ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
AI Predicted Score
0 - 0
ES Metlaoui
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have very low over 2.5 rates (ES Zarzis 38%, ES Metlaoui 18%), and both average under 1 goal scored per match. Recent form and H2H also point to low-scoring games.
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Match Result: Draw
Both teams have a high draw rate (Metlaoui 12 draws in 27, Zarzis 8 in 27), recent H2H meetings include multiple draws, and both sides are low-scoring and defensively solid recently.
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BTTS: No
Only 1 of the last 5 for each team saw BTTS, and both have more clean sheets than games where both scored. H2H also trends low for BTTS.
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The Case For This ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui Prediction
This is a clash between two of Ligue 1's most defensively solid but offensively limited sides. ES Zarzis have struggled for home wins and goals, while ES Metlaoui are draw specialists with a poor away attack but a strong defensive record. Both teams' recent matches and season stats point to a cagey, low-scoring contest, with a draw the most likely outcome. Expect few clear chances, with both sides prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking risk.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game this season.
- →Recent H2H: 0-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 1-1—very low-scoring trend.
Defence
- →ES Metlaoui have the league's second lowest over 2.5 rate (18.5%) and a 51% clean sheet rate.
Injuries & Team News
- →Neither side has significant injuries or suspensions.
Match Context
- →ES Zarzis have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and Metlaoui in 2 of their last 5.
- →Metlaoui have drawn 12 of 27 league matches, including 3 of last 5.
How ES Zarzis and ES Metlaoui Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
ES Metlaouilast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +51.85% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
ES Zarzis wins
3
Draws
5
ES Metlaoui wins
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui
- ⚠️No odds available—cannot compute expected value or value edges.
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or possession data available—reduces confidence in set piece and attacking threat estimates.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed—late changes could impact defensive solidity.
- ⚠️Tunisia Ligue 1 can be unpredictable in late season matches if motivation changes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.