Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Las Palmas
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 2(+6% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Las Palmas Strike Early to Sink Deportivo in Riazor Showdown
Las Palmas produced a clinical first-half display to claim a 2-1 away victory over Deportivo La Coruna at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor. The visitors stunned the home crowd with two goals inside the opening 20 minutes, as Jesé Rodríguez and Estanis Pedrola found the net to put Las Palmas firmly in control. Deportivo responded before the half-hour mark through Zakaria Eddahchouri, but despite a spirited effort, the hosts could not find an equalizer. The match saw Las Palmas control the tempo, enjoying 56% possession and creating more opportunities from set pieces, with five corners to Deportivo's one. Deportivo, set up in a 4-4-2, struggled to break down Las Palmas' disciplined 4-2-3-1 shape, and their six total shots (three on target) were not enough to rescue a point. Las Palmas' defensive organization and early attacking intent proved decisive as they held on for a valuable away win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
7' — Goal
Jesé Rodríguez opens the scoring for Las Palmas, silencing the Riazor.
18' — Goal
Estanis Pedrola doubles Las Palmas' lead with a composed finish.
28' — Goal
Zakaria Eddahchouri pulls one back for Deportivo, giving the hosts hope.
53' — Yellow Card
Deportivo receive their only yellow card as they push for an equalizer.
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna were caught cold by Las Palmas' fast start and spent much of the match chasing the game. Their 4-4-2 formation struggled to gain a foothold in midfield against the visitors' packed center, and they managed just six shots, three of which tested Dinko Horkaš. Zakaria Eddahchouri's goal in the 28th minute briefly reignited hopes, but Deportivo lacked the creative spark and attacking thrust to break down Las Palmas' organized back line in the second half. Despite a determined effort, the hosts' inability to convert possession into clear chances and their slow start ultimately cost them. A single yellow card highlighted a generally disciplined but somewhat toothless performance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Las Palmas
Las Palmas executed their game plan to perfection, striking twice in the opening 18 minutes to seize control. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession (56%) and dictate the tempo, while their five corners highlighted their ability to create pressure from set pieces. Jesé Rodríguez and Estanis Pedrola were pivotal in the attacking third, each finding the net during the visitors' early onslaught. Las Palmas managed the game efficiently after their fast start, conceding just once and limiting Deportivo to few clear-cut chances. Their defensive discipline and midfield control were key to securing all three points away from home.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Deportivo lined up in a traditional 4-4-2, aiming for width and directness, but struggled to impose themselves against Las Palmas' well-drilled 4-2-3-1. The visitors' double pivot of Kirian Rodríguez and Lorenzo Amatucci provided control and shielded the back four, allowing their attacking midfield trio to support Jesé Rodríguez effectively. Las Palmas pressed high in the opening stages, forcing errors and capitalizing with two early goals. As the match progressed, Las Palmas dropped deeper, content to manage their lead and absorb pressure. Deportivo's attempts to switch play and utilize their wide players were largely stifled, and with only one corner won, their set-piece threat was minimal. The tactical battle was won in midfield, where Las Palmas' extra man made the difference.
Turning Point
Estanis Pedrola's goal in the 18th minute, which put Las Palmas 2-0 up and left Deportivo with a mountain to climb.
Man of the Match
Jesé Rodríguez
Set the tone with an early goal and led the attacking line with energy and intelligence.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Deportivo La Coruna Win@ 2.8
Deportivo La Coruna have strong home form (11W/5D/4L), are in a 3-game winning streak, and edge Las Palmas in both attack and defensive metrics at home. Model probability (0.40) exceeds implied odds.
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BTTS: Yes@ 2
Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both have failed to keep clean sheets regularly. BTTS is supported by recent goal patterns and model edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 2.1
Both teams average 1.8 goals scored per game in their last 5, and their season over 2.5 rates (50% and 45%) suggest value at these odds.
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Prediction
This is a high-stakes clash between two top-five Segunda sides with recent momentum. Deportivo La Coruna come in on a three-match winning streak, boasting a strong home record and a well-balanced attack. Las Palmas have also won four of their last five, but their away record is less convincing. Expect a competitive, open match with both teams likely to find the net, but Deportivo's home edge and defensive solidity could prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Deportivo La Coruna are on a 3-game winning streak and unbeaten in last 5.
- →Las Palmas have won 4 of last 5 but suffered a heavy 1-5 away loss recently.
- →Both teams have BTTS in 4 of last 5 matches.
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.8 goals scored per game over last 5 matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Deportivo's home record (11W/5D/4L) is stronger than Las Palmas's away (7W/7D/6L).
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but Deportivo have home advantage.
🚩 Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Deportivo La Coruna and 4.8 for Las Palmas, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How Deportivo La Coruna and Las Palmas Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Deportivo La Corunalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Las Palmaslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Deportivo La Coruna are in excellent form, winning four and drawing one of their last five, including three straight victories. Their attack has been consistent, and they have not failed to score in any of these matches. Las Palmas also show strong momentum with four wins in their last five, though their recent 1-5 defeat at FC Andorra highlights some defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas
The head-to-head record is very balanced, with both teams sharing wins and draws over the last decade. Recent matches tend to be competitive and often feature goals from both sides, with the last meeting ending 1-1 and BTTS occurring frequently.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Deportivo La Coruna wins
4
Draws
3
Las Palmas wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas
The model sees value in a Deportivo home win, as their implied probability is lower than the model's estimate, likely due to Las Palmas's recent win streak. BTTS and over 2.5 goals also offer positive expected value, supported by both teams' recent attacking form and defensive lapses.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas
- ⚠️No current bookmaker odds provided; value calculations use typical market ranges.
- ⚠️Lineups are unavailable; late changes could impact probabilities.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent Las Palmas games, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Motivation levels may shift if league positions are locked before kickoff.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Resources
Deportivo La Coruna Predictions
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Las Palmas Predictions
All Las Palmas fixtures & tips
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Segunda División Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results