Eibar vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Eibar
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Eibar vs Granada CF: Match Preview
Eibar come into this fixture having split their opening two league matches, following up a 1-3 home defeat to Tenerife with a narrow 1-0 win over Valladolid. Granada have started more solidly, sitting 8th with four points from two games and yet to concede a goal, including a 0-0 away draw at Oviedo. Both sides are in the lower half for goals scored, and neither has shown a clear attacking spark in the early going.
Statistically, this is a meeting of two teams with similar underlying rates: Eibar are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per league match, while Granada are at 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. The last five-match shot averages are low on both sides (Eibar 5.6, Granada 4.8), and both teams have failed to score in just two of their last five, but clean sheets are common—Granada have four in five, Eibar three. The H2H record tilts towards Eibar at home, but the last four meetings have seen three draws and only once over two goals.
The model expects a tactical, low-event contest, with both teams prioritising defensive solidity. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the likeliest result. The low over 2.5 goal probability (28%) and the high clean sheet rates suggest a match where a single goal could prove decisive, but neither side is likely to open up unless forced.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
34%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Eibar vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Eibar vs Granada CF that most previews miss.
- 1Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five competitive matches, conceding only once.
- 2Eibar's last five home league matches against Granada have produced three clean sheets for the hosts.
- 3Across all competitions, both teams average fewer than two shots on target per game in their last five.
Who do you think wins: Eibar vs Granada CF?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Eibar vs Granada CF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have averaged 1 goal scored per game so far this season, and Granada have yet to concede in 180 minutes; the model gives under 2.5 goals a 72% probability.
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Correct Score: 1–1
The most common result in the last 10 H2H meetings is a draw, and both teams' underlying rates point to a low-scoring stalemate.
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The Case For This Eibar vs Granada CF Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring contest between two sides with similar early-season scoring rates and defensive records. Eibar have split their opening two league matches, conceding three at home to Tenerife but rebounding with a 1-0 win over Valladolid. Granada, meanwhile, have yet to concede in league play, with a 2-0 home win and a 0-0 away draw, and have kept four clean sheets in their last five competitive matches. Eibar's attack has produced an average of just 1 goal per game in the league, while Granada's away output is similarly limited (0 goals scored, 0 conceded in their only away league fixture). Both teams' last five match averages for shots on target are low (Eibar 1.6, Granada 1.8), and neither side has shown a consistent ability to break down organised defences. The H2H record is notable for Eibar's home dominance (six wins in the last ten, including 3-0 and 4-0 wins), but recent meetings have trended lower-scoring, with three of the last four ending 0-0 or 1-1. The model expects a tactical, cagey affair, with both sides prioritising defensive structure over attacking risk. The most likely outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the modal result. The low likelihood of both teams scoring multiple goals is reinforced by the combined season over 2.5 goal rate of just 25% (one of four matches), and Granada's 100% clean sheet rate so far.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Eibar's home scoring rate is 1 goal per game; Granada's away scoring rate is 0.
- →The last 10 H2H meetings have averaged just 2.1 goals per game, with four draws.
Defence
- →Granada have not conceded a league goal in 2026/27 (2 matches, 180 minutes).
🚩 Eibar vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Eibar and 4.8 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Eibar and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Eibar vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Eibarlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Eibar have alternated results in their opening two league matches, conceding three to Tenerife but recovering with a 1-0 win over Valladolid. Granada have started the campaign with a 0-0 away draw and a 2-0 home win, and their defensive record stands out—no goals conceded in 180 minutes. Both sides' recent matches have been low-scoring and tight.
Eibar vs Granada CF — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Eibar vs Granada CF
Eibar have historically had the upper hand at home, winning four of the last five against Granada at Ipurua. However, recent encounters have been more balanced, with three of the last four meetings ending in draws and only one of those featuring more than two goals.
Eibar vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Eibar wins
3
Draws
1
Granada CF wins
Things to Watch: Eibar vs Granada CF
- ⚠️Early season sample sizes are small; two league matches per team limits confidence in true attack/defence levels.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be formally assessed.
- ⚠️Both teams' friendlies may not reflect competitive intensity or true lineups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Eibar 1–1 Granada CFThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' early-season scoring rates (1.0 per game) and Granada's 100% clean sheet record in league play. The main risk to this forecast is Eibar's historically strong home record against Granada, but recent H2H trends and current shot volumes point towards a low-scoring stalemate.
Eibar vs Granada CF: Common Questions
Who will win Eibar vs Granada CF?
The model gives Eibar a 36% chance of victory, Granada a 26% chance, and a draw is slightly more likely at 38%. Both teams have shown defensive solidity, so the draw is the most probable outcome.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Eibar vs Granada CF?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 72% probability, as both teams average just 1 goal scored per league match and Granada have yet to concede this season.
How often do both teams score in Eibar vs Granada CF?
Both teams to score is rated at 44% probability. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, only four saw both teams score, and Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Eibar vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.