after the break. Statistically, this fixture profiles as moderately open. Both teams average above 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, and over 2.5 goals has landed in four of their seven league matches apiece (57%). Granada's last five outings have averaged 3.8 total goals, with seven of their last eight goals coming in the second half, suggesting a tendency to grow into games. Real Sociedad II, meanwhile, have not kept a clean sheet all season and have conceded at least once in every home match. Set-piece data shows Granada generating 6 corners per game over their last five, while Sociedad II's set-piece output is notably lower at 2.2. Given these rates, the most likely scenario is a competitive contest with both teams finding the net, but Granada's superior attacking volume (18 shots and 4.6 on target per match over their last five) and recent head-to-head dominance (two wins from two, 7-2 aggregate) tip the balance in their favour. The model projects a 2-1 away win, with the greatest risk stemming from Granada's occasional defensive lapses on the road.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Granada average 18 shots and 4.6 shots on target per match over their last 5 games.
Defence
- →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last 5 league games.
Match Context
- →Real Sociedad II have scored just 1 goal in 3 home league matches (0.33 per game).
🚩 Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Real Sociedad II and 5.2 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Real Sociedad II and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Real Sociedad IIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Real Sociedad II come into this fixture on a three-match losing streak, conceding eight goals in that span and struggling for attacking fluency at home with just one goal in three matches. Granada's recent form is also mixed, with two straight defeats, but their attack has been productive, netting twice in each of their last two games and averaging 1.6 goals per match over the last five.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF — Last 8 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 19 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 58% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF
Granada have dominated the short head-to-head history, winning both recent meetings by an aggregate score of 7-2. Notably, they won 2-0 away at Sociedad II last season and ran out 5-2 winners at home, with both matches featuring at least three goals.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Real Sociedad II wins
0
Draws
3
Granada CF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF
No bookmaker odds were available at the time of modelling, so value edges cannot be calculated for this fixture. Once odds are published, the model's lean towards Granada and the over 2.5 goals market should be compared to market prices for potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF
- ⚠️Small sample size on home/away splits may understate volatility.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown inconsistency, with defensive errors possible on either side.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Real Sociedad II 1–2 Granada CFThe model favours Granada to edge this fixture 2-1, primarily on the strength of their superior attacking output—18 shots per game over the last five, compared to Sociedad II's 7.6. The main risk to this projection is Granada's own defensive record on the road, having conceded seven in four away matches, which could allow Sociedad II to capitalise if they improve their home finishing.
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF: Common Questions
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF?
Granada CF are given a 44% probability of winning away, compared to 26% for Real Sociedad II and 30% for the draw. The projection is shaped by Granada's higher attacking rates and recent head-to-head success.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF?
Both teams to score is rated at 56% probability, as both sides have scored and conceded in four of their last five league matches and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The model estimates a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging more than 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game and four of their seven league matches each going over the line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.