ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Sahel
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: Match Preview
ES Sahel and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane both come into this fixture off opening-day defeats, with the hosts losing 2-3 away to ES Tunis and the visitors falling 0-2 at Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. Neither side has shown strong early-season form, but ES Sahel's historical home record against JS Omrane is a clear positive, having won both previous home meetings without conceding. Both teams sit in the lower half of the table after one match, with the hosts ranked 12th and the visitors bottom at 16th.
From a statistical perspective, this game profiles as low-scoring. ES Sahel's last five matches see them averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, but their only clean sheet came at home. JS Omrane have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over their last five, and have failed to score in three of those games. The last four head-to-heads have produced just one match with over 2.5 goals, and both teams' recent matches have trended under, with limited attacking output and little evidence of early goals (just three first-half goals combined in their last five).
The model expects ES Sahel's home advantage and slightly more reliable attack to edge a tight contest, with the most probable scoreline 1-0. The lack of attacking threat from JS Omrane, especially away from home, weighs heavily, while the absence of injuries or suspensions means both sides should be close to full strength. The most plausible risk is a stalemate if ES Sahel's attack fails to break down a deep-lying JS Omrane side.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
28%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane that most previews miss.
- 1ES Sahel have kept clean sheets in both previous home matches against JS Omrane (3-0 and 1-0).
- 2JS Omrane have failed to score in three of their last five matches and have not scored away this season.
- 3Under 2.5 goals has landed in three of the last four head-to-heads and in three of the last five for both teams.
Who do you think wins: ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ES Sahel Win
ES Sahel have won three of the last four head-to-heads and average 1.0 goals scored per match over their last five, while JS Omrane have failed to score in three of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Only one of the last four head-to-heads has gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have struggled for attacking output recently, with JS Omrane averaging just 0.6 goals scored and ES Sahel 1.0 across their last five.
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BTTS: No
BTTS has landed in only two of the last five for ES Sahel and in two of the last five for JS Omrane, with the away side failing to score in three of those matches.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Prediction
The statistical profile points to a low-scoring contest, with ES Sahel's modest attack facing a JS Omrane side that has consistently struggled to find the net away from home. Recent head-to-heads and last-five averages favour the hosts, but neither side arrives with momentum.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →JS Omrane have failed to score in three of their last five and average just 0.6 goals per game.
Defence
- →ES Sahel average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over their last five.
Match Context
- →ES Sahel have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings, all at home.
How ES Sahel and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Sahellast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Jeunesse Sportive Omranelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Sahel come into this fixture with a two-match losing streak, but have shown some scoring ability, netting in four of their last five. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, meanwhile, have failed to score in three of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in that period, signalling a lack of momentum on both sides.
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
ES Sahel have dominated this matchup at home, winning both previous encounters without conceding (3-0 and 1-0). Across the last four meetings, the home side has won three times, with only one match featuring more than two goals.
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
ES Sahel wins
0
Draws
1
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane wins
Things to Watch: ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- ⚠️Both teams have only played one league match this season, so season-long rates are not yet reliable.
- ⚠️No corners or shots data is available for either side, limiting the ability to model set-piece or shot-based threats.
- ⚠️Odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Sahel 1–0 Jeunesse Sportive OmraneThe model projects a narrow 1-0 win for ES Sahel, driven by their superior head-to-head record at home and JS Omrane's persistent scoring issues. The single strongest data point is JS Omrane's average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last five, with three blanks in that span. The main risk is that ES Sahel's own attack, which has produced only one goal in two of their last five, fails to capitalise on home advantage, leading to a goalless draw.
ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: Common Questions
Who will win ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane?
ES Sahel are favoured with a 54% probability of victory, based on their stronger head-to-head record and slightly better recent scoring rate. JS Omrane have just a 12% chance, with the draw at 34%.
Will both teams score in ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane?
Both teams to score is rated at just 22%, with 'No' the clear statistical favourite. JS Omrane have failed to score in three of their last five, while ES Sahel have kept a clean sheet in both previous home meetings.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in ES Sahel vs JS Omrane?
Under 2.5 goals is a 72% probability outcome, reflecting both teams' recent struggles in attack and the low-scoring trend in their head-to-head history.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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